Super Bowl Rematch Prop Predictions, Odds 2024: Will SB LIV Between Chiefs & 49ers Repeat?
The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs meet in Super Bowl 2024 on Sunday in a rematch of their 2020 title clash, and we're diving into the best Super Bowl LIV repeat props from our best sports betting sites using the best NFL odds.
The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs meet in the Super Bowl for the second time in five seasons on Sunday. And some of our best Super Bowl betting sites are offering prop bets on history repeating itself in Super Bowl 2024.
No, I don't just mean the Chiefs winning it all, as we expect in our Super Bowl predictions. The folks at DraftKings have taken it one step further, offering an array of Super Bowl prop bets based on the actual results from Super Bowl 54.
Along with our Super Bowl odds and Chiefs vs. 49ers prediction, here are the best "Super Bowl LIV rematch" prop bets for Super Bowl 2024.
Will we see a repeat of Super Bowl LIV in Super Bowl 2024?
As mentioned above, DraftKings is offering one of the more unique prop betting markets ahead of this year's big game: "Will Super Bowl LIV Repeat?"
On the surface, this may sound like a bit of an absurd premise, as these two teams have different rosters with different circumstances to reach Super Bowl 2024. But some of the main characters from that title clash in 2020 will take the field again on Super Bowl Sunday, and we could see them accomplish similar feats.
Here's a look at the props offered by DraftKings in this peculiar market, along with their implied probability using our odds converter. Note that each of these bets is only offered with one-way action, so you're either betting on these results to occur again or staying away entirely.
'Super Bowl LIV Repeat' prop bets odds
| Will Super Bowl LIV repeat? | Betting odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce 20+ 1st quarter receiving yards | -110 | 52.38% |
| Nick Bosa 1+ sacks, Fred Warner 7+ tackles & assists | +250 | 28.57% |
| Kyle Juszczyk 35+ receiving yards | +300 | 25.00% |
| Deebo Samuel 50+ rushing yards, 35+ receiving yards | +400 | 20.00% |
| Travis Kelce 1+ rushing yards | +400 | 20.00% |
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'Super Bowl LIV Repeat' prop bets analysis
All five of these prop bets actually happened when these teams met in the Super Bowl in 2020, but I'm skeptical that we'll see more than one or two cash in Super Bowl 58.
The most likely is Kelce finishing with at least 20 yards in the first quarter, as he had a whopping 42 yards in the opening quarter of the AFC Championship. That said, he averaged just 14.3 yards in the first quarter through 15 regular-season games, and he finished below 20 yards in each of his first two playoff games.
I'm also leery of betting Super Bowl parlays at short odds, which is essentially what we'd be doing with two of the other four options.
I'd rather bet the Over on 49ers pass rusher Nick Bosa's Super Bowl sacks odds (-130 via DraftKings) or Fred Warner to clear 8.5 tackles and assists (+105 via DraftKings) with our defensive props than parlay them together. This is also the case for betting on a big day for Deebo Samuel.
That said, the other two bets on the board compel me at +400 odds.
Niners fullback Kyle Juszczyk had 33 receiving yards in the NFC Championship, and he could be a featured focus against a Chiefs defense that plays a lot of zone defense and may not have eyes on the fullback in coverage. Kelce also had his first rush of the season in the AFC Championship, and I don't mind betting on a 20% chance for him to run it again in the Super Bowl.
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