David Montgomery Anytime TD Odds & Picks vs. Bears: Thanksgiving
The Detroit Lions are the biggest story in football this year while leading the Super Bowl odds as consensus favorites. A big part of that success has been veteran running back David Montgomery.
Montgomery enters Week 13 and the Lions' NFL Thanksgiving contest against the rival Chicago Bears - the team that drafted him - with 11 touchdowns through 11 games. Four of those came in his last three outings.
Detroit is favored by as many as 10 points today at Ford Field in Detroit, with the game kicking off at 12:30 p.m. ET. Mike Spector's Bears vs. Lions prediction likes the home team, and I expect Montgomery to be a star attraction.
David Montgomery touchdown odds: Thanksgiving
NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
| Market | Best odds | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime touchdown | -165 via DraftKings | 62.26% | $6.06 |
| First touchdown | +400 via Caesars | 20% | $40 |
| Last touchdown | +490 via FanDuel | 16.95% | $49 |
| 2+ touchdowns | +330 via DraftKings | 23.26% | $33 |
| To score a first half TD | +155 via DraftKings | 39.22% | $15.50 |
| To score a second half TD | +165 via FanDuel | 37.74% | $16.50 |
Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best touchdown odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Best David Montgomery touchdown pick vs. Bears
David Montgomery to score the first touchdown ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +400 via Caesars | Implied probability: 20%
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Our Rodrigo Villagomez is backing Bears running back Roschon Johnson (+2000) to score the first touchdown of Thanksgiving. And Phil Wood likes Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs to score two or more times with his best Bears vs. Lions player prop bets.
However, I'm having a hard time avoiding Montgomery to get the game's first score, as he appears to be in line to suit up for the 12:30 p..m. ET kickoff.
Montgomery has been a touchdown machine in 2024 and sits just two back of the career-high 13 he set last season. The Lions are once again expected to control the scoreboard and the game clock, and that script has been very favorable to the team's two elite running backs. We also know head coach Dan Campbell isn't scared of running up the score against subpar opponents.
Caesars leads the way with +400 odds on this pick, while BetMGM's +360 odds would return a profit of just $36 vs. $40.
Bears vs. Lions game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 28
- Kickoff: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Field (Detroit)
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Lions -9.5 (-120 via DraftKings)
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