Skip to main content
We're backing the Cougars in our Houston vs. Texas Tech prediction.
Pictured: Houston guard LJ Cryer drives with the ball as Rice guard Alem Huseinovic (23) defends. Photo by Troy Taormina via Imagn Images.

A pivotal Big 12 showdown takes center stage tonight at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas, as Texas Tech (21-6) welcomes Houston (23-4) for a clash with major March Madness odds implications. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Fresh off a statement win over Iowa State, the Cougars enter as slim 1-point favorites. Our Houston vs. Texas Tech prediction and odds back the Cougars to secure another key victory as both teams fight for NCAA Tournament positioning.

Houston vs. Texas Tech predictions, expert picks & best bets tonight

Here are my best Houston vs. Texas Tech predictions, expert picks, and best bets tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide for how to bet on college basketball.

  • Against the spread pick: Houston -1 (-115 via Caesars) vs. Texas Tech ⭐⭐⭐
  • My best player prop bet: JT Toppin Under 24.5 points and rebounds (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Houston vs. Texas Tech ATS pick & score prediction

With the Cougars' dominant defense and deep rotation, on top of the Red Raiders' recent struggles, I'm predicting Houston will cover the spread (-1).

🏀 Houston to cover the spread: -1 ⭐⭐⭐

Although Bracket Matrix is still projecting them to earn a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Red Raiders haven't been at their best lately.

Texas Tech has lost two of its last five games and is just 2-3 against the spread in those matchups. And while they did manage an OT upset win against Houston the last time these two schools played, the Cougars should get revenge tonight.

Embed content NiOQZq_U8e4 image

Houston is one of just three teams to rank top 10 in the country in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, according to KenPom, and it's 10-6 ATS in Big 12 play. With LJ Cryer and J'Wan Roberts giving head coach Kelvin Sampson two reliable scorers, the Cougars can put pressure on a Tech defense that's 27th in adjusted efficiency while sitting in the back half of the Big 12 in 2-pointers allowed (18.4) and free throws given up per game (14.1).

The key will be Houston doing what it does best, which is slowing the game and shutting down the opposing offense. The Cougars are 362nd in adjusted tempo while allowing the fewest points per game in Big 12 play (59.3). That will pose problems for Red Raiders head coach Grant McCasland's team.

Best odds: -115 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $8.70)

Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boosts

New users only. Must use promo code. Min. $10 deposit. Max. bonus is ten 100% Profit Boost tokens. Profit Boost tokens expire in 14 days. Void where prohibited. Full terms.    

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

🎯 Final score prediction: Houston 68, Texas Tech 63

With scorers like Cryer and Roberts and defenders like Joseph Tugler and Terrance Arceneaux, the Cougars should avenge their one-point loss to the Red Raiders earlier this month.

That's why I'm predicting a final score of Houston 68, Texas Tech 63, with Sampson's squad shutting down Red Raiders star JT Toppin.

Correct score odds: +17000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,700)

Best Houston vs. Texas Tech player prop bet

Here is my best Houston vs. Texas Tech player prop bet tonight. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.

💰 JT Toppin Under 24.5 points and rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Toppin has been improving his game since joining Texas Tech in the Big 12 this season after dominating the Mountain West as a freshman from New Mexico last campaign. But although he's been living up to the hype, the sophomore's points and rebounds line is inflated at our best sports betting sites due to a recent string of flashy games.

The forward lit up Arizona State (55 points and rebounds) and Oklahoma State (44 points and rebounds). But those teams are outside of the top 50 in KenPom's ratings. Meanwhile, Houston is rated No. 3 behind a defense that's allowing the second-lowest field-goal percentage in Big 12 play (41.3%) and giving up the fewest rebounds per game (24.2).

Embed content w385uxyj3bk image

With Tugler sitting No. 1 in the conference in DBPR, according to EvanMiya, look for the shot-blocking forward to give Toppin all kinds of trouble around the rim. Toppin was ejected for hitting Tugler in the groin four minutes into the game against Houston when the teams played earlier this month.

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $8.85)

Bet $5, Win $150 in Bonus Bets

New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $150 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins. (within 72 hours).

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Houston vs. Texas Tech AI prediction

We asked ChatGPT, the popular chatbot from OpenAI, to offer its best AI prediction for Houston vs. Texas Tech tonight - including a pick to win and exact score prediction. ChatGPT is a large language model and is not specifically designed for sports betting predictions.

🤖 AI score prediction: Houston 66, Texas Tech 63

With Houston’s elite defense forcing Texas Tech into difficult half-court possessions and their rebounding advantage limiting second-chance opportunities, the projected final score is Houston 66, Texas Tech 63.

  • Houston is on a six-game winning streak, showcasing a dominant defense that excels in half-court settings, and its ability to control the game's tempo make it challenging for opponents to find transition opportunities
  • Texas Tech relies heavily on transition scoring, but facing Houston's disciplined defense may limit those chances
  • Houston's proficiency while dictating a slower pace could disrupt Texas Tech's transition-dependent offense

This game is pivotal for both teams in the Big 12 standings, with Houston aiming to maintain its lead and Texas Tech seeking an upset to climb the ranks.

📊 Live Houston vs. Texas Tech odds

Here are the latest odds for Houston vs. Texas Tech, which update in real time. You can also check out the rest of our NCAAB scores as they happen.

🔢 Houston vs. Texas Tech opening odds

Here's a look at the opening odds for Houston vs. Texas Tech according to bet365.

  • Spread: Houston -1.5 (-115) | Texas Tech +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: Over 132.5 (-110) | Under 132.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Houston -135 | Texas Tech +115

📺 How to watch Houston vs. Texas Tech tonight

📅 Date: Monday, Feb. 24, 2025
🕗 Time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Location: United Supermarkets Arena (Lubbock, Texas)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+

❓ Houston vs. Texas Tech FAQs

Who is favored to win Houston vs. Texas Tech?

Houston is a -114 moneyline favorite, implying a 53.27% probability the Cougars will beat Texas Tech.

What are the odds for Houston vs. Texas Tech?

Houston is a 1-point road favorite against Texas Tech, with the game total sitting at 131.5.

What time is Houston vs. Texas Tech tonight?

Houston vs. Texas Tech is tonight at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

📈 College basketball betting odds pages

🏀 Best college basketball betting sites

Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission