Kendrick Lamar First Song Odds 2025: Alleged Online Leaks Cloud Market
The first song of the Super Bowl halftime show sets the tone for the rest of the performance, and Kendrick Lamar has plenty of bangers to choose from. That's certainly represented in the Super Bowl halftime show first song odds, with no clear favorite standing out.
However, following an alleged leak of the halftime show performance, this market is tougher to navigate. FanDuel and DraftKings pulled it completely, leaving only BetMGM with odds.
Here's a look at the odds for the first song of Lamar's Super Bowl halftime show performance (odds via BetMGM Ontario):
Super Bowl halftime show first song odds
(First song odds as of Feb. 8)
| Song | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humble | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Not Like Us | +375 | 21.05% | $37.50 |
| King Kunta | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Squabble Up | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Euphoria | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Like That | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
| B***h, Don't Kill My Vibe | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| United in Grief | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Money Trees | +900 | 10% | $90 |
| M.A.A.D City | +900 | 10% | $90 |
In the weeks leading up to the Super Bowl, "Humble" has become the favorite, with "Not Like Us" trading as a close second. However, the alleged leak suggests neither will be the first song. In fact, BetMGM doesn't feature the leaked first song at all.
Therefore, you may be best off leaving this market alone unless you don't believe the rumors.
Kendrick Lamar Super Bowl halftime show first song favorites
Here is a look at the Super Bowl halftime show first song favorites. Which song will Kendrick go with first?
Humble (+150)
"Humble" is by far the most viewed video on Lamar's YouTube page with one billion views. The second-most-viewed video is "All the Stars," all the way down at 479 million.
It would make a lot of sense for Lamar to start with a song like this, but as we saw with Usher's performance last year, the most obvious answer isn't always the right one.
Not Like Us (+375)
"Not Like Us" is among Lamar's more recent releases, and it was one of the biggest songs of 2024. It's a diss track aimed at Drake, and it achieved much more commercial success than "Euphoria" did.
Euphoria (+600)
"Euphoria" opened as the favorite to be the first song performed during the Super Bowl halftime show, but that is no longer the case as "Not Like Us" and "Humble" have taken over at the top of oddsboard.
The surprise release from April 2024 serves as one of the earlier diss tracks Kendrick made about Drake last year. It followed three previous diss tracks made by Drake, and it would certainly start the halftime show with a bang.
2025 Super Bowl halftime show first song contender
King Kunta (+400)
Along with our highlighted long shot, "King Kunta" was one of the most popular tracks off Lamar's third studio album, To Pimp a Butterfly.
It would kick off the Super Bowl halftime show in a very different way compared to the three previous entries, as it's a much more funk-based song vs. pure hip hop. I'm not sure it's a likely choice, but I'd personally enjoy hearing it to open the halftime show.
2025 Super Bowl halftime show first song long shot
Alright (+1400)
I'm featuring "Alright" as the long shot because it's surprising to see it priced at these +1400 odds when I assumed it'd be trading among the contenders.
This would set the stage in a similar way that Dr. Dre and Snoop Dogg did when they opened the 2021 show with "The Next Episode."
2025 Super Bowl halftime show first song betting pick
I'd say the best strategy to use when making Super Bowl halftime show prop bets is to stay diligent online and look for leaks. Rarely can you actually predict what will happen, but there's still some value to be found if you act quickly on information that makes its way to social media.
I'd rather be right and get the correct song at, say, +150, than jump at +500 odds and just donate that money to our best Super Bowl betting sites.
Super Bowl halftime show content
- Super Bowl halftime show prop bets
- Kendrick Lamar first song odds
- Super Bowl halftime show celebrity guest odds
- Super Bowl halftime show predictions: Kendrick Lamar vs. Drake
Super Bowl halftime show FAQs
Who will perform the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show?
Kendrick Lamar was announced as the Super Bowl 59 halftime show headliner on Sept. 8, 2024.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show?
The halftime show will take place after the second quarter of the Super Bowl on Feb. 9.
How long is the Super Bowl halftime show?
The Super Bowl halftime show usually runs for about 14 minutes.
What is the favorite to be the Super Bowl halftime show first song?
The favorite to be the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show first song is "Humble" at +160.
Where can I bet on Super Bowl halftime props?
The best sportsbooks in the U.S. do not offer Super Bowl halftime prop markets; you will need to be located outside the United States in order to access these odds.
Who performed the Super Bowl halftime show last year?
Usher headlined the 2024 Super Bowl halftime show.
What was the first song for Super Bowl halftime show last year?
Usher opened the show with "My Way," but the first full song he performed was "Caught Up," so be sure to check the language associated with the market when placing your wager.
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