Bills vs. Ravens SNF Prop Bets, Odds: Sunday Night Football
The Buffalo Bills put their unbeaten 3-0 record on the line at M&T Bank Stadium, but the Sunday Night Football odds favor the 1-2 Baltimore Ravens.
Buffalo's air attack, led by MVP odds favorite Josh Allen, feasted on the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3. Allen will probably have to be at his best again, as the Ravens have one of the league's best run defenses.
Our Bills vs. Ravens player props focus on Lamar Jackson, Baltimore's stout run defense unit while honing in on their comparative weakness at stopping opposing tight ends.
The below props are part of our Week 4 predictions and Sunday Night Football coverage, which includes the Bills vs. Ravens prediction.
Bills vs. Ravens player props: Sunday Night Football
Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.
- Dalton Kincaid Over 35.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- James Cook Under 53.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Dalton Kincaid Over 35.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tight ends salivate at the thought of facing the Ravens' defense. Baltimore has allowed the second-most yards per game (93.33) to opposing tight ends. Only the Kansas City Chiefs have allowed more (111.67).
Dalton Kincaid has eclipsed 36 receiving yards only once in three outings, but that stat is deceiving. Kincaid had 41 receiving yards against the Jaguars last week and finished with 33 against Miami despite a second half in which the Bills attempted only six passes.
Not only are the Ravens susceptible against opposing tight ends, but they're also difficult to beat on the ground. That should force Allen to target Kincaid, who has just eight receptions on 11 targets, more often.
Kincaid is projected for a 47.9-yard evening, according to PFF.
The Over/Under line differs across our best sports betting apps. The 35.5 total is offered at BetMGM (-115) and Caesars (-125), while bet365 has 36.5 at -120 and FanDuel offers 38.5 at -113.
I'm drawn to the slightly lesser total at the best price. A winning $10 bet will profit $9.09.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.48%
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James Cook Under 54.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While I wouldn't be surprised to see James Cook pop up as a finalist on MasterChef, he'll find it challenging to cook against the Ravens.
Baltimore's run defense, ranked third at PFF, allows the fewest yards per attempt (2.8), the fewest yards per game (50), and is second in rush defense EPA/play.
A sliver of doubt pops up when you consider the Ravens' stop unit had their way with inferior ground games (32nd-ranked Las Vegas Raiders and 24th-ranked Dallas Cowboys).
However, while Cook's rushing yardage output through three games (71, 78, and 39) has been impressive, 49 of his 78 yards against Miami came on one long touchdown scamper on which the Dolphins defense parted like the Red Sea.
If you take that explosive run away, he's averaging just 3.48 yards per carry.
Plus, the Ravens' dynamic run game should allow the home team to edge time of possession, further mitigating Cook's impact on the contest.
bet365 offers the best price and total for this prop. FanDuel offers 53.5 at -113, BetMGM has Under 54.5 at -115, while Caesars is the lowest total (52.5) and the worst price (-117).
A winning $10 bet at bet365 will profit $9.09.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Lamar Jackson Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Here's where I feel the losses of defensive captain Terrel Bernard and slot cornerback Taron Johnson will finally hurt the Bills. Jackson has scampered for more than 57 yards in two of three contests, averaging 84.7 per game.
The Bills struggled to contain Kyler Murray in the opener, with the Arizona Cardinals' dual threat amassing 57 yards on five rushes. The Bills' run defense ranks 26th, according to PFF, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. That's tied for the fifth most.
Buffalo's defense doesn't get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, with a 6.9% hurry rate (15th lowest) and a 23.5% blitz rate (15th lowest).
That should allow Jackson to do what he does best and extend plays, creating additional time to break free from the pocket and find running lanes downfield.
The -110 odds will profit $9.09 on a winning $10 bet.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Bills vs. Ravens odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Sunday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Bills vs. Ravens
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore, Md.)
- How to watch: NBC/Peacock
- Weather: 73 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph E
- Favorite: Ravens -2.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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