Kentucky vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: SEC Quarterfinal Best Bets
Sixth-seeded Kentucky takes on 3-seed Alabama tonight during the SEC tournament quarterfinal. Tipoff from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network).
Our Kentucky vs. Alabama prediction, odds, and expert picks focus on the underdogs in the highly-anticipated rematch. Our best sports betting sites list the Crimson Tide as 7.5-point favorites after winning both regular season matchups.
💰 Kentucky vs. Alabama predictions, expert picks & best bets: SEC quarterfinal
Here are my best Kentucky vs. Alabama predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for SEC Conference quarterfinal with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Kentucky +7.5 (-112 via DraftKings) vs. Alabama ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best player prop bet: Otega Oweh (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Exact score prediction: Alabama 91, Kentucky 87 (+18000 via DraftKings)
👉 Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!
🏀 Kentucky vs. Alabama ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick
Here's why I'm betting on Kentucky to cover the spread (+7.5) while targeting Otega Oweh Over 19.5 points as my best player prop bet pick for today:
✅ Kentucky to cover the spread (+7.5) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
In what projects as a fast-paced, high-scoring game, Kentucky clocks in as a 7.5-point underdog. While those factors make a big final margin likelier, the market is undervaluing Kentucky following its latest win at the buzzer. The Wildcats are the 19th-best team in Bart Torvik’s power rating since Feb. 1, so while they trail third-ranked Alabama, this margin just feels way too wide.
Alabama went on a 12-6 tear against the spread in conference play this season, winning by an average margin of +8.2 points and covering by +2.6 points per contest. When playing with a rest advantage - which the Crimson Tide have tonight - Alabama went 1-3 ATS. The Crimson Tide's average margin of victory was +6 points, but their cover average dropped to -3.4.
Meanwhile, Kentucky excelled when playing with a rest disadvantage this year, going 4-2 ATS. The Wildcats won by an average margin of +7.3 points and covered by +1.5. Further, while Kentucky has been an underdog 10 times this season, the Wildcats went 7-3 ATS in those games, losing by an average margin of only -1.2 and covering by +5.2.
📊 Best odds: -112 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $8.93)
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🔥 Otega Oweh over 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I usually fade players after big performances, but Oweh finds himself in a unique spot tonight. One of Kentucky’s key guards, Lamont Butler, exited last night’s game after eight minutes with a nagging injury. He is questionable - at best - tonight. Bettors looking for an injury-based edge should turn to the player prop markets instead of the inflated spread.
Oweh’s point total clocks in at just 19.5 on FanDuel, a number he has cleared in his last three games, and one of his two meetings with Alabama. Should Butler sit or be limited, that number will tick up. Other best live betting sites are already taking action on Oweh’s points at 21.5, so lock in the over 19.5 for -120 at FanDuel before that comes off the board.
📊 Best odds: -120 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $8.70)
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🎯 Expert Kentucky vs. Alabama score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Alabama 91, Kentucky 87🤖 AI score prediction: Alabama 87, Kentucky 80
🔮 Expert score prediction: Alabama 91, Kentucky 87
Projecting any college basketball game for nearly 180 points always feels bold, but that’s just how the SEC is this season. The total for this one is up at 179.5, so we’re not far off the market with this final score projection - we’ve just got Kentucky covering.
The Butler injury is a big deal, but he missed stretches during the regular season. Kentucky managed to stay competitive in that span, scoring a road win against Tennessee and a home blowout against Vanderbilt. Kentucky even knocked off Gonzaga at the CBS Sports Classic without Butler in the mix.
Expect a high-scoring, competitive game. If you can’t get any exposure to Oweh’s player prop total, consider betting Kentucky to go Over its team total of 86.5 for -105 at ESPN BET.
📊 Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,800)
🤖 AI score prediction: Alabama 87, Kentucky 80
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Kentucky vs. Alabama
Based on recent form and matchup data, the projected final score is Alabama 87, Kentucky 80.
- Win probability: Alabama 63% | Kentucky 37%
- Projected total points: 167
- Key takeaways:
- Alabama has dominated this matchup - the Crimson Tide won both regular-season meetings against Kentucky, scoring over 95 points in each game.
- Kentucky's backcourt is a concern - with point guard Lamont Butler potentially out or limited, Alabama's guards, led by Mark Sears, could control the pace.
- High-scoring game expected - both teams rank among the best in offensive efficiency, and their previous matchups both soared over 175 combined points.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Kentucky covering the spread (+7.5) and a total of Under 179.5 points.
📊 Live Kentucky vs. Alabama odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Kentucky vs. Alabama, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
🔢 Kentucky vs. Alabama opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Kentucky vs. Alabama according to BetMGM.
- Spread: Kentucky +6.5 (-110) | Alabama -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kentucky +200 | Alabama -275
- Over/Under: Over 180.5 (-120) | Under 180.5 (-120)
🏆 Who will win Kentucky vs. Alabama?
As of early Friday afternoon, Alabama is favored by 7.5 points to beat Kentucky with moneyline odds of -295 at BetMGM, which suggests a 74.7% win probability for the Crimson Tide. We're predicting a 91-87 win for Alabama as our final score projection.
So far, 64% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Kentucky + 7.5, while 61% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 179.5 points.
📺 How to watch Kentucky vs. Alabama tonight
📅 Date: Friday, March 14
🕗 Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)
📺 TV: SEC Network
💻 Streaming: ESPN+, SEC Network+
❓ Kentucky vs. Alabama FAQs
Who's favored to win the SEC tournament?
Currently, Auburn is the favorite to win the SEC tournament at odds of +145, per our SEC tournament odds page. Florida is hot on their heels at +300.
Who is favored to win Kentucky vs. Alabama?
Alabama is a massive -295 favorite, which equates to a 74.7% win probability for tonight's matchup with Kentucky.
What are the betting odds for Kentucky vs. Alabama?
Per the current Kentucky vs. Alabama betting odds, the spread is Kentucky +7.5 (-115) | Alabama -7.5 (-105), while the total is 179.5 (Over: -110 | Under: -110).
What will be the final score of Kentucky vs. Alabama?
We're predicting a final score of Alabama 91, Kentucky 87 entering tonight's matchup at Bridgestone Arena.
What time is Kentucky vs. Alabama tonight?
Tonight’s Kentucky vs. Alabama contest will tip-off tonight at 9:30 p.m. ET.
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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