Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Bucks Stay Hot at Home?
The Milwaukee Bucks will host the Golden State Warriors in a potential NBA Finals preview on Tuesday, Dec. 13. Read on for our Warriors-Bucks pick and prediction.
Milwaukee’s four-game win streak was snapped Sunday with an upset loss to the Rockets. Khris Middleton injured his ankle in that one and played just six minutes, but he’s expected to play tonight. Jrue Holiday is questionable with an illness, so Milwaukee may be without one of its key wing defenders.
Golden State kicks off a six-game road trip with a trip to Fiserv Forum after a commanding win over first-place Boston on Saturday. The Warriors will be missing Andrew Wiggins, who is averaging 19.1 points, 3.0 triples, and 1.4 steals this season. Draymond Green is expected to play through an ankle injury.
The Bucks are 12-3 straight up at home, while the Warriors are just 2-11 on the road. These teams have met four times over the past two seasons, and the home team has won each matchup, highlighting just how much better each team plays in front of its home crowd. Will that trend continue tonight, or will the Warriors play spoiler and earn a rare road win?
Here is our best Warriors vs. Bucks NBA pick for Tuesday (odds via PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Warriors vs. Bucks Game Info
Date: Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2022
TV: TNT
Location: Fiserv Forum
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Warriors vs. Bucks Odds
Warriors vs. Bucks Odds Analysis
The line opened with Milwaukee -4.5 and that has only moved half a point in Golden State’s favor to the current -4. The Bucks are just 4-5-2 against the spread on the road, but a healthy 10-5 at home and as the home favorite. Milwaukee is 4-2 following a loss and 6-4-1 against Western Conference opponents. The Warriors, on the other hand, are just 3-10 on the road, 2-4 as the road dog, and 4-9 following a win.
The total opened at a healthy 231.5, but it’s risen even further to the current 233. Both teams have hit the Under in four of the last five games, but the trends point to a higher-scoring game. The Warriors are 8-4-1 to the Over on the road and 7-5-1 following a win. The Bucks are 4-2 to the Over following a loss, 10-5 at home, and 6-5 against Western Conference opponents.
Warriors vs. Bucks Pick
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 31.5 points ★★★★★
After a tough loss to the Rockets in Houston, Giannis and the Bucks will look to bounce back in front of the Milwaukee faithful tonight.
Antetokounmpo is one of the NBA’s leading scorers with 31.1 points per game, and he’s scored at least 32 points in 11-of-22 appearances. His home/road splits are quite notable. At home, he’s averaged 33.8 points on 56.8% shooting, compared to 26.5 points and 56.3% shooting on the road.
Golden State allows a league-high 122.8 points per game on the road, and the Warriors will be without a key defender in Wiggins. We’re banking on a big performance from Greek Freak as he looks to get his team back in the win column in a statement game.
Warriors vs. Bucks Best Odds
PointsBet (-115)
| BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel | PointsBet |
| O 31.5 (-120) | O 31.5 (-127) | O 31.5 (-130) | O 31.5 (-120) | O 31.5 (-115) |
This prop is set at 31.5 across the major sportsbooks, and the odds are only slightly different across the board. DraftKings’ odds are shortest at -130, and PointsBet is the only book that offers odds longer than -120. That’s where we’ll make our wager.
PointsBet and FanDuel typically offer alternate totals for player props, so if we want to get plus-money and sell a few points, we can get 34.5 for +150 at PointsBet and +145 at FanDuel.
Where to Bet on Warriors vs. Bucks
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Warriors vs. Bucks picks made 12/13/22 at 11:25 ET a.m.
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