Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 3
After embarrassing losses last week, two Super Bowl odds contenders clash Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX) as the Dallas Cowboys host the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3.
- The Ravens are 1-point favorites to beat the Cowboys across our best sports betting sites
- Baltimore led by 10 points in the fourth quarter before the Las Vegas Raiders came back for a 26-23 win - their first victory in that spot in their last 50 tries
- Dallas had its 16-game regular season home winning streak snapped with last week’s loss to the New Orleans Saints
Our Ravens vs. Cowboys prediction makes the case for Baltimore to hand Dallas a rare second consecutive home loss as part of our NFL Week 3 predictions.
Best Ravens vs. Cowboys picks
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Ravens -1 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Cowboys ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson prop pick: Over 53.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Ravens vs. Cowboys against the spread prediction: Week 3
Ravens to cover the spread: - 1 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Ravens vs. Cowboys opening odds:
- Ravens: -1 (-110 via BetMGM)
- Cowboys: +1 (-110 via BetMGM)
The lookahead line for this matchup before the Week 2 games kicked off was Dallas -1 at DraftKings and Caesars.
The fact that this line jumped the fence despite both teams losing bad games last week suggests that our best sportsbooks believe Baltimore is the superior team.
I agree with that assessment and am backing the Ravens' spread with three stars of confidence despite them likely kicking off as road favorites.
No 'D' in Dallas
The Cowboys’ 44-19 loss to the Saints was their worst home loss since 2020. That result, combined with Dallas’s home loss to the Green Bay Packers in the playoffs last year, means the Cowboys have now given up 92 points in their last two home games.
New Orleans steamrolled Dallas for 310 total yards and 35 points in the first half last week. The Cowboys allowed touchdowns on the first six drives of the game, and it was their fifth time allowing 40-plus points under Mike McCarthy since 2020.
Ravens run game should get going
Amid all of Dallas’s defensive issues last week was the fact it was pushed around for 190 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, while New Orleans also rushed for 15 first downs.
That was against a Saints team without a mobile quarterback in Derek Carr, so one can only imagine how much more success a team with a quarterback that can run can have against the Cowboys.
Derrick Henry has had somewhat of a disappointing start to his Ravens tenure. He has averaged 65 rushing yards per game, which ranks 17th among running backs with a minimum of 20 attempts.
But Dallas also allowed New Orleans to complete five of six passes for 26.3 yards per attempt on throws more than 10 yards downfield last week.
Thus, Baltimore should be able to open up things for its running game with similar success in the vertical passing game.
Bet on Ravens to bounce back
This is just Baltimore’s second 0-2 start in 17 seasons under John Harbaugh. While I do not typically buy into the “must-win” mantra, this feels more important to the Ravens than it does the Cowboys.
I expect that urgency will pay off with a win and cover.
I was tempted to back Baltimore’s 1.5-point spread at FanDuel given its -102 price, but in case the Ravens win by one, I prefer the flexibility at BetMGM, whose -110 odds do not break the bank.
A $10 winning wager would pay out $9.09 in profit.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Ravens vs. Cowboys prop pick for Week 3
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Lamar Jackson Over 53.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Henry is no spring chicken at 30 years old, but he cannot shoulder all of the blame for Baltimore’s inability to establish a consistent running attack.
The Ravens offensive line has not generated many open running lanes, and Henry’s 2.32 average yards before contact ranks 26th in the NFL.
If Baltimore continues to struggle running between the tackles, I look for offensive coordinator Todd Monken to dial up more designed rushes for Jackson.
His five rushing attempts last week were tied for the fewest in his last 18 games, but he had his number called 16 times in his first road game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Jackson has been pressured on 28 dropbacks, tied for fourth-most in the league, and that pressure should force him out of the pocket more on Sunday. I expect last year’s MVP will be given the freedom to make plays with that being Baltimore’s best chance of avoiding falling to 0-3.
Jackson’s O/U has risen from 50.5 to 53.5 this week, but there is still value despite the line movement, as the number at BetMGM is better than the O/U of 54.5 found at bet365 and DraftKings.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Ravens vs. Cowboys odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Ravens vs. Cowboys game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 22
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Where: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Ravens (-115 via BetMGM)
NFL betting odds pages
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