Ravens vs. Saints Picks, Predictions Week 9: Will Dalton’s Struggles in Primetime Continue on MNF?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 7, 2022 10:34 AM EST • 2 min 43 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

The New Orleans Saints can move into a tie atop the crowded and unthreatening NFC South Division with a home win over the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football to end Week 9. Read on for our top Ravens-Saints picks and predictions.

Baltimore became the third team in the last 11 seasons to hold a double-digit lead in each of its first eight games of a season, joining the 2015 and 2019 New England Patriots. The future looks good for the Ravens to build on their 5-3 record, as they have the easiest remaining strength of schedule; their opponents have a combined .347 winning percentage.

Baltimore takes on a New Orleans team that is 6-2 on Monday Night Football since 2018, the fourth-best record in the league in that span.

Here are our Ravens-Saints NFL picks for Week 9 (odds via PointsBet, FanDuel Sportsbook, and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our top Monday Night Football prop picks and our Ravens vs. same-game parlay.

Ravens vs. Saints Game Info

Date: Monday, Nov. 7, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Weather: Indoors

Ravens vs. Saints Odds

Ravens vs. Saints Odds Analysis

The consensus spread opened with the Ravens as 3.5-point road favorites. That line is down to -2 as of Monday afternoon even with 60% of the tickets and 54% of the handle on the visitors.

The Over/Under opened at a consensus of 49 but is down to 46.5. The Over has drawn 51% of the tickets but just 28% of the handle to suggest the sharp money is on the Under.

Ravens vs. Saints Picks

Ravens vs. Saints ATS Pick

Ravens -1.5 (-110) ★★

On one side, you have Lamar Jackson, who is 18-8-2 ATS in his career on the road, 12-2-2 ATS when the line is between -3 and +3, and 13-1 SU in his career against NFC opponents. The opposing quarterback, Andy Dalton, is 6-18 in primetime games, the worst record by any quarterback since the start of the century. Therefore, we have no choice but to side with the Ravens, but it will be just a two-star play, given how banged up Baltimore is on offense.

Baltimore learned this week that it lost wide receiver Rashod Bateman to season-ending foot surgery. Bateman’s 15 receptions for 285 yards and two touchdowns are all second-best of Ravens wide receivers. In addition, Mark Andrews is still listed as doubtful with shoulder and ankle injuries. However, we are not as concerned about his potential absence given Isaiah Likley’s emergence last week, as he produced first-down catches on five of his six receptions.

Ravens vs. Saints O/U Pick

Over 47 (-107) ★★★

Alvin Kamara is coming off a three-touchdown performance after failing to make it into the endzone in his previous five games. His 42.8 fantasy points versus the Raiders were the most among running backs, and he has seemingly had a mid-season resurgence with Andy Dalton under center. In games where Dalton has started, Kamara is averaging over 20 fantasy points, with over eight targets, six catches, and 57 receiving yards per game. With Jameis Winston, he averaged ten receiving yards and under nine fantasy points per game. He has averaged 4.5 more receptions per game with Dalton than Winston, and we look for more stellar numbers in the coming weeks as New Orleans continues to maximize the skill set of its most dynamic offensive player.

Ravens vs. Saints Prop Pick

Jackson Over 62.5 rushing yards (-105) ★★★

Last week against the Buccaneers, Jackson dropped back to throw on 82% of plays in the first half while completing 63% of his passes. As a result, the offense only rushed for 27 yards and scored three points. However, the team passed on 33% of plays in the second half, and Jackson had a 100% completion percentage. That directly translated into 24 points, and the Ravens' 204 rushing yards were the most in a second half by any team in a game since 2021. Baltimore had its NFL-high 25th 200-yard rushing game since Jackson became the starter in 2018, and we like for Jackson to do his part in adding to that total this week.

Where to Bet on Ravens vs. Saints Picks

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Ravens-Saints picks made 11/6/2022 at 7 a.m. ET

Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”