North Texas vs. Oklahoma State Prediction: Best Picks & Odds for Tonight's NIT Quarterfinal

The North Texas Mean Green (26-8) and Oklahoma State Cowboys (17-17) square off tonight in the NIT quarterfinal, with the winner advancing to the semifinals at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tipoff from Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Okla., is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2).
Our North Texas vs. Oklahoma State prediction, odds, and preview break down tonight's matchup according to the NIT odds, making a case for fading the Cowboys, who are 1.5-point betting favorites.
π North Texas vs. Oklahoma State prediction & picks for Tuesday
Here are my best North Texas vs. Oklahoma State predictions for the (Round) of the National Invitational Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
β
Against the spread pick: North Texas +1.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Oklahoma State βββ
π₯ Best player prop bet: Brenen Lorient Under 9.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) βββ
π― Exact score prediction: North Texas 66, Oklahoma State 63 (+18000 via DraftKings)
π Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and our March Madness Sweet 16 predictions.
π Best North Texas vs. Oklahoma State pick, player prop bet & score prediction
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β North Texas to cover the spread: +1.5 βββ
Oklahoma State will get plenty of betting support as long as it remains alive in the NIT, as it is the only school left from a power conference.
However, sometimes that elite status can hurt a team, and it is only a matter of time before the Cowboys get burned by Marchelus Averyβs opting out of postseason play.
After the regular season, Avery owned the highest on/off offensive efficiency split on the team, per EvanMiya.
And the Cowboys are fortunate to be still alive, eking a two-point victory over SMU on Sunday with the Mustangs playing without Boopie Miller. Miller was vital for what SMU does offensively, ending with a top-four assist rate and top-11 steal rate in ACC play.
North Texas plays at the second-slowest tempo in the country, and I expect its methodical approach will take the Stillwater crowd out of the game, leading to a cover and outright upset.
π Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
π₯ Brenen Lorient Under 9.5 points βββ
Lorient has scored in single digits in both North Texasβ NIT games. His shot volume has not been there, as he has attempted seven or fewer field goal attempts in four of the previous six games.
Lorient has a lower ceiling against an Oklahoma State defense that blitzes ball screens at one of the highest rates in the country. That should keep the ball out of Lorientβs hands more often than usual.
π Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)
π― Score prediction: North Texas 66, Oklahoma State 63
The Mean Green beat the Cowboys on the road 65-59 in overtime and followed that up with another win against a power conference team (Wisconsin) en route to their 2023 NIT title. I expect a similar result on Tuesday and predict a final score of North Texas 66, and Oklahoma State 63.
π Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1800)
π€ North Texas vs. Oklahoma State AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NIT Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for North Texas vs. Oklahoma State. Our AI prediction projects a final score of North Texas 69, Oklahoma State 64.
π₯οΈ AI score prediction: North Texas 69, Oklahoma State 64
- North Texas has one of the best defenses in the country, ranking in the top 26 for effective field goal percentage allowed.
- Oklahoma State has struggled with offensive consistency all season, particularly in close games.
- North Texas has thrived in tight, low-scoring games, which will suit its style in the NIT. The Cowboys are built for grind-it-out basketball, and in a high-pressure environment like the NIT, that could give them an edge.
π€ Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean North Texas covering the spread (+1.5) and a total of Under 137.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
π Live North Texas vs. Oklahoma State odds
Follow the latest live NIT college basketball odds and real-time college basketball scores.
Oklahoma State has received 58% of the bets on the spread, as of a few hours before tipoff tonight. This has seen some of our best live betting sites list the Cowboys as 1.5-point favorites, with some sportsbooks - like DraftKings - still offering a 1-point line. Meanwhile, 84% of the handle is on the Over 136.5 points.
π’ North Texas vs. Oklahoma State opening odds
- Spread: North Texas +1.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State -1.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: North Texas +100 | Oklahoma State -120
- Over/Under: Over 137.5 (-115) | Under 137.5 (-105)
πΊ How to watch North Texas vs. Oklahoma State: NIT Quarterfinal
π
Date: Tuesday, March 25
π Time: 9 p.m. ET
π Location: Gallagher-Iba Arena (Stillwater, Okla.)
πΊ TV: ESPN2
π» Streaming: ESPN+
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