Anytime and First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Monday Night Football
Two more games on Monday Night Football provide us more opportunities for our anytime and first touchdown scorer predictions while searching for the longest NFL odds across our best sports betting apps.
Despite going just 2-for-5 with our touchdown picks in Week 1, we still returned a +7.5-unit profit, which is the beauty of this betting market.
Through 14 of 16 games in Week 2, we're down to +2.5 units on the season with a 2-11 record. Not great! But let's get some back with a couple of hits to end the week. Follow me via Twitter/X to catch any additional plays or pivots closer to game time.
Here are our best NFL anytime and first touchdown scorer predictions to boost your NFL Week 2 predictions and player props (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Saints vs. Panthers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Miles Sanders, Panthers, RB (+180 via DraftKings)
Sanders has the second-highest touchdown projection for Monday night's Saints vs. Panthers clash, with only Saints running back Jamaal Williams coming in ahead of him. We're getting our best price for this Monday Night Football prop prediction from DraftKings at +180 with BetRivers offering the market-low of +125.
The Panthers leaned heavily on their run game in Bryce Young's NFL debut last week. That work was fairly evenly distributed, but it was Sanders who was most effective with 18 carries and four receptions (on six targets) for 98 total yards. He didn't find the end zone, but with Young's first-game jitters out of the way, I expect Carolina to make more red-zone appearances and for Sanders' dual-threat abilities to be utilized heavily.
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Dolphins vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots, RB 2+ touchdowns (+850 via FanDuel) ✖️
Even with Ezekiel Elliott making his New England Patriots debut, incumbent workhorse Rhamondre Stevenson led the backfield while drawing 73% of the snaps played last week. Though he finished with 12 carries for just 25 yards, Stevenson hauled in all six of his targets for an extra 64 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles.
It's that dual-usage I like for this two-plus touchdowns bet with New England a 2.5-point home underdog against the Miami Dolphins. Miami ranks last in the NFL in run-stop win rate through just one week and gave up three rushing touchdowns during a Week 1 upset win over the Los Angeles Chargers. It's easy to see why our Neil Parker likes Stevenson's yardage total with his NFL Week 2 player props.
Stevenson's highest odds to score an anytime touchdown on Sunday Night Football are just +130 via Caesars. Let's shoot higher with these +850 odds from FanDuel for two-plus scores. BetMGM is offering this same prop at +400.
Bears vs. Buccaneers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Khalil Herbert, Bears, RB (+240 via DraftKings) ✖️
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pulled off an upset of the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1, but they gave up a receiving touchdown to running back Alexander Mattison along the way. They also checked in at a middling 16th in run-stop win rate.
While the Bucs are suddenly 3-point favorites by the NFL's Week 2 odds, they were 1.5-point underdogs in the opening NFL odds. That should offer some hope for a Chicago Bears team that the rival Green Bay Packers trounced in Week 1.
The Bears balanced their backfield work during that loss. Khalil Herbert played 36% of the snaps and registered nine carries to go with three receptions on five targets as the veteran of the group. While it was rookie teammate Roschon Johnson who found the end zone on one of his five carries, Week 2 projections still favor Herbert to receive more touches, and he's getting the highest probability of finding paydirt among Bears running backs.
DraftKings' +240 odds is the best price, with Caesars hanging odds of just +175.
Vikings vs. Eagles anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Boston Scott, Eagles, RB (+350 via FanDuel) ✖️
All eyes (and bets) are on Eagles running back D'Andre Swift to handle the bulk of the backfield work with Kenneth Gainwell ruled out of Thursday Night Football. However, Swift's odds in the anytime touchdown market come at a high of +160 via FanDuel. I don't hate it in a game the Eagles are set as 7-point favorites with an implied team total of 28 points, but the value is much better on the sixth-year rusher, Scott, via this number from FanDuel.
Gainwell led the Eagles with 14 carries in last week's win over the New England Patriots. QB Jalen Hurts had nine rushing attempts and Scott and Swift each received just a single tote. Yet, Swift's priced at +160 for an anytime touchdown and Rashaad Penny, who spent last week inactive, is even being given a better chance of finding the end zone in Week 2 with odds as high as +275 via BetMGM.
Projections for Thursday night have Swift with 0.3 touchdowns while Penny and Scott are both projected for 0.2 TDs. Yet, Scott's being priced well above his teammates despite being in head coach Nick Sirianni's system for longer and scoring 10 rushing touchdowns in the last two years. We need to take advantage of these higher odds on the less popular player.
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First touchdown scorer predictions
Browns vs. Steelers first touchdown scorer prediction: Nick Chubb, Browns, RB (+450 via FanDuel)
Cleveland is a 2-point road favorite, and while our Mike Spector likes Pittsburgh to cover with his Browns vs. Steelers prediction, I'm counting on the Browns to start hot based on the Week 1 results for both sides. That turns us immediately to Nick Chubb, who is the consensus favorite in this market for Monday, with odds as low as +340 via BetMGM. He is also projected to score 0.6 rushing touchdowns in what's expected to be a Cleveland win.
Chubb rushed 18 times for 106 yards while catching all four of his targets for another 21 yards in last week's upset of the Cincinnati Bengals before sitting out much of the late stages with the game in hand. Amari Cooper, the Browns' No. 1 wide receiver, won't be at full health on Monday so expect an extra dose of a Chubb-led rushing attack
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Raiders vs. Bills first touchdown scorer prediction: Josh Allen, Bills, QB (+750 via DraftKings) ✖️
Sometimes with the touchdown market you have to play the motivation angle.
The first stop on that bus this week is Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen. Annually an MVP hopeful, the sixth-year starter began his 2023 campaign with three interceptions in the Bills' shocking Week 1 loss to the New York Jets in a game which Aaron Rodgers departed early in the first quarter. But the Jets have long had his number, that game was on the road, and the weather was lousy.
I'm looking for Allen to show a bit of ego in the Bills' home opener and to lean on his legs early in a game the Bills are set as 8.5-point favorites.
Allen's also the second-shortest favorite on the board in this market for Raiders vs. Bills but with odds of +750 via DraftKings with a low price of +550 via Caesars.
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