College Basketball Player Props & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Tuesday

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: January 9, 2024 3:21 PM EST • 3 min 43 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

Our college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best college basketball odds help you turn the page on the college sports season.

Following the conclusion of the college football season with Michigan defeating Washington in the national title game, Tuesday's lineup of college basketball games will create the sensation of a second (or perhaps even third) season opener. College football bettors will be shifting their focus to college hoops, so welcome to any new readers seeking action on college sports!

Lucky for us, Tuesday's lineup is packed with exciting matchups from beginning to end. As is customary, the standout games are expected in the Big 12, with Baylor hosting BYU and undefeated Houston facing off against Iowa State.

Additionally, there are intriguing matchups such as Colorado State versus Boise State, Duke against Pittsburgh, and Missouri taking on Kentucky, among others.

Here are our college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s college basketball schedule and odds

(Odds via FanDuel)

Tuesday’s college basketball best bets

Tamin Lipsey (ISU) Over 4.5 assists (-135 via DraftKings, BetMGM) vs. Houston ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Noah Waterman (BYU) Over 1.5 3-pointers (-110 via DraftKings, BetMGM) vs. Baylor ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Tuesday’s college basketball player props

Tamin Lipsey (ISU) Over 4.5 assists (-135 via DraftKings, BetMGM) vs. Houston

Because Tuesday's Houston-Iowa State matchup projects to be a bit of a rock fight, there are plenty of decent Under options in this game. But this is one Over angle that I think is going to get overlooked, and shows some solid value as of this writing.

Iowa State point guard Tamin Lipsey has taken a huge leap in his sophomore season and certainly has a case for best point guard in the conference. He's averaging 14.7 points and 5.9 rebounds per game while tied for 21st in the nation with an average of six dimes per contest. His assist rate of 33.2% ranks 37th in the nation.

The Cyclones, who are short underdogs at home, are absolutely live to pull off an upset and hand the last undefeated team in college basketball its first loss. But that won't happen unless Lipsey is able to lead the charge against the best defensive team in the sport.

Houston might rank No. 1 in adjusted defensive efficiency, but this team is actually a good matchup for facilitators. The Cougars are giving up an assist rate of 62.2%, per Kenpom, which ranks 355th in the country.

Jordan Sperber did a great job explaining why that is in his latest Substack post on ball screen coverage. Essentially, the Cougars blitz ball screens and don't allow ball-handlers to get many shot attempts, forcing the player to pass in those situations. They rank No. 1 in the country in ball-screen aggressiveness.

The Under on Lipsey's points prop is worth a look based on similar reasoning. DraftKings is providing -120 odds on Under 13.5 points for Lipsey. But we prefer the assist angle, as Lipsey has cleared this mark in 11 of his 14 games so far this season. This prop is playable at -140 or better.

Tamin Lipsey best bet made Tuesday at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Noah Waterman (BYU) Over 1.5 3-pointers (-110 via DraftKings, BetMGM) vs. Baylor ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BYU's introduction to the Big 12 didn't go according to plan, as it dropped a home game against Cincinnati. The Cougars, ranked as high as No. 4 in the nation via Kenpom, have now dropped to No. 9.

While that's still a bit rich for a proper power rating, this team is talented enough to be in the top 20. The Cougars aren't our favorite style of basketball due to their over-reliance on the 3-ball, and forward Noah Waterman is the perfect example of that.

Waterman is averaging 11.4 points per game this season on 46.6% shooting. Of his 8.4 field goal attempts per game, an average of 5.6 are coming from beyond the 3-point line. Nineteen of his 23 shots over the last two games have come from long range, as he's hit six triples over that span.

Our projections show value on his current Over of 9.5 points at DraftKings, but he's likely not going to get there without hitting multiple 3-pointers based on his shot diet. And Baylor is due for some regression at defending the long ball, as ShotQuality's numbers suggest that opposing teams should be shooting 3% better from 3-point range against the Bears this year.

In what might end up being the game of the night, bet on Waterman to hit multiple 3-pointers. This Over is playable at -120 or better before we'd prefer taking his points prop instead.

Noah Waterman best bet made Tuesday at 10:10 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.