USC vs. UNC Greensboro Prediction, Odds & Today's Preview: Women's March Madness Best Bets

The No. 1 seed USC Trojans (28-3) meet the No. 16 seed UNC Greensboro Spartans (25-6) today in the first round of the women's NCAA Tournament at 3 p.m. ET (ABC) at Galen Center in Los Angeles. Here is our USC vs. UNC Greensboro prediction, odds, and preview as part of our women's March Madness predictions.
The Trojans are 32.5-point betting favorites to advance in the Spokane 4 Region of the women's March Madness bracket.
π USC vs. UNC Greensboro prediction & picks today
Here are my best USC vs. UNC Greensboro predictions for the first round of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
β
Against the spread pick: USC -32.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. UNC Greensboro βββββ
π₯ Best player prop bet: JuJu Watkins Over 6.5 rebounds (-114 via FanDuel) ββββ
π― Exact score prediction: USC 76, UNC Greensboro 58 (+19000 via DraftKings)
π Want more March Madness action? Check out the rest of our college basketball picks for both the men's and women's NCAA tournament.
π Best USC vs. UNC Greensboro pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
β USC to cover the spread: -32.5 βββββ
The Trojans defeated just two Big Ten teams by at least 30 points, so I wouldnβt be surprised to see some bettors scared off by this large number. However, the women's March Madness odds favorites are the right play for several reasons.
The Trojans defeated eight non-conference opponents by at least 30 points. They held four of those opponents to 40 points or fewer, and in their best defensive performance of the year, they kept the Elon Phoenix to just 30 points. Offensively, the Trojans rank ninth in the country, averaging 81.5 points per game. There is just no way the Spartans will be able to keep up.
The Spartans are 25-6, an excellent record for a 16 seed. But they didnβt play anyone decent this year. They lost 80-56 to the North Carolina Tar Heels in their only difficult matchup. I expect this game to get even uglier, with the Spartans struggling to top 40 points.
π Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
π₯ JuJu Watkins Over 6.5 rebounds ββββ
Watkins is averaging 24.6 points per game, so itβs not surprising to see her total set at 25.5. While that Over is tempting, the Trojans may elect to rest Watkins for most of the second half, which should keep her under the total. However, no matter how many minutes she plays, I love her to grab more than 6.5 rebounds.
Watkins is averaging 6.9 rebounds per game, and she pulled down at least 10 in two of her three Big Ten tournament games. Considering I expect the Trojans to hold the Spartans to 41 points, there will be many rebounding opportunities.
Watkins is third on the team in rebounds per game behind Kiki Iriafen and Rayah Marshall. And while both will likely go over their rebounding total, both players' totals are set above their season averages. With limited minutes a real possibility, I'll take the player whose total is set below their season average.
Of our best sportsbooks, FanDuel offers the best price.
π Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)
π― Score prediction: USC 84, UNC Greensboro 41
The only thing preventing the Trojans from scoring more points is theyβre likely to rest key players when the game gets out of hand. While they havenβt blown out many Big Ten teams, their non-conference results are incredible, and the Spartans are bound to be their next victim.
Itβs been a while since this great defense has had a chance to clamp down on a far inferior opponent, and I believe we will see the Spartans struggle to cope, barely cracking 40. The Trojans should still top their season average despite resting their starters late.
π Best odds: +19000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,900)
π€ USC vs. UNC Greensboro AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for USC vs. UNC Greensboro. Our AI prediction projects a final score of USC 76, UNC Greensboro 58.
π₯οΈ AI score prediction: USC 76, UNC Greensboro 58
- USC is known for its solid defense and transition play. They focus on creating turnovers and capitalizing on fast breaks, while their offense often relies on a combination of strong inside play and perimeter shooting.
- UNC Greensboro has struggled in past tournament appearances when facing more talented teams.
π€ Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean UNC Greensboro covering the spread (+31.5) and a total of Over 128.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
π Live USC vs. UNC Greensboro odds
Follow the latest women's March Madness odds for the NCAA Tournament.
Latest USC vs. UNC Greensboro odds
Here are the latest USC vs. UNC Greensboro odds via BetMGM ahead of tipoff:
Spread
USC is a 33.5-point betting favorite on the spread. That line has grown by 3 points from the opening number, and there are equal -110 odds on either side ahead of tipoff.
Total
The Over/Under for USC vs. UNC Greensboro sits at 129.5 points, up one point from the opening betting line.
Moneyline
The USC vs. UNC Greensboro moneyline is off the board as of 12:10 p.m. ET, likely due to the very large spread.
π’ USC vs. UNC Greensboro opening odds
- Spread: USC -30.5 (-110) | UNC Greensboro +30.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: USC -10000 | UNC Greensboro +1600
- Over/Under: Over 128.5 (-110) | Under 128.5 (-110)
πΊ How to watch USC vs. UNC Greensboro: Women's March Madness
π
Date: Saturday, March 22
π Time: 3 p.m. ETπ
Location: Galen Center (Los Angeles)
πΊ TV: ABC
π» Streaming: March Madness Live
Today's best women's March Madness picks
Here are our other women's March Madness picks for today's first-round games:
- Iowa vs. Murray State prediction
- UConn vs. Arkansas State prediction
- Best Paige Bueckers odds, player props
- USC vs. UNC Greensboro prediction
- Best JuJu Watkin odds, player props
- LSU vs. San Diego State prediction
π° March Madness betting odds pages
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Women's March Madness odds | March Madness MVP predictions |
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