Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction, Super Bowl Picks & Odds Today: Can Philly Upset Kansas City?
A Super Bowl without the Chiefs would be like a Groundhog Day without Punxsutawney Phil.
Patrick Mahomes will conclude his eighth season in the NFL when the 2025 Super Bowl takes place on Sunday, Feb. 9, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, and it will incredibly be his fifth Super Bowl appearance.
The Chiefs continue to be the narrow Super Bowl odds favorites at -1.5 as we make our Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction and Super Bowl picks, which adds to an already growing list of Super Bowl predictions.
Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction: Jan. 29
Here are our NFL picks for the Super Bowl with confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Who will win the Super Bowl: Eagles (+110 via Draftkings)
- Against the spread pick: Eagles +1.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best pick: Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 receptions (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Who will win the Super Bowl?
There's an inevitability hovering around the Chiefs. They win when seemingly overmatched in critical areas. They win tight games repeatedly. They win under the bright postseason lights, and Kansas City is seeking to tie a record with its 10 straight postseason victory.
Mostly, they just win.
Which is why picking against them during a random midseason game comes with a queasy feeling, and in the Super Bowl it's terrifying. But in a game with razor-thin margins across our best Super Bowl betting sites, there's enough for the Eagles to separate while leaning on Saquon Barkley and their defensive front's ability to pressure Mahomes.
Chiefs vs. Eagles spread prediction
Eagles to cover the spread +1.5
Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%
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There are a handful of slight but meaningful advantages for the Eagles where it could end up mattering most.
The Eagles' secondary is a swarming one that boasts NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds contender Quinyon Mitchell. He's a core element to a unit that allowed the fewest passing yards per game during the regular season at 174.2.
Up front the Eagles have also been bringing consistent pressure, including eight sacks over their last two games. Pressure has arrived home often against the Chiefs, as Mahomes was knocked down a league high 70 times during the regular season.
On the other side of the ball, little has been asked of Jalen Hurts as a passer while Barkley dominates. But if needed, and if Barkley sputters even momentarily against a tough run defense, Hurts can pick apart an 18th-ranked Kansas City secondary.
He'll be especially successful if Hurts keeps locking in on tight end Dallas Goedert while exploiting a consistent Chiefs weakness.
Wednesday's best Super Bowl pick
Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 receptions
Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Goedert missed extended regular-season time while playing in just 10 games. But there's no lack of rhythm from him during the postseason, with Goedert leading all Eagles pass-catchers while accumulating 188 receiving yards.
The Eagles haven't required much from Hurts and their passing game, with the historically impressive Barkley doing much of the heavy lifting. So it makes sense that a tight end has been featured heavily, with Goedert doing much of his damage after the catch on short-to-intermediate targets while bullying his way forward.
The volume is certainly there to hit this Over as a result. Goedert is tied for the team postseason lead with 18 targets, and he's fresh off an eight-target outing that he turned into seven catches.
Combine that with a Kansas City defense still struggling against tight ends after allowing 106 regular-season catches to the position (tied for second-worst) and 1,191 yards (31st), and there's a clear recipe for success here.
A $10 wager would result in a profit of $8.33.
Today's Super Bowl odds
Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?
Chiefs (-124 via FanDuel)
The Chiefs remain the moneyline favorites, with the best price coming at FanDuel through its -124 odds. Steer clear of BetMGM and DraftKings, which sit a few ticks lower at -130.
The odds from FanDuel imply a 55.36% probability, and a winning $10 would result in an $8.06 profit.
Super Bowl game info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: Jon Batiste
Super Bowl betting odds pages
Don't miss our all of our other NFL futures.
Here are our best Super Bowl betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
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Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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