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NFL Week 8 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: October 22, 2024 11:20 AM EDT • 3 min 31 sec read.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love against the Houston as we offer our ATS picks for every Week 8 game.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love against the Houston. Photo by William Glasheen USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn

You might be surprised to know that the Indianapolis Colts have the best against the spread (ATS) record through seven weeks. The Colts are 6-1 ATS, while the Carolina Panthers have the worst ATS record (1-6) entering Week 8. 

  • Away teams are 61-41-4 ATS, and away favorites are 25-10-2
  • Favorites are 56-46-4 ATS, and the Super Bowl odds favorite Kansas City Chiefs are 4-1-1 ATS
  • Away underdogs are 36-31-2 ATS, and home underdogs are 10-25-2

Our ATS picks since Week 4 are 36-23, and we went 9-6 in Week 7. Here's a look at our NFL ATS picks for Week 8 as we provide further analysis on three featured games. These picks are part of our Week 8 predictions. 

NFL ATS picks Week 8: Every game

NFL odds via DraftKings and subject to change; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

MatchupPickConfidence
Vikings (-3) vs. Rams Vikings (-3)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Titans vs. Lions (-10.5)Lions (-10.5)⭐⭐⭐
Packers (-4.5) vs. Jaguars Packers (-4.5)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Colts vs. Texans (-6)Colts (+6)⭐⭐⭐
Ravens (-11.5) vs. BrownsRavens (-11.5)⭐⭐⭐
Eagles vs. Bengals (-3)Bengals (-3)⭐⭐⭐
Jets (-7) vs. Patriots Jets (-7)⭐⭐⭐
Cardinals vs. Dolphins (-3)Cardinals (+3)⭐⭐⭐
Falcons (-2.5) vs. BuccaneersFalcons (-2.5)⭐⭐⭐
Bills (-3) vs. SeahawksBills (-3)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Saints vs. Chargers (-7)Chargers (-7)⭐⭐⭐
Chiefs (-9.5) vs. Raiders Chiefs (-9.5)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Panthers vs. Broncos (-8)Broncos (-8)⭐⭐⭐
Bears (-2.5) vs. Commanders Commanders (+2.5)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Cowboys vs. 49ers (-4.5)49ers (-4.5)⭐⭐⭐
Giants vs. Steelers (-6)Steelers (-6)⭐⭐⭐⭐

My favorite ATS picks this week

NFL picks as of Tuesday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Vikings (-3) vs. Rams

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

The Minnesota Vikings had their perfect 5-0 ATS record stripped from them by the Detroit Lions in Week 7.

In Week 8, Sam Darnold and Co. face the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. The Rams are 1-5 ATS, and I feel this is an idyll bounce-back opportunity for the Vikings, who should be able to run the ball against the 17th-ranked run defense, via PFF.

In Week 7, Aaron Jones had 93 yards on 14 carries against the Detroit Lions' 10th-ranked run defense. Wideout Cooper Kupp is expected to return, which will be a massive boost for the Rams. And they'll most likely need to air it out more often against the Vikings.

Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones scores a touchdown as we make our best ATS picks for every Week 8 game.
Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones scores a 31-yard touchdown against the Detroit Lions. Phot by Jeffrey Becker via Imagn Images

While the Vikings struggled to contain Jahmyr Gibbs, who ran for 116 yards on 15 carries, they have the fourth-ranked run defense and will be focusing on preventing Kyren Williams from taking over the contest. The Vikings have a better all-around defense and a slightly more balanced offense. Their opposite ATS records also speak volumes.

FanDuel is the only one of our best NFL betting sites offering -3. The others have increased the line to -3.5, so I'm taking the extra half-point buffer at a slightly more expensive price. 

Packers (-4.5) vs. Jaguars 

Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%

I backed the Green Bay Packers, who won by two points, to cover the -2.5 spread against the Houston Texans in Week 7. While still getting over that defeat, I'm confident the Packers will go on the road and beat a subpar Jacksonville Jaguars team by at least five. 

The Jaguars' defense is ranked 20th by PFF and has the worst defensive DVOA. Meanwhile, the Packers' offense has the fifth-ranked offensive DVOA and is 4-3 ATS.

The Jaguars played much better in London in Week 7, but let's not forget they were playing the New England Patriots, one of the worst teams in football. 

FanDuel offers the best price, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.52. 

Chiefs (-9.5) vs. Raiders 

Best odds: -112 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%

The giant spread concerns me slightly.

But I went against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes in San Francisco last week, and that experiment failed miserably. The Chiefs continue to go about their business regardless of their increasing injury count on offense. They dismantled an excellent 49ers team, intercepting three Brock Purdy passes in the process. 

And let's be honest, the Las Vegas Raiders are in tatters. While they kept things close against the Rams, only losing by five, they'll have to rely on Gardner Minshew after Aidan O'Connell fractured his thumb. 

By the way, I had the Rams to win by at least 5.5, so you can imagine how I feel about that particular contest.

Honestly, O'Connell's absence in this one wouldn't make much of a difference.

The Chiefs have beaten the Raiders by at least 14 in four of the previous six head-to-heads. I like the -9.5 line at DraftKings and FanDuel for a slightly more expensive price than the -10 at BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365.

A winning $10 bet profits $8.93. 

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.