Texas A&M vs. Yale Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: NCAA Tournament Best Bets
The No. 4 seed Texas A&M Aggies (22-10) meet the No. 13 seed Yale Bulldogs (22-7) tonight in the NCAA Tournament's first round with tipoff at 7:25 p.m. ET (TBS) at Ball Arena in Denver as we look at our Texas A&M vs. Yale prediction, odds, and preview as part of our best March Madness predictions.
The Aggies are 7-point betting favorites to advance in the South Region of the March Madness bracket, but the Bulldogs rank ninth nationally in 3-point shooting percentage.
🏀 Texas A&M vs. Yale prediction & picks tonight
Here are my best Texas A&M vs. Yale predictions for the first round of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Texas A&M -7.5 (-105 via BetMGM) vs. Yale ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: John Poulakidas Over 16.5 points (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Texas A&M 81, Yale 68 (+20000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness first-round predictions.
🤖 See our March Madness AI bracket predictions for every game through Monday, April 7
🏆 Best Texas A&M vs. Yale pick, player prop bet & score prediction
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✅ Texas A&M to cover the spread: -7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Roughly 64% of the public is backing Yale against the spread. The Bulldogs’ 3-point shooting is incredible, as they make 38.5% of their shots from beyond the arc. They will have an advantage from deep in this game, as the Aggies rank 154th nationally in 3-point percentage allowed.
However, the 3-point line is the only area where the Bulldogs have the advantage. The Aggies have lost five of their last seven entering the tournament, but during that span, they also knocked off the Auburn Tigers and all of their losses were to tournament teams.
The Aggies are allowing only 67.9 points per game despite playing against SEC opponents all season. The Bulldogs are averaging 81 points per contest, but I fully expect them to struggle against a defense that has held great offenses in check for most of the season. And if their defense struggles, the Aggies’ offense, which is averaging over 74 points per game, will do enough to help them pull away late and cover this spread.
📊 Best odds: -105 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.52)
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🔥 John Poulakidas Over 16.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
I’d love to take Poulakidas to hit the Over on his 3-pointers made, but the price for him to go Over 2.5 is -155 at best. That price is too high, even if I’m very confident in Poulakidas’s shooting in this game. There are no alternate lines available yet, but keep an eye out, and feel free to take Over 3.5 for +120 or better on game day.
With his 3-pointers currently off the table, I’ll confidently take Poulakidas to score at least 17 in this game. Earlier this season when Yale battled the Purdue Boilermakers, Poulakidas went 5-of-12 from 3-point range, ultimately scoring 23 points. He enters the NCAA Tournament having scored 25 points in two of his last three games, including in the Ivy League championship.
The price for this Over is expensive, and I expect this total to climb to 17.5 before long. Take this number up to 20.5, as the Aggies’ 3-point defense isn’t good enough to slow down the Bulldogs’ leading scorer.
📊 Best odds: -125 via BetMGM ($10 to win $8)
🎯 Exact score prediction: Texas A&M 81, Yale 68
These are two high-scoring teams, but the Aggies’ 50th-ranked scoring defense is ultimately going to be too much for the Bulldogs to overcome. Led by Poulakidas, the Bulldogs will knock down plenty of threes, but if they start missing shots, they simply won’t have an alternative to get back on track and stop any Aggies’ runs.
While the Aggies’ offense may not look as impressive as the Bulldogs’ on paper, just remember who each of these two teams have played all season. The Aggies were in a historically great conference, and they still managed over 74 points per game. They’ll top 80 on Thursday.
📊 Best odds: +20000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $2,000)
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🤖 Texas A&M vs. Yale AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Texas A&M vs. Yale. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Texas A&M 72, Yale 62.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Texas A&M 72, Yale 62
- Texas A&M generally has a strong defense and a physical style of play. Historically, it's been able to dominate on the boards and slow down opponents
- The final score assumes Texas A&M dominates in the paint and takes advantage of its defensive strength, while Yale may struggle to score consistently against the Aggies’ defense
- Yale tends to have a more balanced approach but often struggles when playing teams with high-level athleticism and depth, which is typical of schools from major conferences like the SEC, where Texas A&M resides.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Texas A&M covering the spread (-7.5) and a total of Under 140 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Texas A&M vs. Yale odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the first round.
Latest Texas A&M vs. Yale odds
We're breaking down the latest Texas A&M vs. Yale odds from BetMGM ahead of tipoff tonight.
Spread
Texas A&M is a 7.5-point betting favorite with equal -110 odds on either side of that line. The Aggies need to win by 8 or more points in order to cover the spread, while Yale covers with a loss by 7 or fewer points, or an outright win.
Total
The betting total for Texas A&M vs. Yale sits at 139.5, and that's down a point from the opening line. The Under is still slightly juiced with -115 odds, so this may dip a little more.
Moneyline
Texas A&M is a -360 moneyline favorite with a 78% implied win probability of winning outright.
🔢 Texas A&M vs. Yale opening odds
- Spread: Texas A&M –7.5 (-110) | Yale +7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Texas A&M -300 | Yale +240
- Over/Under: Over 140.5 (-110) | Under 140.5 (-110)
📅 Check out the full March Madness first-round schedule and opening odds.
🔮 South Region expert picks
Here are our experts' best predictions for every game in the South Region
- South Region betting preview
- Auburn vs. Alabama State prediction
- Louisville vs. Creighton prediction
- UC San Diego vs. Michigan prediction
- Texas A&M vs. Yale prediction
- Ole Miss vs. North Carolina prediction
- Iowa State vs. Lipscomb prediction
- New Mexico vs. Marquette prediction
- Michigan State vs. Bryant
📺 How to watch Texas A&M vs. Yale: NCAA Tournament first round
📅 Date: Thursday, March 20
🕗 Time: 7:25 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
📺 TV: TBS
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live, Max
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