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Duke vs. Alabama Player Props, Parlay & Odds: Best SGP Picks for Elite Eight

Mike Spector

Last Updated: March 29, 2025 1:56 PM EDT • 4 min 1 sec read.

Duke vs. Alabama Player Props, Parlay & Odds: Best SGP Picks for Elite Eight
Pictured: Alabama Crimson Tide guard Aden Holloway celebrates making a 3-pointer against the Brigham Young Cougars. Photo by Robert Deutsch via Imagn Images.

No. 1 seed Duke (34-3) faces No. 2 seed Alabama (28-8) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight, battling for a spot in the Final Four. Tipoff is set for 8:49 p.m. ET at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. (TBS/truTV), with the Blue Devils serving as 6.5-point betting favorites.

This game is projected to be a track meet with the highest projected total of any of the four Elite Eight matchups (O/U 173.5). What does that mean from a player prop perspective? 

Our Duke vs. Arizona player props and parlay odds take a contrarian approach with a Tyrese Proctor pick, but backs the Over in plays involving Grant Nelson and Aden Holloway.

We cashed a three-leg parlay that paid +701 odds with our Duke vs. Arizona player prop predictions and are looking to continue that momentum with our March Madness predictions in the Elite Eight.

🏀 Duke vs. Alabama player prop picks for Saturday

Here are my best Duke vs. Alabama player prop picks for the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament:

🎯 Tyrese Proctor player prop pick: Under 14.5 points (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Grant Nelson player prop pick: Over 7.5 rebounds (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Aden Holloway player prop pick: Over 11.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness Elite Eight predictions.    

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🏆 Best Duke vs. Alabama player props

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🔥 Tyrese Proctor Under 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

One of the easiest cashes in our winning +701 three-leg parlay in the Duke-Arizona matchup was Tyrese Proctor Under 2.5 made 3-pointers. 

It was a bold pick considering he came into that game having made six-plus 3-pointers in three consecutive games, but we were of the mindset that the Wildcats were not going to let him go off.

We should not have to worry much about Proctor bombing away from 3-point range in this matchup, as Alabama allows opponents to shoot fewer than 35% of their field-goal attempts from 3-point range (51st-lowest in D-I).

Considering 211 of Proctor’s 347 field-goal attempts (60.8%) came from beyond the arc, that lowers his ceiling for points considerably if the Crimson Tide run him off the 3-point line at their usual rate.

I am not swayed by the fact that Proctor’s projected point total has risen from 13.5 to 14.5 since Friday afternoon, and am instead glad for the extra point’s worth of value.

📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.09)

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🔥 Grant Nelson Over 7.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐

Grant Nelson scored just six points against BYU, which may seem blasphemous considering the team set a Sweet 16 record with 113 points. And while Nelson has scored in single digits in four of the previous five games, he still routinely finds other ways to contribute. 

Nelson has grabbed eight or more rebounds in each of the last two NCAA Tournament games. 

And if you’re worried that Duke is one of the most physical teams Alabama has faced this season, know that Nelson has pulled down eight or more rebounds in games against Tennessee, Texas A&M, Houston, and Auburn (twice) this season.

📊 Best odds: +104 via FanDuel ($10 to win $10.40)

🔥 Aden Holloway Over 11.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Most of Duke’s defensive attention, and rightfully so, will center around Mark Sears in this matchup, after he drilled 10 threes on Thursday. 

But per OptaSTATS, Alabama made history of other kinds on Thursday in how it shared the basketball, as two other players hit five 3-pointers in addition to Sears’ double-digit total.

Duke entered the Sweet 16 having allowed 30-plus points at the rim just twice this season. So while Alabama’s offense is heavily predicated on “rim-and-3” shots, we predict it will shoot from beyond the arc in volume, even if it doesn’t match the 51 3-point attempts it took against BYU.

Holloway should be one of the biggest beneficiaries of that “firing away from deep” mentality. I would back Holloway’s 3-point Over up to 2.5 (-130) when those odds become available.

📊 Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)

💰Best Duke vs. Alabama parlay picks

Here is our best Duke vs. Alabama same-game parlay for Saturday's Elite Eight matchup; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:  

🔥 Tyrese Proctor player prop pick: Under 14.5 points
🔥 Grant Nelson player prop pick: Over 7.5 rebounds
🔥 Aden Holloway player prop pick: Over 11.5 points

🚀 Best SGP odds: +631 via FanDuel ($10 to win $63.10)

📺 How to watch Duke vs. Alabama: Elite Eight

📅 Date: Saturday, March 29
🕗 Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Prudential Center (Newark, N.J.)
📺 TV: TBS/truTV
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live

🆚 Elite Eight game predictions

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”