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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Parlay Picks & Predictions: Wild Card Weekend SGP Odds

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: January 12, 2025 12:17 PM EST • 2 min 53 sec read.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Bucky Irving (7) runs with the ball as we look at our Commanders vs. Buccaneers parlay picks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Bucky Irving (7) runs with the ball. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images.

In what sets up on paper as one of the most compelling and action-packed games on the Wild Card Weekend slate, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-point home favorites against rookie sensation Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders.

Our Commanders vs. Buccaneers parlay picks sees explosive outings for both offenses to wrap up the Sunday slate in style.

The Buccaneers (-3) host the Commanders at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., Sunday at 8 p.m. ET (NBC).

Commanders vs. Buccaneers parlay predictions

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites.

  • Over 50.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Bucky Irving Over 89.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jayden Daniels Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +490 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 16.95%

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SGP predictions for Commanders vs. Buccaneers

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Over 50.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Both the Commanders and Bucs were factories for the Over this season, and this number at 50.5 isn’t lofty enough to keep us off the total.

  • Games involving Tampa Bay were 12-5 on Overs, while Washington games finished 11-6 on Overs during the regular season
  • The Commanders and Bucs both averaged more than five points per game in average margin over the total, ranking top five in the NFL in the category
  • These teams faced off in September in a game that reached 57 total points

The total sits at 50.5 across each of our best NFL betting sites.

Bucky Irving Over 89.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Buccaneers have deployed a backfield timeshare for most of the season, but it’s become clear in recent weeks that when the chips are down, Irving is the rusher they’re going to rely upon.

  • Irving has racked up 88 or more rushing yards in five of his last seven games
  • The Commanders have the worst statistical run defense among all playoff teams, allowing 137.5 rushing yards per game

Irving’s rushing total is listed between 88.5 and 89.5 yards across our best NFL prop betting sites.

Jayden Daniels Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The weakness of the Tampa Bay defense comes in the passing game, which could put Daniels in play to clear his passing yardage prop of 235.5 yards. But we also like Daniels to use his best weapon to keep the Commanders competitive - his legs.

  • Daniels has cleared this rushing total in four of his last five complete games, including three straight before he sat out in the second half of Week 18
  • He dashed for 88 yards and two rushing touchdowns in the Week 1 matchup against the Bucs

Daniels’ rushing total is 52.5 yards at DraftKings, a slight advantage over the 53.5-yard line at FanDuel. DraftKings also offers a small edge on the SGP odds (+490 vs. +458).

A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $49 as part of your Wild Card Weekend best bets.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers game info

  • When: Sunday, Jan. 12
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
  • How to watch: NBC
  • Weather: 55 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph NE
  • Favorite: Buccaneers -3 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.