Steelers vs. Bengals Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Burrow Continues Hot Streak
Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals will look to keep their playoff hopes alive when they host the AFC North rival Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET ( CBS) game at Paycor Stadium.
As part of our Week 13 NFL predictions, my best Steelers vs. Bengals player prop bet picks focus on whether Burrow can keep up his excellent play. If he can, the Bengals, who are three-point favorites, are in for a great game - and many Steelers are set to struggle.
But Cincinnati has plenty of weaknesses. Its defense has struggled this season, and its allowed a lot of touchdown passes. Can the Pittsburgh receiving corps take advantage?
Steelers vs. Bengals NFL player prop bets: Sunday
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- George Pickens touchdown pick: Anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via FanDuel]) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 258.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Najee Harris Under 15.5 rushing attempts (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Steelers vs. Bengals touchdown pick
George Pickens anytime touchdown scorer (+150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Pickens only has two touchdown receptions this season, but he’s about to face one of the best matchups in football. The Bengals are allowing 1.7 passing touchdowns per game, and they’re also allowing 31.0 points per game over their last three. The Steelers likely score more than usual in this game, giving Pickens’ more chances.
Caesars is offering the worst price for this prop, with their number set at +122. That implies a 45.05% chance that this will happen. I'm not willing to pay that price since Pickens has scored in only two of his 11 games this season. FanDuel is the only sportsbook offering this prop for a price better than +140, making it the most valuable place to play by a wide margin.
Best odds: +150 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 40.00%
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Best Steelers vs. Bengals prop bets
Joe Burrow Over 258.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has thrown for at least 350 yards in each of his last two games. One of those performances was against the Baltimore Ravens, the team giving up the most passing yards in the league, and the other was against the Los Angeles Chargers, who are allowing the ninth-fewest.
Burrow has now thrown for at least 250 yards in three consecutive games, and he’s topped 258.5 four times. The Steelers’ pass defense is middle-of-the-pack in the NFL, as they rank 17th and allow 214.9 yards per game.
Our best sports betting apps don't agree on this total. BetMGM and bet365 have the number set at 271.5, while Caesars is offering 263.5. Since DraftKings has the total set at 260.5, it’s not hard to see why FanDuel is the best place to play, especially since the sportsbooks’ price for the Over is the second best available.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
Najee Harris Under 15.5 rushing attempts (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Harris has run the ball at least 16 times in his last five games. However, last week, in the Steelers’ first loss since Week 5, Harris recorded his fewest amount of carries since Week 6. With Pittsburgh lined as an underdog on Sunday, he could go even lower.
Harris has fewer than 16 carries in three games this season. Two of those contests were losses. Since Harris doesn’t have a great matchup against a team allowing 4.4 yards per carry, even if the Steelers lead for the whole game, I’d still back this Under.
Our best sportsbooks have this total set at 15.5, except for FanDuel which has it at 16.5. However, FanDuel is asking -132 for the Under which is too expensive.
Either Harris easily clears this number in a Steelers’ win, or he fails to hit this number in a loss.
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Steelers vs. Bengals game info
- When: Sunday, Dec. 1
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 34 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph W
- Favorite: Bengals -3 (-108 via DraftKings)
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