Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Broncos
Lamar Jackson looks to lead his Baltimore Ravens to their sixth win of the year as he takes on the Denver Broncos.
Jackson has thrown for 2,099 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just two interceptions this season, but he’s about to take on one of the best pass defenses in football.
Considering the matchup, are any Overs worth taking when making the best Jackson player prop bets? Despite the Broncos and Ravens being 5-3, the Ravens, who are among the Super Bowl odds front-runners, are favored by 9.5 points for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET (CBS) game at M&T Bank stadium.
If the Ravens cover that spread, will it be because of Jackson or the Broncos’ inexperienced offense's inability to move the ball? The below prop bets are part of our NFL Week 9 predictions.
Lamar Jackson prop bets Week 9
- Lamar Jackson touchdown pick: Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-123 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Under 214.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Over 46.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Saturday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Lamar Jackson touchdown pick vs. Broncos
Lamar Jackson Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-123) ⭐⭐⭐
Jackson has thrown the second-most passing touchdowns in the NFL this season, but they have not been evenly distributed. He threw for five against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and four against the Cincinnati Bengals, but he’s thrown two or fewer in his other six games and just one in four of eight.
The Broncos are tied for seventh in the NFL, allowing just 1.0 passing touchdowns per game. Jackson hasn’t faced an opponent allowing 1.0 or fewer passing touchdowns this season.
The Under ranges from -123 to -130, so there isn’t much value to betting at one sportsbook over the other. That said, Caesars is offering the best price right now. A winning $10 bet will profit $8.13.
Best odds: -123 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.16%
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Lamar Jackson NFL player props
NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Lamar Jackson Under 214.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
Jackson has thrown for at least 281 yards in four consecutive games, so even with this matchup as challenging as it is, it’s shocking to see this number so low. Is this a trap from oddsmakers?
Two of Jackson’s last four games were against teams ranked in the league's bottom half in passing yards allowed. The other two impressive performances came in shootouts. Based on the spread for this game, oddsmakers don’t expect Jackson to be in a shootout with Bo Nix.
The total ranges from 211.5 to 214.5, which makes it tempting to take Under 211.5 for -105 at bet365, but every yard matters with how Jackson has been playing. Therefore, take the highest total for -115 or better.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
Lamar Jackson Over 46.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Not only do the Broncos have one of the best pass defenses, but they also have one of the best rush defenses. Yet, there is much to like about Jackson’s rushing total in this game.
First, he has yet to run for fewer than 40 yards this season, and he’s run for more than 46.5 yards in five of eight games.
Second, Jackson will look to run often when the Broncos’ defense frustrates him. As a player averaging 6.2 yards per carry and eight carries, he should be able to eclipse this total for the sixth time.
Four of our five best NFL betting sites have this total set at 46.5, while FanDuel has it at 47.5. bet365 has the best price for the Over regardless of total, making it the best place to wager.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Broncos vs. Ravens odds
Broncos vs. Ravens game info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 3
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 59 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 3 mph NE
- Favorite: Ravens -9.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
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