Gonzaga vs. Georgia Prediction, Odds & Preview Today: NCAA Tournament First Round Best Bets

No. 8 Gonzaga kicks off its NCAA Tournament as a significant favorite against No. 9 seed Georgia, with this game getting underway today at 4:35 p.m. ET (TBS).
The spread has been moving in Gonzaga's favor, and our Gonzaga vs. Georgia predictions, odds, and preview question whether Georgia can cover as the underdog.
This one goes down at INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, Kan. In our best March Madness predictions, we like Ryan Nembhard to rack up assists and help this game go Over the total.
🏀 Gonzaga vs. Georgia prediction & picks today
Here are my best Gonzaga vs. Georgia prediction for the first round of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Georgia +6.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Gonzaga ⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Ryan Nembhard Over 8.5 assists (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Gonzaga 80, Georgia 74 (+24000 via FanDuel)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness first-round predictions.
🤖 See our March Madness AI bracket predictions for every game through Monday, April 7
🔢 Gonzaga vs. Georgia updated betting action
- Only 51% of the bets are on Gonzaga to cover but 60% of the handle is on that side
- Bettors aren't expecting a ton of points as 72% of tickets are on the Under
- This spread jumped just hours before tipoff, with Gonzaga now serving as -7.5 favorites
🏆 Best Gonzaga vs. Georgia pick, player prop bet & score prediction
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✅ Georgia to cover the spread: +6.5 ⭐⭐⭐
Gonzaga’s draw as an eight seed despite being one of the 10 best teams in the country according to KenPom is brutal - but nobody suffers from it more than Georgia. For that reason, Gonzaga seems to be the chalky pick to reach the second round, and I’m not disagreeing. But the public love for the Zags has gone so far that I like the points with Georgia.
Georgia faced four NCAA Tournament teams across its past five games, winning three of the four and losing the other by six points. Although eight of Georgia’s 11 Quad 1 losses came by a margin greater than this spread, Gonzaga simply hasn’t performed well enough against the spread (14-19 ATS) for me to believe it will take advantage.
Additionally, Gonzaga has two more Quad 2 losses than Georgia and went 2-3 in non-conference games against NCAA Tournament teams. With a limited scope of how Gonzaga performs against top competition outside the WCC, 6.5 points is too many for me to lay.
📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
🔥 Ryan Nembhard Over 8.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nembhard is one of the best distributors in college basketball this season, but his assists total at 8.5 is daunting considering the matchup on Thursday. Georgia ranks 58th in the nation in limiting opposing assists, allowing an average of only 11.8 per game.
Nembhard averages nearly 10 assists per game but has been boom or bust in the category lately, falling short of 8.5 dimes in four of his last six contests. The outlier, though, is that Gonzaga has played some lower-scoring games in that stretch.
Nembhard is 17-3 in clearing this assists total in games that go Over 151.5 total points. Since we’re predicting a final score that goes clears that number, we like Nembhard to thrive in spite of Georgia’s ability to limit opposing assists.
📊 Best odds: -115 via bet365 ($10 to win $8.70)
🎯 Score prediction: Gonzaga 80, Georgia 74
Gonzaga runs a top-50 adjusted tempo in the nation, which could speed up a Georgia team that ranks outside the top 200 in adjusted tempo. Still, We’ve got Gonzaga falling slightly below its season scoring average of 86.6 points per game due to Georgia’s 26th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom.
Georgia has scored 73 or more points in five straight games and should have a requisite outing offensively to keep pace with Gonzaga, which ranks 29th in adjusted defensive efficiency.
📊 Best odds: +22000 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,200)
🤖 Gonzaga vs. Georgia AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Gonzaga vs. Georgia. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Gonzaga 81, Georgia 74.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Gonzaga 81, Georgia 74
- Gonzaga’s offense is elite – The Bulldogs rank top-five nationally in scoring (86.6 PPG) and assists (19.7 APG). Their ability to spread the floor and find high-percentage shots will be a challenge for Georgia’s inconsistent defense
- Georgia’s perimeter play is key – The Bulldogs shoot just 33.1% from three, which could hurt them if they fall behind early. However, if Asa Newell and Silas Demary Jr. can get hot from deep, they have the firepower to keep it close
- Tournament experience favors Gonzaga – Mark Few’s squad has been a March Madness staple, while Georgia is making its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2015. Experience in pressure moments could be the deciding factor down the stretch
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Gonzaga covering the spread (-6.5) and a total of Over 151.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
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📊 Live Gonzaga vs. Georgia odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the first round.
Latest Gonzaga vs. Georgia odds
Our updated Gonzaga vs. Georgia odds are via BetMGM.
Spread
This spread opened at BetMGM with Gonzaga serving as a -4.5 favorite, but it's now moved to -7.5 with just hours remaining until tipoff.
Total
Oddly enough, despite most of the money coming in on the Under, this total has moved to 151.5 from an opening number of 150.5.
Moneyline
Gonzaga opened as a -222 moneyline favorite at BetMGM, but it now serves as a whopping -333 favorite. That's a difference of roughly 8% in implied probability.
🔢 Gonzaga vs. Georgia opening odds
- Spread: Gonzaga -6.5 (-110) | Georgia +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Gonzaga -275 | Georgia +220
- Over/Under: Over 152.5 (-105) | Under 152.5 (-115)
📅 Check out the full March Madness first-round schedule and opening odds.
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📺 How to watch Gonzaga vs. Georgia: NCAA Tournament first round
📅 Date: Thursday, March 20
🕗 Time: 4:35 p.m. ET
📍 Location: INTRUST Bank Arena (Wichita, Kan.)
📺 TV: TBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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