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George Mason vs. VCU Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: Atlantic 10 Final Best Bets
Pictured: VCU Rams guard Joe Bamisile drives to the basket against the Loyola Chicago Ramblers. Photo by Geoff Burke via Imagn Images

For the Atlantic 10 to have a chance at being a two-bid conference, it seems likely that George Mason would have to pull off an upset on Sunday afternoon. But heavy favorite and top-seed VCU will have other ideas.

Our George Mason vs. VCU prediction, odds, and expert picks for the Atlantic 10 Final see the Rams advancing to the dance, but not without the Patriots putting up a respectable defensive showing.

George Mason faces VCU in the Atlantic 10 Final at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS).

๐Ÿ’ฐ George Mason vs. VCU predictions, expert picks & best bets: Atlantic 10 Final 

Here are my best George Mason vs. VCU predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for the Atlantic 10 Final with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.

  • Against the spread pick: George Mason +8.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. VCU โญโญโญโญ
  • My best game prop bet: Under 127.5 (-110 via BetMGM) โญโญโญโญ
  • Exact score prediction: VCU 64, George Mason 57 (+17000 via DraftKings) โญ

๐Ÿ‘‰ Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!

๐Ÿ€ George Mason vs. VCU ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick

Here's why I'm betting on George Mason to cover the spread (+8.5) while targeting Under 127.5 as my best game prop bet pick for today:

โœ… George Mason to cover the spread (+8.5) โญโญโญโญ

VCU has been the better team against the spread this season (20-12 compared to George Mason's 16-17 ATS). 

However, VCU only beat Loyola by seven points as 9.5-point favorites in the semifinal. George Mason, who ranks among the top 25 teams in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to Torvik and KenPom, should prove to be a more challenging test than Loyola. 

Although they are not among the March Madness odds favorites, the Patriots are fourth in the nation in effective field goal percentage on defense. Although George Mason is weak offensively, they have two double-digit wins on just 154 combined points in the last two games, allowing just 129 points. BetMGM offers the most competitive price of our best sportsbooks

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -110 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $9.09)

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๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ”ฅ Under 127.5 โญโญโญโญ 

VCU has played stifling defense during this Atlantic 10 tournament, holding both opponents below 60 points. It will likely happen again on Sunday, especially considering George Masonโ€™s preference for a slow pace of play.

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The Patriots rank 320th in the country in adjusted tempo and actually rank better in adjusted defensive efficiency (23rd) than the defensively sound VCU (25th), per KenPom.

George Mason ranks outside the top 200 in adjusted offensive efficiency, and at 70.1 points per game, it ranks outside the top 250 in scoring average. The earlier matchup between these two teams totaled 124 points.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -110 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $9.09)

๐ŸŽฏ Expert George Mason vs. VCU score prediction

๐Ÿ”ฎ Expert score prediction: VCU 64, George Mason 57

VCU beat George Mason 70-54 on Feb. 22 in the type of game we expect to see again on Sunday. With their NCAA Tournament hopes hanging in the balance, we give the Patriots more of a fighting chance in this one. Due to an inspired defensive effort, I like George Mason to prevent VCU from hitting 70 points.

Given its woeful offensive efficiency numbers against a Rams unit that has been clamping down defensively, George Mason is unlikely to become the first team to crack 60 points against VCU in this tournament.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +17000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1700)

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๐Ÿ“Š Live George Mason vs. VCU odds & latest betting splits

Here are the latest odds for George Mason vs. VCU, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.

๐Ÿ”ข George Mason vs. VCU opening odds

Here's a look at the opening odds for George Mason vs. VCU, according to BetMGM

  • Spread: George Mason +8.5 (-110) | VCU -8.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: George Mason +320 | VCU -417
  • Over/Under: Over 127.5 (-105) | Under 127.5 (-115)

๐Ÿ† Who will win George Mason vs. VCU?

As of midnight ET Saturday, VCU is favored by 8.5 points to beat George Mason with moneyline odds of -400 at BetMGM, which suggests an 80.00% win probability. We're predicting a 64-57 win for VCU as our final score projection.

๐Ÿ“บ How to watch George Mason vs. VCU today

๐Ÿ“… Date: Sunday, March 16
๐Ÿ•— Time: 1 p.m. ET
๐Ÿ“Location: Capital One Arena (Washington)
๐Ÿ“บ TV: CBS
๐Ÿ’ป Streaming: Paramount+

โ“ George Mason vs. VCU FAQs

Who's favored to win the Atlantic 10 Conference tournament?

VCU is favored to win the Atlantic 10 tournament, as the Rams are -8.5 for the tournament final on Sunday.

Who is favored to win George Mason vs. VCU?

VCU is favored to beat George Mason, with moneyline odds of -400 at BetMGM, which equates to an implied win probability of 80.00%.

What are the betting odds for George Mason vs. VCU?

The latest spread is George Mason +8.5 (-110) | VCU -8.5 (-110), with a total of 127.5 points (-105/-115).

What will be the final score of George Mason vs. VCU?

We're predicting a final score of VCU 64, George Mason 57, entering todayโ€™s matchup at Capital One Arena.

What time is George Mason vs. VCU today?

Tipoff is scheduled for today at 1 p.m ET.

โ›น๏ธ Best college basketball betting sites

Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.

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