Joe Burrow TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Joe Burrow looks to lead his Cincinnati Bengals to a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night in this battle of AFC North juggernauts.
The latest Thursday Night Football odds for tonight’s 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video) showdown at M&T Bank Stadium have the Ravens favored by six points. What does this type of spread mean for the best Joe Burrow TNF player prop bets?
In the last meeting between these two teams, Burrow was 30-of-39 for 392 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception. The Ravens have the worst passing defense in the league, so should we expect him to have another huge night, especially with his team likely to be playing from behind?
As part of our NFL Week 10 predictions, we also dove into this game with our Bengals vs. Ravens prediction and Lamar Jackson player prop bets.
Joe Burrow prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Joe Burrow touchdown pick: 3+ passing touchdowns (+250 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 268.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 36.5 passing attempts (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Joe Burrow touchdown pick vs. Ravens
Joe Burrow 3+ passing touchdowns (+250) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last week, Burrow threw five touchdown passes for the first time since taking on the Ravens in Week 5. The performance proved that Burrow’s game against the Ravens wasn’t a fluke, and if he gets in a matchup he likes, he can have a massive game.
He’s thrown three or more touchdowns in only three games this season, and before last week’s game, he’d thrown just three touchdowns in the previous three weeks combined. But the Ravens are allowing two passing touchdowns per game, tied for third-most in the league.
Unfortunately, the price for Burrow to throw at least two touchdown passes is very steep, ranging from -156 to -200. But the price for him to throw at least three touchdown passes is much more favorable. Prices range from +180 to +220 at four of the best sports betting sites, but FanDuel is offering +250, the best price by far.
Rod Villagomez believes one of Burrow's touchdown tosses will go to his top receiver as part of his first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football.
Best odds: +250 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 28.57%
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Joe Burrow player props
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Joe Burrow Over 268.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Yesterday, when I wrote about the best Bengals vs. Ravens TNF prop bets, Burrow hitting his passing total was my play of the game. Though the total has risen by three yards, and the price is slightly worse for the Over than it was yesterday, this is still a five-star play.
The Ravens are allowing 280.9 passing yards per game this season. Over their last three games, they’re allowing 291.3 passing yards per game despite only allowing 197 in their last game. If the Bengals play from behind, as the spread suggests, Burrow will go for over 300 yards for the second time against the Ravens.
All of the best sports betting apps have this total set at 271.5 or higher except for FanDuel. Though bet365 is offering -110 for Over 271.5, it’s not worth getting the somewhat better price for three extra yards.
Brenden Schaeffer thinks Burrow will be target his tight end plenty as part of his Bengals vs. Ravens parlay picks.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
Joe Burrow Over 36.5 passing attempts (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has attempted more than 36 passes in four games this season, yet, he’s never thrown 40 passes in a single game. In back-to-back weeks, he’s thrown at least 37 passes, but in the two weeks prior, he threw fewer than 30 in both games.
In his first game against the Ravens, he threw 39 passes and that game went to overtime. Can he hit this number in regulation? Yes.
The Bengals are averaging fewer than 100 rushing yards per game and are going up against the worst pass defense in football in what should be a high-scoring contest. I don’t see them messing around with their struggling run game.
The Ravens are allowing 38 passing attempts per game. To get a quarterback like Burrow 1.5 attempts under that number for +100 is too good to pass up.
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50.00%
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Bengals vs. Ravens odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Bengals vs. Ravens
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Md.
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 64 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph N
- Favorite: Ravens -6 (-110 via BetMGM)
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