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We're offering our best Arkansas vs. Kentucky prediction for their game Saturday night.
Pictured: Arkansas Razorbacks head coach John Calipari looks on as guard D.J. Wagner drives against Oklahoma Sooners guard Jeremiah Fears. Photo by Nelson Chenault via Imagn Images.

John Calipari will return to Rupp Arena on Saturday when his Arkansas Razorbacks face the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Calipari, who coached Kentucky from 2010-24, has gotten off to a rocky start in his first season at Arkansas. The Razorbacks are 12-8, including 1-6 against SEC foes.

The Wildcats, now coached by Mark Pope, are 15-5 (4-3 in SEC play) following their 78-73 road win over Tennessee. They are double-digit favorites against Arkansas on Saturday.

Our Arkansas vs. Kentucky prediction and odds expect a competitive matchup in a game that means a lot to both sides.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky predictions today

College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites.

  • Against the spread pick: Arkansas +10.5 (-115 via BetMGM) vs. Kentucky ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: Arkansas +6.5 first-half spread (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Arkansas vs. Kentucky ATS prediction

Arkansas to cover the spread: +10.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I expect an inspired effort from Calipari’s Razorbacks. This game means too much to their head coach, and they are desperate for some positive momentum after going 1-6 in January.

Most of all, the college basketball models have bumped Kentucky up a touch too much following its win over Tennessee. The Wildcats lost to Vanderbilt (No. 44 on KenPom) and Georgia (No. 37) earlier this year.

Arkansas is worse than those teams, ranked No. 61 overall. But the double-digit spread at our best March Madness betting sites gives too much credit to a Kentucky team with only one win greater than two possessions since league play began.

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Best Arkansas vs. Kentucky pick

Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Arkansas +6.5 first-half spread ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It’s clear that I like the full-game line at +10 or better, but the first-half spread is my preferred angle at +6 or better. This line is as low as 5.5 as some of our best sports betting sites, so don’t wait to grab this discount at Caesars.

Kentucky ranks 72nd in the nation in first-half margins, with an average of +3.6. The Wildcats have trailed at halftime in each of their past three games.

Arkansas quietly has a positive margin (plus-1.7) in the first half of games this year. While I’d be surprised if the Razorbacks lead at the break (+278 moneyline at Caesars), this spread is too enticing to pass up.

Best odds: -115 via Caesars | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Live Arkansas vs. Kentucky odds

See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky opening odds

  • Spread: Arkansas +11.5 (-110) | Kentucky -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 156.5 (-115) | Under 156.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Arkansas +450 | Kentucky -625

Arkansas vs. Kentucky game info

  • When: Saturday, Feb. 1
  • Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rupp Arena (Lexington, Ky.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Kentucky -10.5 (-105 via BetMGM)

College basketball betting odds pages

Here are our best March Madness betting sites:

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