Texas vs. TCU Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: Best Picks for Women's March Madness
The No. 1 seed Texas Longhorns (34-3) meet the No. 2 seed TCU Horned Frogs (34-3) in the women's NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Monday at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Legacy Arena at BJCC in Birmingham, Ala.
The Longhorns are 7.5-point favorites to win the Birmingham 3 Region of the women's March Madness bracket. We discuss why they won’t face any trouble with the Horned Frogs in our Texas vs. TCU prediction, odds, and preview as part of our women's March Madness predictions.
🏀 Texas vs. TCU prediction & picks for Monday
Here are my best Texas vs. TCU predictions for the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Texas -7.5 (-106 via FanDuel) vs. TCU ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Hailey van Lith 2+ 3-pointers (-120 via DraftKings)⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Texas 69, TCU 60 (+14000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more March Madness action? Check out the rest of our college basketball picks for both the men's and women's NCAA tournament.
Texas vs. TCU line movement and insights
- The spread has moved to -6.5 still in favor of Texas at some of our best sports betting sites like FanDuel during the hours before tipoff, though it remains at -7.5 through others like BetMGM
- TCU is getting widespread support to cover, with the Horned Frogs generating the third-most tickets at +7.5 and the fourth-most money through BetMGM
- Plenty of bettors are even more confident in TCU while backing the school on the moneyline, making the Horned Frogs at +275 the fourth-most bet ticket at BetMGM
🏆 Best Texas vs. TCU pick, player prop bet & score prediction
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✅ Texas to cover the spread: -7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Horned Frogs and Longhorns both used massive fourth quarters to pull away from their respective opponents during the Sweet 16. We could see a script on Monday, and the Longhorns will be the team that uses defense to close out the win.
The Horned Frogs have produced an excellent season, and Hailey Van Lith was spectacular in their Sweet 16 victory. She scored 26 points, and Van Lith has tallied at least 16 in five of her last six. While she’s shown up against the best competition all season, the rest of her team hasn’t always done the same. The Horned Frogs scored just 52 points in their 33-point loss to South Carolina, and 21 came from Van Lith.
Madison Booker has been performing at a high level all season for the Longhorns, scoring 17-plus points in every tournament game. She’ll hit that number again on Monday. But Booker isn't the reason the Longhorns will dominate. They boast a better supporting cast and defense, which will be too much for TCU to overcome.
📊 Best odds: -106 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.43)
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🔥 Hailey Van Lith 2+ 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Van Lith’s point total is set at 17.5 for this game, which is a bit concerning since he’s scored 16 or fewer points in two of her three games during this tournament. She’s coming off an incredible 26-point performance, which is likely why the best March Madness betting sites are asking -120 or more for her points total Over.
But taking Van Lith’s Over against a team that’s allowing just 55.8 points per game is risky. Therefore, I’ll back her to make at least two 3-pointers instead. Van Lith has knocked down at least 2 threes in two of her three NCAA Tournament games. Overall, she’s made multiple threes in a game during four of her last six contests.
While the Longhorns’ 3-point defense is solid, Van Lith averages 5.2 shots from beyond the arc per game. She’s only shooting 33.9% from deep this season. But in a game during which her team is likely to be trailing for much of the time, look for Van Lith to shoot more than her season average. Even making 33.9% of six attempts would allow her to hit this prop.
📊 Best odds: -120 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.33)
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🎯 Score prediction: Texas 69, TCU 60
Both of these teams average over 77 points per game, so seeing this final score so low may shock some. However, the Longhorns’ defense has been incredible all season, and it should dictate the tempo of this game too.
The Longhorns haven’t allowed more than 64 points in a game since Feb. 6. That run won’t end on Monday, even if they’re going up against one of the nation's hottest offenses. The Longhorns will cover, with the total going Under.
📊 Best odds: +14000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,400)
🤖 Texas vs. TCU AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Texas vs. TCU. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Texas 75, TCU 63.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Texas 75, TCU 63
- The Longhorns are likely to boast a more balanced attack, with a solid defense that can stifle TCU’s offensive sets. The Longhorns' depth and historical advantage give them a slight edge in such matchups.
- The Horned Frogs could pull off an upset if they capitalize on Texas’ weaknesses, like turnovers or an off night shooting.
- TCU will likely apply full-court or half-court pressure to force Texas into bad decisions. If the Horned Frogs’ defense is aggressive, especially in the backcourt, it can rattle Texas’ ball handlers and create chaos.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Texas covering the spread (-7.5) and a total of Over 131.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Texas vs. TCU odds
Follow the latest women's March Madness odds for the NCAA Tournament.
🔢 Texas vs. TCU opening odds
- Spread: Texas -7.5 (-110) | TCU +7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Texas -339 | TCU +275
- Over/Under: Over 131.5 (-110) | Under 131.5 (-110)
📺 How to watch Texas vs. TCU: Women's Elite Eight
📅 Date: Monday, March 31
🕗 Time: 7 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Legacy Arena at BJCC (Birmingham, Ala.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
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| Final Four odds | March Madness prop bets |
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