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Bengals vs. Ravens Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for TNF Week 10

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 4, 2024 7:51 AM EST • 3 min 11 sec read.

Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Sam Hubbard pushes Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson out of bounds as we make our Bengals vs. Ravens early picks.
Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Sam Hubbard pushes Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson out of bounds. Photo by Cara Owsley / The Enquirer via Imagn Images.

Two AFC North rivals meet for the second time this season as the Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football.

  • Cincinnati has won four of six games since starting 0-3
  • Baltimore has won six of seven since starting 0-2
  • Lamar Jackson’s MVP odds improved after finishing his fourth game with a perfect passer rating (tied for the most in NFL history)

Our Bengals vs. Ravens early picks and odds expect a lower-scoring game than the oddsmakers predict, but also advise to wait a bit as the total should continue to rise throughout the week.

My early Bengals vs. Ravens prediction: Under 52.5

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Under 52.5

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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This will likely be considered a heavily contrarian play, as these two teams combined for 79 points in a 41-38 Week 5 Ravens victory.

I am backing the Under because not only are these two teams familiar with each other as division rivals, but this Thursday night kickoff will also affect both teams’ preparation. 

In addition, games with 50-point totals or higher have been lower-scoring. Games that kick off with totals of 50-plus points are 7-4 to the Under this season, 19-8 to the Under over the last two seasons, and 36-18 in the previous three.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on NFL or this week's best sportsbook promos.

Bengals vs. Ravens live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 10 game.

Moneyline

  • Ravens best odds: -250 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 71.43%
  • Bengals best odds: +240 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 29.41%

Cincinnati won easily as a 7.5-point favorite against the Las Vegas Raiders last week. Still, its four wins this season have all come against teams currently under .500. Meanwhile, Baltimore’s 31-point win against a previously 5-3 Broncos team looks more impressive, especially since Denver entered the game on a three-game road winning streak.

Baltimore has won three straight and nine of the last 14 against Cincinnati, so the moneyline odds should go in its favor as it should be a popular leg of many parlays.

Spread

  • Ravens best odds: -6 (-108) via DraftKings
  • Bengals best odds: +6.5 (-110) via Caesars

Four of the last six meetings between these division rivals have been decided by seven or fewer points, so I would not expect enough support on Baltimore’s point spread to see this line get to the key number of seven.

If anything, I expect this game to kick off with a spread of six or fewer points, as Joe Burrow is 6-8 ATS when he is a six-point favorite or higher, but is 35-18-1 ATS when he is a favorite of six or fewer points or an underdog.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 52.5 (-105) via FanDuel
  • Under best odds: 52.5 (-110) via BetMGM

Compared to the point spread, this is the number I expect to move the most, given how efficient each team’s offense has been recently.

Joe Burrow is coming off his second career game with five touchdown passes, and his first was in the first matchup with Baltimore this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have scored 40 or more points three times in the last five games, and are the third team in NFL history with 20 or more points and at least 375 total yards in each of their first nine games.

The current O/U of 52.5 points should be the lowest it gets all week, so Over backers would be wise to get their wagers in now before the total increases.

How to watch Bengals vs. Ravens

  • When: Thursday, Nov. 7
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Weather: 64 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph N
  • Favorite: Ravens -6 (-105 via DraftKings)

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”