NFL MVP Odds & Early Prediction as Training Camps Begin: Burrow or Bust in 2025?
After one of the best awards races in league history, there are no shortage of stars atop the NFL MVP odds as training camps begin this week.
Lamar Jackson is the preseason betting favorite with +550 odds or shorter across the best sports betting sites after finishing second behind Josh Allen (+600) in one of the closest races ever last year. Those two sit ahead of Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, and Jayden Daniels as the only players with better than +2000 odds to win MVP this season.
Below, you can see the latest NFL MVP odds with the best price for every player across the best sports betting apps. Read on for our breakdown of the betting favorites, who the public is betting on, and our favorite sleeper pick to bet as a long shot.
📊 NFL MVP odds 2025-26
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🏆 NFL MVP betting favorites 2025
We're in the midst of a golden age of talent under center with a combined five MVP trophies owned by the top four players in the betting market. Yet it's the passer with an empty mantle who is drawing the most attention across the best sportsbooks. Here's a look at the favorites to win the award in 2025:
🐦⬛ Lamar Jackson (+550 via BetMGM)
📊 Best odds: +550 via BetMGM ($10 to win $55)
🔢 Implied probability: 15.38%
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If you only looked at the stats last year, it was pretty hard to argue that this award didn't belong to Jackson, who produced one of the best quarterback seasons of all time but missed out on a potential third MVP trophy.
He'll be back with a vengeance this year for an offense that returns Derrick Henry and added DeAndre Hopkins alongside an emergent Rashod Bateman and electric Zay Flowers. There's a reason the Baltimore Ravens are the favorites by the Super Bowl odds - which bodes well for Jackson's MVP case, too.
The only drawback? The price. These +550 odds are shared across three of our five best sports betting apps with the other two at +500. GIven how volatile this market can be - and Jackson's checkered injury history - you can might want to wait until a few weeks into the season to fetch a better price.
🦬 Josh Allen (+600 via Caesars)
📊 Best odds: +600 via Caesars ($10 to win $60)
🔢 Implied probability: 14.29%
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While Jackson's resume might have been the best on paper last year, Allen still posted ridiculous numbers (77.3 QBR, 40 total touchdowns) while profiling as a more valuable player above replacement for the second-seeded Buffalo Bills.
There's no reason to expect he can't post another superhuman effort in 2025, and that alone means he should be in the mix. But he'll carry the weight of incumbency into this year's MVP race - only two winners have repeated in the last two decades - after a season buoyed by improbably brilliant moments.
The Bills sit atop the latest NFL projected win totals, and they face one of the easiest paths for any team by our proprietary NFL Fatigue Index. Like Jackson, though, I'd be a little more interested in buying the dip if Allen starts slow.
🐅 Joe Burrow (+650 via DraftKings)
📊 Best odds: +650 via DraftKings ($10 to win $65)
🔢 Implied probability: 13.33%
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Let's be real: if the Cincinnati Bengals' defense was even passable last year, Burrow might have finally claimed the first MVP trophy of his career.
The former No. 1 pick led the league with 4,918 passing yards and 43 touchdowns while ranking fourth in completion rate (70.6%), and he carried the Bengals to a winning record despite a calamity of errors by the team's defense and special teams. Alas, Cincy missed the playoffs and killed his MVP chances.
Even marginal improvement from that side could make a massive difference for Burrow's MVP hopes. That's why bettors are all over him at BetMGM, where he entered July as the biggest liability with 13.4% of all tickets and 23.1% of the total handle placed on the Bengals QB. You can get a better price at DraftKings, though, with a winning $10 bet returning a $65 profit.
🔴 Patrick Mahomes (+700 via ESPN BET)
📊 Best odds: +700 via ESPN BET ($10 to win $70)
🔢 Implied probability: 12.50%
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The case for Mahomes to win MVP is an easy one: he's done it twice before, and he still tops most consensus quarterback rankings entering his ninth season.
That said, he's coming off arguably his worst season as a starter, which came amid injury woes for a Kansas City Chiefs offense still built to rediscover its downfield magic from years past. They'll need health on their side, especially if star tight end Travis Kelce continues to show decline in his age-35 season.
Mahomes hasn't seemed very inclined to stat-chase over the last few years, but there's reason for optimism that we could see a return to form in 2025. If that happens, a $10 bet on the two-time winner would return $70 in profit.
🫡 Jayden Daniels (+850 via bet365)
📊 Best odds: +850 via bet365 ($10 to win $85)
🔢 Implied probability: 10.53%
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If it feels a little soon to price Daniels among the NFL's top five quarterbacks as a sophomore, just ask the rest of the league: a recent ESPN survey saw NFL insiders rank him fifth on average with none slotting him outside the top 10.
If you're a believer in what we saw last year, when Daniels led four game-winning drives while ranking fourth in QBR (70.6) and sixth in completion rate (69%), then this might be the best price we see all year for the Washington Commanders' rising star. That's especially true if new receiver Deebo Samuel and tackle Laremy Tunsil help elevate this offense to even greater heights.
🔮 NFL MVP odds & best bet: Sleeper pick
🧀 Jordan Love (+2500 via FanDuel)
📊 Best odds: +2500 via FanDuel ($10 to win $250)
🔢 Implied probability: 3.85%
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Love is priced as a distant afterthought at these +2500 odds - which suggest a 3.85% chance that he'll win MVP - yet he profiled as a top-tier quarterback last year despite playing through injury for much of the season.
The Green Bay Packers passer once again ranked among the best deep-ball passers in the NFL, but his receivers dropped more critical passes than any other team's pass-catchers. That's one reason why the team drafted former Texas speedster Matthew Golden in the first round and TCU's Savion Williams in the third.
With another year in Matt LaFleur's offense and a more dynamic unit around him, I'll gladly buy the dip on the fifth-year quarterback at these odds, which could turn a $10 long-shot bet into a $250 profit.
❓ NFL MVP odds FAQs
Who is predicted to win NFL MVP this year?
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the NFL MVP favorite with +550 odds implying a 15.38% chance to win the award, according to our odds calculator.
Who won NFL MVP last year?
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen won NFL MVP honors last year for the first time in his career, beating out Jackson in one of the closest races in league history.
When will the 2025-26 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2025-26 NFL MVP will likely be announced on the Thursday ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl at NFL Honors.
💵 Best NFL betting sites
Want to bet on the NFL MVP odds? Check out our best NFL betting sites and the best sportsbook promos for the 2025-26 NFL season:
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