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Buccaneers vs. Vikings Predictions, Picks, Odds Week 1: No Stopping Jefferson?

Michael McClymont

Last Updated: September 10, 2023 12:43 PM EDT • 2 min 61 sec read.

Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings features in our NFL player props for Week 4.
Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings scores a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts during the fourth quarter of the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on Dec. 17, 2022. Stephen Maturen/Getty Images/AFP

Part of the early Week 1 slate includes an NFC clash between the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Read on for our top Buccaneers vs. Vikings predictions based on the best NFL odds.

The Minnesota Vikings surprised the league by finishing with a 13-4 record and hosting a wild-card playoff game last season. However, they only managed a 7-10-1 record against the spread, covering just 41.2% of the time.

In Tom Brady's final season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished with an 8-9 record and hosted a wild-card game. Their performance against the spread (ATS) was even worse, with a league-worst 4-13-1 record and a cover percentage of 23.5%.

Both teams underwent significant offseason changes. The Vikings brought in Brian Flores to overhaul a group that ranked 31st in total defense and 30th in scoring defense.

The Bucs said goodbye to the GOAT - who presumably hung up his cleats for good - and signed Baker Mayfield to a one-year contract, hoping the former No. 1 overall pick still has a bit of magic left in him.

Here is our best Buccaneers vs. Vikings prediction (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Buccaneers vs. Vikings prediction

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown (+105 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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I can say with certainty that there will be few occurrences this season when bettors will be able to find a Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown prop at plus money.

The Vikings' superstar receiver and defending Offensive Player of the Year is coming off a season in which he led the league with 1,809 receiving yards and added eight touchdowns. That may seem like a modest touchdown total, but he was often double-teamed as the primary focus of the Vikings offense. 

Jefferson opened last season with a bang. He hauled in 11 passes for 184 yards and two touchdowns in a blowout win over the Green Bay Packers.

The defense he'll be facing on Sunday isn't the same defense that led the Bucs to a Super Bowl victory in 2020. The burnable secondary gave up 29 passing touchdowns last season, the second-most in the league. Though the Bucs' D ranked in the top 10 in pass yards allowed, there were exploitable holes that ended up in scores.

It's a smart bet to back the league's most explosive wideout to score against a leaky secondary, especially at these odds.

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Buccaneers vs. Vikings best odds

DraftKings, bet365 (+105)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Justin Jefferson anytime TDJustin Jefferson anytime TDJustin Jefferson anytime TDJustin Jefferson anytime TDJustin Jefferson anytime TD
+105+100-150-114+105

The price varies considerably at our best sports betting apps. BetMGM charges as much as -150 on an anytime touchdown from Jefferson. The only books with plus-money odds are DraftKings and bet365.

There's a real possibility the odds drop in the days prior to kickoff. We recommend taking the plus-money price now.

Buccaneers vs. Vikings odds

Buccaneers vs. Vikings odds analysis

The odds opened with the Vikings heavy -280 favorites on the moneyline. The odds have since moved to anywhere from -225 to -250.

The spread sits at -5.5 or -6, depending on the shop. The Vikings are getting 70% of the action. 

The total opened at 46 and now sits at 45.5 at most of the best sportsbooks. The Under has been getting 54% of the wagers.

Buccaneers vs. Vikings game info

  • When: Sunday, Sept. 10 at 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: Indoors

Buccaneers-Vikings prediction made Thursday at 2:19 p.m. ET

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Michael McClymont
Michael McClymont is a Publishing Editor for Sportsbook Review, providing coverage on NFL and college football. Prior to joining SBR, he covered football as an NFL editor at theScore. Mike has more than 15 years of experience in the journalism industry as a writer and editor. Mike enjoys a good futures bet and to hammer live in-game odds. While his favorite bet was Julian Edelman Super Bowl LIII MVP at +4000, his biggest regret was cashing out a Lamar Jackson 2019 MVP bet in Week 8, a week before he cemented the award with his highlight-reel rushing TD against the Bengals.