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Women's Final Four Expert Picks: Best Bets for Friday's March Madness Semifinals
Pictured: The 2025 NCAA Women's Final Four team champion trophy at Amalie Arena. Photo by Kirby Lee-Imagn Images.

We have our Women's Final Four expert picks ahead of tonight's March Madness semifinal matchups between Texas and South Carolina, and UCLA and UConn. Both games will take place at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., beginning at 7 and 9:30 p.m. ET, respectively.

South Carolina (-5.5) and UConn (-7.5) are the betting favorites. They'll hope to secure their spots in Sunday's national championship game, which will tip off at 3 p.m. ET.

🔮 Who will win tonight's Final Four games?

  • Texas vs. South Carolina spread prediction: South Carolina -4.5 (-112 via FanDuel) vs. Texas ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • UCLA vs. UConn spread prediction: UCLA +7.5 (-102 via DraftKings) vs. UConn ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Women's Final Four player props

  • Texas vs. South Carolina player prop pick: Joyce Edwards player prop pick: Under 10.5 points (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • UCLA vs. UConn player prop pick: Paige Bueckers player prop pick: Over 25.5 points (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

👉 Want more March Madness action? Check out the rest of our college basketball picks for both the men's and women's NCAA tournament.

🐓 Texas vs. South Carolina predictions

✅ South Carolina to cover the spread: -4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Gamecocks didn’t look right in the Sweet 16 or the Elite Eight. They defeated both the Maryland Terrapins and Duke Devils by just four points, and they were tied or trailing with less than five minutes left in both games. Yet despite their struggles, they get the edge tonight against a very familiar opponent.

The Gamecocks and Longhorns have played each other three times this season. The Gamecocks are 2-1 in those games, with their only loss by four points at Texas on Feb. 9. In South Carolina, the Gamecocks won 67-50, and in the SEC championship game on a neutral floor, the Gamecocks won by 19.

📊 Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)

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🔥 Joyce Edwards Under 10.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The game total (124.5) suggests a rock fight between two of the best defensive teams in the nation, and I like fading South Carolina freshman Joyce Edwards on the biggest stage of her life.

Edwards’ role has diminished in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 9.3 points and 19.5 minutes per game. She has not surpassed this in two of her three matchups against Texas.

There is a reason why FanDuel charges as much as -130 for this Under. We're rolling with Caesars, offering the longest odds of our best sports betting sites

📊 Best odds: -120 via Caesars ($10 to win $8.33)

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📊 Texas vs. South Carolina odds

📺 How to watch Texas vs. South Carolina

📅 Date: Friday, April 4
🕗 Time: 7 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Amalie Arena (Tampa, Fla.)
📺 TV: ESPN/ESPN2
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live

🐻 UCLA vs. UConn predictions

✅ UCLA to cover the spread: +7.5 ⭐⭐⭐

UConn has taken over as the favorite to win the NCAA Tournament and rightfully so. The Huskies have won all of their tournament games by at least 14 points, and they already have a 29-point win at South Carolina under their belt. Yet, this spread feels disrespectful to the overall No. 1 seed.

The Bruins have still only lost to the USC Trojans this season. While the Huskies just beat them by 14, the Trojans were without Women's Wooden Award odds favorite JuJu Watkins. Aside from their two losses to USC, the Bruins have dominated the opposition. They have won three of their four NCAA Tournament games by at least 14 and defeated a tough LSU team by seven in the Elite Eight.

📊 Best odds: -102 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.80)

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🔥 Paige Bueckers Over 25.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The UConn guard (and likely No. 1 pick in the WNBA Draft) is on an unreal heater right now. Bueckers has scored 30-plus points in three straight NCAA Tournament games, averaging 35 per contest.

She is -280 to be the game's leading scorer at DraftKings, which is why her line is as high as 26.5 at most of our best sports betting sites. BetMGM is the lone shop offering her scoring prop at 25.5, with a solid +100 value as a cherry on top.

📊 Best odds: +100 via BetMGM ($10 to win $10)

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📊 UCLA vs. UConn odds

📺 How to watch UCLA vs. UConn: Women's Final Four

📅 Date: Friday, April 4
🕗 Time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Amalie Arena (Tampa, Fla.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+

⛹️‍♀️ Women's Final Four expert picks tonight

Here are all of our expert picks for tonight's two matchups at Amalie Arena:

👑 Best March Madness betting sites

Ready to place your March Madness bets? Check out the best March Madness betting promos from our best March Madness betting sites, as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review.

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