Auburn vs. Florida Parlay Picks & SGP Odds: Best Final Four Predictions Tonight
As the NCAA Tournament nears its end, No. 1 Auburn (32-5) will take on No. 1 Florida (34-4) in San Antonio’s Alamodome tonight at 6:09 p.m. ET (CBS). With Florida listed as the slight betting favorite in the Final Four, our March Madness predictions continue as we dive into tonight’s best Auburn vs. Florida parlay picks and SGP odds.
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness Elite Eight predictions.
🏀 Best Auburn vs. Florida predictions for NCAA Tournament Final Four
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🔥 Auburn ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The underdogs in tonight’s Auburn vs. Florida matchup deserve more respect than the market is giving them. While Florida’s tournament run has been impressive, the projections at Bart Torvik make the spread Auburn -1.2, not Florida -2.5.
A dive into the deep stats points to how close this game should be. Since Feb. 1, Auburn sits at fourth in T-Rank, behind third-ranked Florida by less than half a point per 100 possessions.
Auburn’s 20th-ranked defense by opponent 3-point percentage (29.1%) moves the needle for me substantially. Florida ranks 38th in 3-point rate (46.4%) over that sample, and they managed to shoot 13-for-33 (39.4%) versus Auburn in early February.
Don’t expect Florida to get that hot–and stay that hot–again tonight.
📊 Best odds: +126 via FanDuel ($10 to win $12.60)
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🔥 Walter Clayton Jr. Under 20.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If the Tigers can limit Florida’s production from beyond the arc, that stands to hurt no player more than Walter Clayton Jr. Florida’s leading scorer is averaging 18.1 points per game this year, so his rate of 22.3 points per game in the tournament is a massive uptick.
Clayton’s increased production has depended upon him going 3.5-for-7.8 (45.2%) from beyond the arc. Those long-range looks account for 65% of his overall shot volume in the tournament. We saw him struggle against a strong perimeter defense in Maryland, scoring just 13 on 2-for-6 from long range over 35 minutes, so he isn’t unbeatable.
Even though Florida bested Auburn by nine in February, Clayton scored only 19 of Florida’s 90 points despite him playing all 40 minutes, and despite him converting 50% of his long-range shots.
📊 Best odds: -130 via FanDuel ($10 to win $7.69)
🔥 Johni Broome Over 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If the Auburn Tigers win this game, they’ll need a massive night from superstar transfer Johni Broome. Broome is averaging 18.7 points per game this year. While that average has dipped to 17.3 in the tournament, he averaged 23.5 per game on the second weekend.
When Broome played Florida in the regular season, he notched 18 points in only 30 minutes on the floor. Look for him to stay hot after his dominant second weekend in which he averaged a monstrous 17 field goal attempts per contest.
📊 Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)
💰Best Auburn vs. Florida SGP & parlay picks for Final Four
Here is my best Auburn vs. Florida same-game parlay for Saturday's NCAA Tournament Final Four matchup; use our parlay calculator to get the best SGP odds for any March Madness game:
🔥 Auburn ML
🔥 Walter Clayton Jr. Under 20.5 points
🔥 Johni Broome Over 19.5 points
🚀 Best SGP odds: +409 via FanDuel ($10 to win $40.91)
📺 How to watch Auburn vs. Duke: Final Four
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5
🕗 Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Alamodome (San Antonio)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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