Michigan State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: NCAA Tournament Best Bets
All eyes are on the No. 2 No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (28-6) and the No. 10 seed New Mexico Lobos (27-7), who will battle in tonight's NCAA Tournament second round at Rocket Arena in Cleveland (8:40 p.m. ET, TNT).
The Spartans, among the March Madness odds contenders, are the 7.5-point betting favorites against a Lobos team that we think will keep things close. We focus on that narrative in our Michigan State vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, and preview as part of our March Madness predictions.
🏀 Michigan State vs. New Mexico prediction & picks tonight
Here are my best Michigan State vs. New Mexico predictions for the second round of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: New Mexico +7.5 (-110 via FanDuel) vs. Michigan State ⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Donovan Dent Under 20.5 points (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Michigan State 74, New Mexico 70 (+18000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness second-round predictions.
🔢 Michigan State vs. New Mexico updated betting action
Updated betting info via BetMGM
- 57% of bets are on Michigan State to cover (-7.5)
- 54% of bets are on the Under (148.5)
- Michigan State opened as 6.5-point betting favorites, which increased to 7.5
🏆 Best Michigan State vs. New Mexico pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ New Mexico to cover the spread: +7.5 ⭐⭐⭐
His Spartans are 9-1 SU as favorites in the second round, only losing as a 10-point favorite in 2018. But they are just 5-5 ATS in that span, and this line feels inflated with little betting support on the lesser-known Mountain West team.
While Michigan State - who are among the March Madness odds contenders - uses its tempo as an advantage over most teams, Richard Pitino’s bunch will not be fazed, as it plays at the sixth-fastest tempo in the country. With this Spartans team ranking outside the top 300 in 3-point shooting, I'm taking the Lobos to cover.
📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Donovan Dent Under 20.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Lobos guard Donovan Dent became the fifth player in school history named Mountain West Player of the Year. But Izzo has not made the Sweet 16 an impressive 15 times by continually letting the opposition’s best player beat him.
Dent has scored 21-plus points in six of the last seven games, but he has rarely faced an on-ball defender as harassing as Jaden Akins.
Akins forced Bryant’s high-scoring guard Rafael Pinzon into 2-of-12 shooting from beyond the arc, and the Spartans have held three of their last four opponents to 64 or fewer points. Of our best sports betting sites, BetMGM is the place to lock it in.
📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
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🎯 Score prediction: Michigan State 74, New Mexico 70
The Spartans are 23-1 SU in their last 24 games against unranked opponents at a neutral venue. So, while I am not calling for an outright upset, I still believe the Lobos cover with a final score prediction of Michigan State 74, New Mexico 70.
📊 Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1800)
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🤖 Michigan State vs. New Mexico AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Michigan State vs. New Mexico. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Michigan State 74, New Mexico 68.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Michigan State 74, New Mexico 68
- Michigan State, led by veteran coach Izzo, is a tournament-tested team with a history of making deep runs. Its experience in high-pressure games gives it the upper hand in March Madness.
- While New Mexico has been an impressive offensive team, it lacks the defensive consistency to match Michigan State's toughness and defensive schemes. The Lobos’ high-scoring ways may struggle against the Spartans' disciplined defense.
- Michigan State’s strength in rebounding and its physicality inside will give it an advantage in controlling the tempo and limiting New Mexico’s second-chance opportunities.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean New Mexico covering the spread (-7.5) and a total of Under 147.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Michigan State vs. New Mexico odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the second round.
Latest Michigan State vs. New Mexico odds
Here are the latest odds for Michigan State vs. New Mexico from BetMGM ahead of tipoff:
Spread
Michigan State is a 7.5-point betting favorite against New Mexico, juiced at -115. Those odds have an implied win probability of 53.49%. New Mexico's +7.5 line is juiced to -105 (51.22%).
Total
The Michigan State vs. New Mexico betting total sits at 148.5 ahead of tipoff. Both sides are juiced at -110 (52.38%).
Moneyline
Michigan State is a -300 moneyline favorite with an implied win probability of 75% against New Mexico. The Lobos' +240 odds carry an implied probability of 29.41%.
🔢 Michigan State vs. New Mexico opening odds
- Spread: Michigan State -6.5 (-110) | New Mexico +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Michigan State -295 | New Mexico +230
- Over/Under: Over 147.5 (-115) | Under 147.5 (-105)
📺 How to watch Michigan State vs. New Mexico: NCAA Tournament second round
📅 Date: Sunday, March 23
🕗 Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland)
📺 TV: TNT
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
Today's March Madness game picks
Here are today's best game previews and predictions:
- Florida vs. UConn prediction
- Duke vs. Baylor prediction
- Kentucky vs. Illinois prediction
- Alabama vs. St. Mary's prediction
- Maryland vs. Colorado State prediction
- Iowa State vs. Ole Miss prediction
- Michigan State vs. New Mexico prediction
- Arizona vs. Oregon prediction
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
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