NFL Week 3 Survivor Picks: Walker Forward with Seahawks Win
Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker is eyeing the Seattle Seahawks in Week 3, as he shares his top survivor picks based on the latest NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
Congratulations to those who made it to Week 3 in their survivor contests. Plenty of poolies didn't.
We have a trio of double-digit favorites on the docket this week, but I’m a little further down the board with the Seattle Seahawks at home against the Carolina Panthers. You won’t find them at the top of this week's ranking, but I’ve included my breakdown below.
Here are our NFL Week 3 survivor picks to complement all our NFL Week 3 predictions.
Survivor picks NFL Week 3: Rankings
NFL Week 3 odds via bet365 as of Sept. 21.
Rank | Team | Opponent | Spread | Moneyline | Win Probability |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Chiefs | vs. Bears | -12.5 | -800 | 88.9% |
2 | Cowboys | at Cardinals | -12 | -700 | 87.5% |
3 | Jaguars | vs. Texans | -9 | -425 | 81% |
4 | 49ers | vs. Giants | -10.5 | -600 | 85.7% |
5 | Ravens | vs. Colts | -8 | -380 | 79.2% |
6 | Seahawks | vs. Panthers | -6 | -270 | 73% |
7 | Dolphins | vs. Broncos | -6.5 | -290 | 74.4% |
8 | Bills | at Commanders | -6.5 | -290 | 74.4% |
9 | Eagles | at Buccaneers | -5 | -225 | 69.2% |
10 | Lions | vs. Falcons | -3 | -170 | 63% |
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Survivor picks NFL Week 3: Rankings
5. Ravens (vs. Colts)
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson remains in concussion protocol and didn’t practice Wednesday, so Indy could have backup Gardner Minsew behind center against the Ravens in Week 3.
Minshew is a serviceable NFL quarterback, and he'll keep the Colts in this game. I’m just not anticipating serviceable being near enough to pull off a road upset over the Baltimore Ravens.
Our Anthony Wootton agrees and is teeing up a Lamar Jackson passing prop in his Ravens-Colts prediction.
4. 49ers (vs. Giants)
Props to the New York Giants for pulling off the Week 2 comeback win over the Arizona Cardinals, but a second consecutive road game against the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football is a tough spot for the G-Men.
The Niners are loaded with playmakers on both sides of the ball and are also among the shortest favorites in the Super Bowl odds. The talent gap should be too much for New York to overcome, but I’m also always skeptical of laying it on the line for a Thursday nighter, especially when there are multiple huge favorites on the board.
For further analysis of the Thursday Night Football game, check out our Giants vs. 49ers predictions and TNF player props!
3. Jaguars (vs. Texans)
The Jacksonville Jaguars aren’t the easiest team to handicap after checking out as an analytic anomaly last season. They allowed the Colts to hang around in the opener, and then the Kansas City Chiefs held them to just nine points and 271 yards on offense last week.
Still, this is a huge spread, and I’m confident in Jacksonville head coach Doug Peterson and quarterback Trevor Lawrence improving to 2-1.
On the other side, we also expect Nick Collins to post plenty of garbage-time production in our Texans-Jaguars prediction.
2. Cowboys (at Cardinals)
Good luck finding a respected overall defensive metric the Dallas Cowboys aren’t pacing the NFL in. This week, they get to tee off on the 0-2 Arizona Cardinals and quarterback Joshua Dobbs in just his fifth career start.
This is also a ripe matchup for Dak Prescott and the offense to show off their best game yet. Our Philip Woods agrees in his Cowboys-Cardinals prediction while taking Dallas to cover a massive spread.
1. Chiefs (vs. Bears)
The Chiefs benefited from the return of tight end Travis Kelce and defensive tackle Chris Jones last week, and they should have no problem topping the discombobulated Chicago Bears on Sunday.
It’s tough enough to go into Arrowhead Stadium and beat Kansas City, so with Bears quarterback Justin Fields "questioning" the coaching staff two weeks into the season, I don't see Chicago pulling off the road upset.
If you're looking for a prop to play in this matchup, Michael McClymont is eyeing Justin Fields' running in his Chiefs-Bears prediction.
Survivor picks NFL Week 3: Fade
Dolphins (vs. Broncos)
With enough huge favorites and favorable matchups throughout the Week 3 slate, I’m hesitant to recommend the Miami Dolphins facing the desperate 0-2 Denver Broncos. Additionally, I believe the truth about these teams lies somewhere in the middle: Miami isn’t quite as good as their results through two weeks, and Denver isn’t as bad.
Our NFL analyst Phil Wood also likes the points and outlines his case in our Broncos vs. Dolphins predictions.
Survivor picks NFL Week 3: My pick
Seahawks (vs. Panthers)
I’m going down the board a little further with my Week 3 selection because I’m bullish on the Seattle Seahawks bullying the Carolina Panthers at Lumen Field on Sunday. The Panthers lack offensive playmakers, and regardless of whether it's veteran quarterback Andy Dalton or rookie Bryce Young (ankle) under center, it’s going to be a long day for the Black Cats.
Seattle isn’t ever going to morph into the ‘85 Bears on defense, but the Seahawks are closer to a middle-of-the-pack unit than they’ve shown through two weeks. And there’s no questioning the explosiveness of the offense.
Carolina is on a short week and traveling across the country for this tilt, and the Panthers won't keep pace with - or slow down - Seattle.
Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 |
---|---|---|
Baltimore Ravens ✅ | Buffalo Bills ✅ | Seattle Seahawks |
Circa Survivor picks NFL Week 3
Here are the Week 3 picks from the Circa Survivor Pro Football Contest.
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