Super Bowl Odds 2025: Chiefs Favorites Entering Week 5's Sunday Slate
The Atlanta Falcons are the latest risers in the Super Bowl odds market after beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to claim the top spot in the NFC South. Yet, the Kansas City Chiefs remain the clear consensus favorites entering Week 5's Sunday slate.
- The Chiefs (+500) are still the favorites across our best Super Bowl betting sites with a 4-0 record that hasn't look as impressive as you'd expect
- The Ravens (+850) scored on their first offensive play of Sunday night's 35-10 win over the Bills (+1000) in a matchup of NFL MVP odds contenders
- The Falcons (+3000) made a statement with an overtime win over the Buccaneers as Kirk Cousins solidified himself as a favorite by the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds
Here's a look at the latest Super Bowl odds entering Week 5 in the NFL:
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last update Oct. 4.
Favorites
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| 49ers | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Ravens | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Bills | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Lions | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Texans | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Vikings | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Eagles | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Jets | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Cowboys | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
- Chiefs (+500): Kansas City is 4-0 with four wins decided in the final minute, and it'll now have to contend with the loss of top wideout Rashee Rice (knee)
- 49ers (+650): San Francisco looked just fine in Week 4 even without Christian McCaffrey, though the schedule gets tougher from here
- Ravens (+860): Baltimore was dealing as high as +1400 before Sunday, but a dominant win over the Bills has caught everyone's attention
- Bills (+1000): After their own prime-time statement last week, the Bills fell flat on Sunday night, though we know this team comes with elite upside
- Vikings (+1400): Minnesota keeps winning (and climbing the odds) after a 4-0 start, and Sam Darnold looks like a legit MVP candidate
Contenders
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Packers | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Falcons | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Saints | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Seahawks | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Buccaneers | +4500 | 2.17% | $450 |
| Commanders | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
- Bengals (+2500): Cincinnati finally won its first game of the season, albeit against the lowly Carolina Panthers
- Falcons (+3000): Atlanta is above .500 after another game-winning drive from Kirk Cousins in overtime. Don't sleep on his potential MVP campaign
- Steelers (+5000): Pittsburgh lost its first game all year as questions loom about who will start under center once Russell Wilson is healthy
Long shots
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Colts | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Bears | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Browns | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Dolphins | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Cardinals | +12500 | 0.79% | $1,250 |
| Rams | +12500 | 0.79% | $1,250 |
| Jaguars | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Raiders | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Broncos | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Titans | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Giants | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Panthers | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Patriots | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
- Browns (+10000): Cleveland can't buy a win right now. Are we sure Deshaun Watson should still be the starting QB?
- Rams (+12500): Injuries are piling up for Los Angeles, but even the healthy stars don't look right for this preseason NFC contender
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+500)
Kansas City has won four games in the final minute, with two coming on questionable calls. But that form is still more impressive than what we saw a year ago from the two-time defending champions.
Sunday's win over the Los Angeles Chargers was arguably the least impressive yet, and it may have cost the Chiefs their top wideout after Rashee Rice (knee) was carted off in the first quarter of that 17-10 win.
Mahomes and Co. rallied to hang on for their fourth straight win to start 4-0 for the first time since 2020.
I didn't think we'd see the Chiefs' odds move above +500 until a loss. But the folks at bet365 seem concerned about the slow start and potentially Rice's injury, too.
That could spell value at these +500 odds, which would turn a $10 bet into a $50 profit in February if Kansas City wins a third straight Super Bowl.
Best odds: +500 via bet365 | Implied probability: 16.67%
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49ers (+650)
Injuries have hit the Niners hard through the first three weeks, but they looked just fine on Sunday in a 30-13 win over the New England Patriots.
The schedule only gets tougher from here for San Francisco, which faces the Cardinals, Seahawks, Chiefs, and Cowboys before a Week 9 bye.
There's a good chance Christian McCaffrey misses the majority, if not all, of those contests as San Francisco tries to keep pace in the NFC West.
Our best sportsbooks barely moved the 49ers' odds after consecutive losses, and I don't suspect we'll see a ton of movement over the next few weeks.
This team has proven to be dangerous in the postseason, and a $10 bet right now would return a $65 profit.
Best odds: +650 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 13.33%
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Ravens (+850)
The Ravens were dealing as high as +1400 before Sunday's win over the Bills. But then the market reacted swiftly and aggressively to one of the most significant wins from any team through the first four weeks.
It took just one play for Baltimore's offense to make a statement on Sunday Night Football, as Derrick Henry ripped off his best run yet for his new team:
I've had my concerns about the Ravens' offensive line, but I finally relented and bet this team mid-game after a second straight dominant showing on the ground.
While Baltimore is priced at +800 thorugh most shops, you can still grab +850 odds via Caesars, which might be the best price we see in a while.
Best odds: +850 via Caesars | Implied probability: 10.53%
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My Super Bowl pick to watch
Falcons (+2800)
I've been writing about the Falcons since February, when I gave them out as one of my favorite Super Bowl predictions at 50/1 odds.
That price has shortened after a 3-2 start including a narrow loss to the Super Bowl favorite Chiefs, and close wins over the Eagles, Saints, and Buccaneers.
Kirk Cousins has already led three game-winning drives, and nobody else has logged more than one. The defense has lived up to its billing after making a splash in free agency.
Life should get easier - and the wins more comfortable - for Atlanta. The Falcons visit the Carolina Panthers in Week 6 before hosting the Seattle Seahawks. They'll then play three of four games on the road - including rematches against the Saints and Bucs - before a Week 12 bye.
Best odds: +3000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 3.23%
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AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after four straight tight wins. The Ravens are right behind them after blowing out the Bills in Week 4.
(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +250 |
| Ravens | +400 |
| Bills | +450 |
| Texans | +600 |
| Jets | +1100 |
| Bengals | +1400 |
| Steelers | +2000 |
| Chargers | +2800 |
| Colts | +3500 |
| Dolphins | +4000 |
| Browns | +5000 |
| Jaguars | +6600 |
| Raiders | +6600 |
| Broncos | +8000 |
| Titans | +10000 |
| Patriots | +25000 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide open after four weeks.
The 49ers remain the favorites, while the Detroit Lions and Eagles don't quite look right. The Vikings might be the best dark-horse contender after a 4-0 start.
(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| 49ers | +375 |
| Lions | +500 |
| Eagles | +650 |
| Vikings | +650 |
| Cowboys | +1100 |
| Packers | +1200 |
| Seahawks | +1300 |
| Falcons | +1400 |
| Saints | +1600 |
| Buccaneers | +2000 |
| Commanders | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 |
| Cardinals | +4000 |
| Rams | +5000 |
| Giants | +12500 |
| Panthers | +30000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +500 odds, which imply a 16.67% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, and Tennessee Titans.
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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