Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction, Super Bowl Picks & Odds Today: Time to Fly, Eagles, Fly
Stop me if you've heard this before: The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are squaring off for the Super Bowl. Actually, don't stop me, I've got more to say about my Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction and Super Bowl picks.
The action begins at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX) on Sunday, Feb. 9, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. We haven't seen any notable movement with today's Super Bowl odds, with the market pretty set after a bit of oscillation early in the week.
As we continue our Super Bowl predictions, let's look at whether Philadelphia can avenge its loss to Kansas City in the Big Game from two seasons ago. Or will the Chiefs come out on top again and complete the first three-peat in the Super Bowl era?
Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction: Jan. 30
Here are our NFL picks for the Super Bowl with confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Who will win the Super Bowl: Eagles (+110 via DraftKings)
- Against the spread pick: Eagles +1.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Best pick: Saquon Barkley 2+ touchdowns (+300 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
Who will win the Super Bowl?
It's time for payback.
The Eagles will come out on top in a tightly contested affair during Super Bowl 59 because of Saquon Barkley.
Both squads boast impressive defenses and offenses that can score in a variety of ways. But Barkley is the best player in this year's Super Bowl. He's the X-factor, and the reason the underdog at our best Super Bowl betting sites will get the job done and avenge their loss from two years ago.
Chiefs vs. Eagles spread prediction
Eagles to cover the spread +1.5
Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%
It's not just Barkley who will lead the Eagles to victory, as they hold an edge in a few areas.
Philadelphia boasts a sizeable edge defensively. The Eagles field the league's best defense, according to PFF, with the NFL's second-most efficient pass rush and top secondary making the unit menacing. They trot out an incredible run defense, ranking second.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, the Super Bowl MVP odds favorite, gets a tough assignment. We've seen him pull off the improbable before, but it's been a bit of a down year for him. Mahomes finished with the fewest TDs of his career (tied with 2019), failed to eclipse the 4,000 passing yards mark for the first time, posted his fewest rushing yards in the last five years, and took his most career sacks.
In a season when we've heard more about how the defense helped keep Kansas City in tight games, the Chiefs are up against a team with a notably better defense. That will be the difference.
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Thursday's best Super Bowl pick
Saquon Barkley 2+ touchdowns
Best odds: +300 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 25.00%
We mentioned that Barkley will be a significant factor, so let's look for him to find the end zone two-plus times when it matters most. Barkley has scored multiple touchdowns in eight of his 19 appearances this season (42%). He's done it in five of his last 10 games, too.
Kansas City did an admirable job last week of keeping Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen in check and holding him out of the end zone, so perhaps the Eagles will look to avoid falling into the same trap with signal-caller Jalen Hurts. That might lead to Barkley getting extra looks toward the goal line, and he's already tallied five rushing touchdowns over three postseason games.
We're seeing this line as low at +230 (implied win probability of 30.30%) at bet365, so let's take advantage of the extra value while making this wager at BetMGM.
A winning $10 bet would bring in a profit of $30 if Saquon finds pay dirt at least twice.
Today's Super Bowl odds
Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?
Chiefs (-125 via bet365)
The Chiefs have remained the moneyline favorites since this line was set.
The best price we see via our NFL odds is the -125 at bet365 and Caesars. All our best sports betting apps are landing within the -125 to -130 range as of Thursday morning.
The -125 price carries a 55.56% implied win probability, with an $8 profit on a winning $10 wager.
Super Bowl game info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-110 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: Jon Batiste
Super Bowl betting odds pages
Don't miss our all of our other NFL futures.
Here are our best Super Bowl betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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