2025 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: Bennett the Minus-Money Favorite, Marchand Closest

Sam Bennett is the odds-on Conn Smythe Trophy favorite after he scored his 13th road goal of the playoffs in Florida's Game 5 victory.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: June 15, 2025 12:30 AM EDT • 3 minute read

Conn Smythe Trophy Odds & Favorites: Bennett the Clear Favorite, Marchand Closes Gap — Pictured: Florida Panthers center Sam Bennett skates during the warmup period against the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5. Photo by Sergei Belski via Imagn Images.

Sam Bennett is on the verge of doing something nobody thought he could: win the Conn Smythe Trophy. Entering what could be a clinching Game 6, he is the clear minus-money Conn Smythe Trophy odds favorite, with teammate Brad Marchand receiving the second-shortest odds.

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl will need a heroic Game 6 to re-enter the fold. We've asked ChatGPT to weigh in on its prediction, which you can read below.

🏆 Conn Smythe Trophy odds 2025

2025 Conn Smythe Trophy odds via our best sports betting sites.

🤖 Conn Smythe Trophy AI prediction

We asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best prediction to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor, but it can provide valuable additional information and insights. This is for entertainment purposes only.

🏅 Conn Smythe Trophy prediction: Sam Bennett

🔎 Why Sam Bennett?

🔥 1. Playoff goal leader

Bennett leads all skaters with 15 goals in the 2025 postseason.
His scoring has been consistent and timely—he’s not just padding stats, he’s scoring game-changing goals.

🧱 2. Physical impact & two-way play

He plays a heavy game, disrupting opponents on the forecheck and contributing to Florida’s defensive structure.
He’s been one of the most complete forwards in the playoffs—balancing offense, grit, and reliability.

🧠 3. Narrative and eye test

While Brad Marchand and Aleksander Barkov have been excellent, Bennett has delivered signature playoff performances that stick in voters' minds.
His breakout postseason is a driving force behind Florida's deep run, and that “emergence” story often resonates with Conn Smythe voters.

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📊 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy opening odds

Odds via FanDuel as of April 8

Connor Hellebuyck: +1500
Connor McDavid: +1800
Nathan MacKinnon: +1900
Jack Eichel: +1900
Jake Oettinger: +2100
Aleksander Barkov: +2100
Cale Makar: +2300
Sergei Bobrovsky: +2400
Matthew Tkachuk: +2500
Leon Draisaitl: +2600

📋 Conn Smythe Trophy betting history

Year	Player	Team	Odds
2024	Connor McDavid	Oilers	+200
2023	Jonathan Marchessault	Golden Knights	+650
2022	Cale Makar	Avalanche	+175
2021	Andrei Vasilevskiy	Lightning	+125
2020	Victor Hedman	Lightning	+450
2019	Ryan O’Reilly	Blues	+5000
2018	Alex Ovechkin	Capitals	+220
2017	Sidney Crosby	Penguins	+410
2016	Sidney Crosby	Penguins	+500
2015	Duncan Keith	Blackhawks	+325
2014	Justin Williams	Kings	+3000

❓ Conn Smythe Trophy FAQs

Who is the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy favorite?

Sam Bennett is the Conn Smythe Trophy odds favorite while getting -233 odds. Those odds imply a 69.97% probability.

When is the Conn Smythe Trophy decided?

The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded immediately following the final game of the Stanley Cup Final with the trophy handed out on the ice.

Who won the Conn Smythe Trophy last year?

Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid won the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy.

Has anyone won the Conn Smythe Trophy without winning the Stanley Cup?

Six players have won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite their team being defeated in the Stanley Cup Final. The last was center Connor McDavid in 2024. Before him, Jean-Sebastien Giguere took the award in a losing effort in 2003.

🥅 NHL betting odds pages

Stanley Cup odds	Hart Trophy odds	Calder Trophy odds
Norris Trophy odds	Vezina Trophy odds	Rocket Richard odds
Jack Adams Award odds	Conn Smythe Trophy odds

🏒 Best NHL betting sites for the Conn Smythe Trophy

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.