UCLA vs. UConn Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: Best Bets for Women's March Madness

The stakes couldn’t be higher as No. 1 seed UCLA (34-2) takes on No. 2 seed UConn (35-3) in tonight’s Final Four showdown, with a spot in the women’s NCAA Tournament championship on the line. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla. (ESPN).
Despite the Huskies entering as 7.5-point betting favorites, our UCLA vs. UConn prediction, odds, and preview backs the Bruins to cover in what should be a tightly contested battle. We break down why UCLA is being overlooked in our latest women’s March Madness predictions.
📈 UCLA vs. UConn line movement
UConn opened as an 8.5-point favorite with the line shifting down a point as most of our best sports betting sites are offering the Huskies -7.5. The game total has also dropped a point to 134.5 since opening at 135.5. And despite the Bruins being the No. 1 overall seed, UConn's Paige Bueckers is the most-bet player to win MVP of March Madness, per BetMGM.
🏀 UCLA vs. UConn prediction & picks for tonight
Here are my best UCLA vs. UConn predictions for the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: UCLA +7.5 (-102 via DraftKings) vs. UConn ⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Azzi Fudd Under 12.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: UConn 75, UCLA 69 (+15000 via DraftKings)
👉 Want more March Madness action? Check out the rest of our college basketball picks for both the men's and women's NCAA tournament.
🏆 Best UCLA vs. UConn pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ UCLA to cover the spread: +7.5 ⭐⭐⭐
UConn has taken over as the favorite to win the NCAA Tournament and rightfully so. The Huskies have won all of their tournament games by at least 14 points, and they already have a 29-point win at South Carolina under their belt. Yet, this spread feels disrespectful to the overall No. 1 seed.
The Bruins have still only lost to the USC Trojans this season. While the Huskies just beat them by 14, the Trojans were without Women's Wooden Award odds favorite JuJu Watkins. Aside from their two losses to USC, the Bruins have dominated opposition. They have won three of their four NCAA Tournament games by at least 14 and defeated a tough LSU team by seven in the Elite Eight.
All 35 of the Huskies’ wins have been by double digits. But the Bruins are a very good team, and the public is so in love with the Huskies that you can get the Bruins at +7.5 for -102. That’s a price that’s too good to pass up for arguably the best team in the country.
📊 Best odds: -102 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.80)
🔥 Azzi Fudd Under 12.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Fudd is the Huskies’ third-leading scorer, but her performances in her last two games are worrisome. She scored just eight points against the Trojans in the Elite Eight, as she shot 3-of-14 from the field. She scored just 10 points in the Sweet 16, as well.
Fudd was phenomenal in the first two rounds, but the competition in those two games was also pretty weak. As the competition has ramped up, she’s struggled, and we worry that will continue on Friday. She has now scored 14 or fewer points in nine of her last 11 games.
Fudd did explode for 28 against the South Carolina Gamecocks earlier this season, but in her other seven games against ranked opponents, she’s topped 12 points just twice. The price for this prop is steep, but with one exception against Arkansas State in the first round, Fudd has not shot well for over a month. Take this Under, as Paige Bueckers and Sarah Strong do the majority of scoring.
📊 Best odds: -118 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.47)
🎯 Score prediction: UConn 75, UCLA 69
The Huskies have scored at least 78 points in all four of their NCAA Tournament games, but they'll go below that number on Friday against a defense allowing just 57.9 points per game. That said, UConn will still get close to 80, even against one of the best defenses in the nation.
UCLA will do its part against the best scoring defense in the country. Though the Huskies are allowing just 52.0 points per game, the Bruins are averaging 78.7 per contest. Since the Huskies just gave up 64 to USC with Watkins, the Bruins should be able to top that number.
📊 Best odds: +15000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,500)
🤖 UCLA vs. UConn AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for UCLA vs. UConn. Our AI prediction projects a final score of UConn 78, UCLA 70.
🖥️ AI score prediction: UConn 78, UCLA 70
- The Bruins prefer a slower, more methodical game, focusing on excellent defensive sets and efficient shooting. While they can be explosive on offense, they are more known for controlling the pace of the game.
- Paige Bueckers is a game-changer and one of the best players in women’s college basketball, known for her scoring, passing, and leadership.
- Azzi Fudd will provide scoring depth, leadership, and playmaking abilities.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean UConn covering the spread (-7.5) and a total of Over 136.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live UCLA vs. UConn odds
Follow the latest women's March Madness odds for the NCAA Tournament.
🔢 UCLA vs. UConn opening odds
- Spread: UCLA +8.5 (-115) | UConn -8.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: UCLA +320 | UConn -410
- Over/Under: Over 135.5 (-110) | Under 135.5 (-110)
⛹️♀️ Women's Final Four expert picks tonight
Here are all of our expert picks for tonight's two matchups at Amalie Arena:
- Women's Final Four expert picks
- Women's March Madness Final Four odds and predictions
- Texas vs. South Carolina prediction
- Texas vs. South Carolina player props
- UCLA vs. UConn prediction
- UCLA vs. UConn player props
📺 How to watch UCLA vs. UConn: Women's Final Four
📅 Date: Friday, April 4
🕗 Time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Amalie Arena (Tampa, Fla.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
💰 March Madness betting odds pages
March Madness odds | March Madness MVP odds |
Women's March Madness odds | March Madness MVP predictions |
Final Four odds | March Madness prop bets |
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