Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction Tonight: NBA Finals Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks
The focus shifts to Indianapolis tonight as the Oklahoma City Thunder look to take a 2-1 lead over the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Our Thunder vs. Pacers prediction - part of our NBA picks - expects the visitors to edge out the hosts in a competitive contest.
Our best sports betting sites list Oklahoma City as a 5.5-point betting favorite ahead of tonight's tipoff at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
💰 Thunder vs. Pacers expert picks tonight
🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ Against the spread pick: Pacers +5.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder ML (-205 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 228.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
👉 Check out our Thunder vs. Pacers Game 3 player props for more picks.
🏀 Game 3 best bet
🎯 Score prediction: Thunder 118, Pacers 114
If this were a regular-season contest, we'd be all over Oklahoma City in this spot as part of our best Thunder vs Pacers predictions. The Thunder were the best team against the spread in the NBA this season, covering at a 62.9% clip, much better than Indiana's 49.5%. Alas, it's an NBA Finals game, the first hosted by Indianapolis in 25 years.
We're expecting Gainbridge Fieldhouse to be a madhouse, with John Haliburton leading the charge in the crowd.
The Pacers have covered the spread in 12 of their 18 postseason tilts - an NBA-best. Oklahoma City has failed to reprise its role as the league's top cover team in the playoffs, albeit because Mark Daigneault's men are double-digit favorites more often than not.
It's Rick Carlisle's chance to make adjustments ahead of the series' next chess match. Indiana is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread this postseason following a loss, which is good news following Game 2's showing.
The Pacers' 3-point shooting advantage, efficient and up-tempo offense, and overall resiliency give them a great chance to cover this spread at home. It's been a tale of two games thus far for Indiana's offense, but the good news is it has cleared 100 points in both outings. Thus, we believe the hosts cover against a team struggling against the spread recently. We're riding with Indy as part of our best Thunder vs Pacers predictions tonight.
✅ Best bet: Pacers +5.5 (-110 via Caesars)
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📊 Thunder vs. Pacers odds
Live updated odds from our best live betting sites.
📈 Game 3 odds movement
- Point spread: The Thunder opened as 5.5-point favorites to win Game 3, and we saw that number dip to 5 in the hours before tipoff. That has since returned to -5.5 with a nearly identical 50/50 split on ATS bets.
- Moneyline: Even with the short -225 odds, the Thunder have drawn 55% of all bets on the moneyline to win Game 3 outright at BetMGM.
- O/U: The total for this game opened at 227.5 and touched as high as 228.5 before dropping two full points leading to tipoff. It remains at 226.5 even with 77% of total bets on the Over.
💵 Best NBA betting sites
Want to bet on Thunder vs. Pacers tonight? Check out the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the 2025 NBA Finals:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
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