Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions, Player Props, Odds & Picks for Jan. 29
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to San Francisco to face Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center. Tipoff in the teams' third meeting this season is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN).
My Thunder vs. Warriors predictions, player props, odds, and picks expect SGA and Stephen Curry to shine for their respective teams and feature a player I expect to show up big on the glass. With the season series knotted at one win apiece, who will take the lead on Wednesday?
Shane Jackson has you covered for the action earlier in the evening with his Nuggets vs. Knicks prediction.
Thunder vs. Warriors predictions
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.
- Game pick: Thunder to win (-450 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Stephen Curry player prop pick: Over 22.5 points (-111 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop pick: Over 43.5 points + rebounds + assists (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Andrew Wiggins player prop pick: Over 22.5 points + rebounds (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Thunder vs. Warriors player prop picks today
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Best Thunder vs. Warriors prop predictions
Stephen Curry prop pick: Over 22.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Since the start of the 2022-23 campaign, Curry has averaged 33.9 points per game against the Thunder, his highest scoring average against any team in that span. In those seven games, Curry has scored at least 30 six times and at least 25 in every contest.
Curry’s scoring average is down considerably this season, but he’s still scored at least 23 points in 20 of 37 games. Nine of those have come in 19 home games, and he’s reached that scoring milestone in four of his last seven at Chase Center.
On the season, the Thunder have allowed the second-fewest points per game to opposing PGs at just 22.2. Over the last seven, however, OKC has allowed the 10th-most points to the position at 26.8
Best odds: -111 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.61%
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander prop pick: Over 43.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐
SGA has faced the Warriors nine times since the start of the 2022-23 campaign, averaging 30.2 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.6 assists in five matchups on the road. Gilgeous-Alexander has hit the Over on this line in three of four and four of his last six matchups against Golden State.
Gilgeous-Alexander posted 50 PRAs in his first matchup at Golden State earlier in the season, going for 35 points, nine rebounds and five assists. Over his last 14 games, he has averaged 45 PRAs and hit the Over on this line nine times.
This is a primetime matchup, and as mentioned above, Curry typically shows up when he faces the Thunder. We expect this one to be closer than the 9.5-point spread indicates, which means plenty of scoring, rebounding, and facilitating for Gilgeous-Alexander.
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.92%
Andrew Wiggins prop pick: Over 22.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐
The Warriors are still down Jonathan Kuminga and Draymond Green, and Wiggins should continue to see plenty of additional opportunities to score and rebound tonight. Wiggins has averaged 20 points and 5.4 rebounds across his last eight, hitting the Over six times in that span.
On the season, the Thunder have allowed opposing PFs to average 19.6 points and 11.1 rebounds. The rebounds are fourth-most, and Wiggins is in an advantageous position to crash the glass tonight.
Wiggins averaged 17 points and 6.5 assists in two matchups with OKC this season, hitting the Over on this line once. He’s averaged 22.6 points + rebounds at home compared to 20.6 on the road, and we expect him to hit the Over at Chase Center tonight.
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Thunder vs. Warriors odds
Thunder vs. Warriors injuries
Thunder vs. Warriors game info
- When: Wednesday, Jan. 29
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Thunder -9.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
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