Texas vs. South Carolina Prediction Tonight: Best Odds, Picks & Preview for Women's March Madness

The No. 1 seed Texas Longhorns (35-3) meet the No. 1 seed South Carolina Gamecocks (34-3) for an intraconference rematch in the women's NCAA Tournament Final Four tonight. Our Texas vs. South Carolina prediction, odds, and preview back the favorites to cover the spread due to their experience and dominant play as of late.
Our best sports betting sites list the Gamecocks as 4.5-point betting favorites to advance to the women's March Madness bracket championship game. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN) tonight from Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla.
Can the Longhorns pull off the upset as part of our women's March Madness Final Four predictions?
🏀 Texas vs. South Carolina prediction & picks for tonight
Here are my best Texas vs. South Carolina predictions for the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: South Carolina -4.5 (-112 via FanDuel) vs. Texas ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Madison Booker Under 17.5 points (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: South Carolina 61, Texas 55 (+17000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more March Madness action? Check out the rest of our college basketball picks for both the men's and women's NCAA tournament.
🏆 Best Texas vs. South Carolina pick, player prop bet & score prediction
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✅ South Carolina to cover the spread: -4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Gamecocks didn’t look right in the Sweet 16 or the Elite Eight. They defeated both the Maryland Terrapins and Duke Devils by just four points, and they were tied or trailing with less than five minutes left in both games. Yet despite their struggles, they get the edge tonight against a very familiar opponent.
The Gamecocks and Longhorns have played each other three times this season. The Gamecocks are 2-1 in those games, with their only loss by four points at Texas on Feb. 9. In South Carolina, the Gamecocks won 67-50, and in the SEC championship game on a neutral floor, the Gamecocks won by 19.
The Gamecocks have done a great job of neutralizing Madison Booker in their two wins. The Longhorns’ leading scorer is averaging 16.5 points per game but was held to 10 or fewer in both of those games. Even when she scored 20, the Longhorns only won by four. Look for the Gamecocks to shut her down again, and pick up their third-largest win of the tournament.
📊 Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)
🔥 Madison Booker Under 17.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Booker has scored at least 17 points in all four of her NCAA Tournament games, but she’s yet to score more than 20 in a single game. Therefore, she has a high floor but a low ceiling, which could be problematic for her tonight.
Though she’s averaging 16.5 points per game, she’s struggled against the Gamecocks this season. In the SEC championship game, she was just 4-of-13 from the field, one of her lowest shooting percentages of the season. In fact, she’s yet to shoot higher than 31.8% against the Gamecocks this season. Even when she dropped 20 points on them in early February, she was just 7-of-22 from the floor.
Booker’s success is directly correlated to the Longhorns’ success, so they will do everything they can to get their best player involved. However, the Gamecocks’ defense is too accustomed to shutting her down, and she’s going to fall short of her season average for the third time in four games against them.
📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.09)
🎯 Score prediction: South Carolina 61, Texas 55
The highest-scoring game between these two teams this season saw just 128 points, so I’m backing another low-scoring affair. The Gamecocks scored over 60 in all three contests, managing between 62 and 67 in each game. The Longhorns haven’t been so successful. They scored 66 in their win, but they scored 50 or fewer in their two losses.
I’ll back the Longhorns to perform a little better than usual in this one, but still fall short, as the Gamecocks barely break 60. Take the Under if you’re betting the total.
📊 Best odds: +17000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,700)
🤖 Texas vs. South Carolina AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Texas vs. South Carolina. Our AI prediction projects a final score of South Carolina 68, Texas 56.
🖥️ AI score prediction: South Carolina 68, Texas 56
- The Gamecocks have reached the Final Four for the fifth consecutive year under coach Dawn Staley.
- The Longhorns have been led by standout players such as Madison Booker, who averages 16.2 points per game, and Rori Harmon, who has been instrumental in their tournament run.
- Known for their strong defensive play, the Gamecocks have limited opponents to an average of 57.4 points per game this season.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean South Carolina covering the spread (-4.5) and a total of Under 124.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Texas vs. South Carolina odds
Follow the latest women's March Madness odds for the NCAA Tournament.
📈 Texas vs. South Carolina odds movement
South Carolina opened up as a 4.5-point betting favorite ahead of tipoff tonight. But with books taking action on the Gamecocks, they've moved to -5.5 at popular sportsbooks, such as ESPN BET. The total has also shrunk significantly, descending from 127.5 at open to 123.5 in the hours leading up to tipoff.
🔢 Texas vs. South Carolina opening odds
- Spread: Texas +4.5 (-110) | South Carolina -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Texas +164 | South Carolina -198
- Over/Under: Over 127.5 (-110) | Under 127.5 (-110)
⛹️♀️ Women's Final Four expert picks tonight
Here are all of our expert picks for tonight's two matchups at Amalie Arena:
- Women's Final Four expert picks
- Women's March Madness Final Four odds and predictions
- Texas vs. South Carolina prediction
- Texas vs. South Carolina player props
- UCLA vs. UConn prediction
- UCLA vs. UConn player props
📺 How to watch Texas vs. South Carolina: Women's Final Four
📅 Date: Friday, April 4
🕗 Time: 7 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Amalie Arena (Tampa, Fla.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
March Madness odds | March Madness MVP odds |
Women's March Madness odds | March Madness MVP predictions |
Final Four odds | March Madness prop bets |
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