Auburn vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: Best Picks for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
The No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (31-5) meet the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (30-6) on Sunday in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight. Tipoff is at at 5:05 p.m. ET (CBS) from State Farm Arena in Atlanta.
The Tigers are 5.5-point favorites to win the South Region of the March Madness bracket and advance to the Final Four, but we discuss why the Spartans may be able to pull the upset in our Auburn vs. Michigan State prediction, odds, and preview as part of our March Madness predictions.
🏀 Auburn vs. Michigan State prediction & picks for tonight
Here are my best Auburn vs. Michigan State predictions for the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Michigan State +5.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Auburn ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Johni Broome Over 11.5 rebounds (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Michigan State 75, Auburn 71 (+19000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness Elite Eight predictions.
Auburn vs. Michigan State betting insights
- There's an almost dead-even split among spread bettors at BetMGM, with Auburn getting 51% of the action at -5.5
- The same is true for the total, with the Over getting 51% of the attention
- The spread has mostly stayed stagnant at -5.5 in favor of Auburn since opening, though it did shift to -4.5 for a period on Saturday night ET.
🏆 Best Auburn vs. Michigan State pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ Michigan State to cover the spread: +5.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This would be a five-star play if the Spartans showed up in the first half. They’ve won 11 of their last 12 games and haven’t lost by more than five points since Feb. 1. Only three of their six losses were by more than five points, and they haven’t lost a single game by more than eight this season.
The Tigers have also been a second-half team. They trailed the Creighton Bluejays by two at the break in the second round, and they led by just one over the Michigan Wolverines in the Sweet 16. If you look at the final score, the Tigers’ win over the Wolverines seems impressive, but they trailed by nine with 12:26 remaining.
The Spartans get the edge in a tight game because they never panic and are 12-6 in games decided by single digits. The way to beat the Tigers is to stay close. They’ve only played 11 single-digit games and lost four of them. Look for the Spartans to make big shots late when the game is on the line and they’re at their most comfortable.
📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Johni Broome Over 11.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Broome has been excellent on the boards all season and has turned it up a notch in the NCAA Tournament. He’s averaging 10.8 rebounds per game entering the Elite Eight and has pulled down at least 11 boards in all three tournament games. Arguably, his most impressive performance of the season came in the Sweet 16, when he pulled down 16 rebounds against great Michigan rebounders.
The Spartans are allowing the 13th-fewest rebounds per game this season, but Broome is still in for a big game, primarily because of his ability to snag offensive boards. As a team, the Tigers grab 10.4 offensive boards per game, which is 55th in the country. The Spartans allow opponents to make just 40.4% of their field goals, so Broome and his teammates will have plenty of chances on the offensive glass.
The price for this prop varies significantly from sportsbook to sportsbook. Right now, BetMGM is offering the best price by far, as Caesars is offering the second-best price at just -118.
📊 Best odds: +100 via BetMGM ($10 to win $10)
🎯 Score prediction: Michigan State 75, Auburn 71
The offensive cold spells are a serious concern for the Spartans, but their defense has been so good that they’ll be able to overcome periodic struggles and win this game. The Spartans allow just 67.1 points per game. While they will give up slightly more on Sunday, they will hold the Tigers well below their season average.
This tournament has barely had any upsets, but if you’re feeling brave, you can get the Spartans to win this game for +195 at bet365 or DraftKings.
📊 Best odds: +19000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,900)
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🤖 Auburn vs. Michigan State AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Auburn vs. Michigan State. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Michigan State 75, Auburn 69.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Michigan State 75, Auburn 69
- The Tigers tend to be efficient in transition and rely heavily on 3-point shooting. Their offense can be explosive, but they can also go through cold stretches.
- The Spartans tend to have a more balanced offense, with strong ball movement and a slower pace. They’re less reliant on the 3-pointer than Auburn, but they can hit timely shots.
- The Tigers are typically decent on the boards but might struggle against stronger rebounding teams like Michigan State.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Michigan State covering the spread (+5.5) and a total of Under 148.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Auburn vs. Michigan State odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the Elite Eight.
🔢 Auburn vs. Michigan State opening odds
- Spread: Auburn -5.5 (-105) | Michigan State +5.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Auburn -225 | Michigan State +185
- Over/Under: Over 149.5 (-105) | Under 149.5 (-115)
Auburn vs. Michigan State line movement
All Auburn vs. Michigan State line movement in the hours prior to tipoff from BetMGM.
Spread
The spread has primarily been staying level, which is to be expected with betting so evenly split on both sides. It's hovered at -5.5 in favor of Auburn, though it did jump to -4.5 for a while last night.
Total
The total opened at 149.5 before gradually shifting downward. It was at 148.5 for a while earlier this morning ET, and now it sits a little lower at 147.5.
Moneyline
The moneyline hasn't moved much. Auburn started out as the -225 favorite and remains there, though the number did shorten ever so slightly to -235 early yesterday morning.
📺 How to watch Auburn vs. Michigan State: NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
📅 Date: Sunday, March 30
🕗 Time: 5:05 p.m. ET
📍 Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
🆚 Elite Eight game predictions
- Houston vs. Tennessee prediction
- Auburn vs. Michigan State prediction
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
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