Will Alex Ovechkin Break the NHL Goals Record Today? NHL Goals Record Odds & Predictions

Alex Ovechkin is one unforgettable moment away from making history as we predict whether the Great 8 will break the all-time goals record against the New York Islanders today.
Ovechkin Goals Record Predictions: Will Alex Ovechkin Break the NHL Goals Record Today?
Picture: Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin waves to fans in the stands after scoring his 849th goal against the Chicago Blackhawks. Photo by Amber Searls via Imagn Images.

Alex Ovechkin is unstoppable - and even Wayne Gretzky knows his legendary record is on borrowed time.

With goals No. 893 and 894 scored Friday against the Chicago Blackhawks, “The Great 8” has pulled even with “The Great One” atop the NHL’s all-time goals leaderboard. Now, all eyes are on today’s matchup against the New York Islanders, which we break down in our Capitals vs. Islanders prediction and player props

So, will Ovechkin break the NHL goals record today? We analyze his chances in our Ovechkin goals record predictions.

All eyes on Alex Ovechkin

According to ESPN BET, as of 9:30 a.m. ET, the most bet player prop across all events by total handle is Ovechkin Over 0.5 goals. It's second behind Aaron Judge's anytime home run prop in terms of total bets.

Will Alex Ovechkin break the NHL goals record today?

Odds for Alex Ovechkin to score today are via our best NHL betting sites.

Sportsbook DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caeasars bet365
Odds  -120  -120 -125 -124 -140
Implied probability 54.55% 54.55% 55.56% 55.36% 58.33%
Profit $10 bet  $8.33 $8.33 $8 $8.06 $7.14

Ovechkin rolls into Long Island today, riding a tsunami of momentum about as high as the Washington Monument. He has at least one goal in four straight games, including two against the Blackhawks on Friday.

It took him all of 3:52 to get on the board against Chicago. He added a second in the third period, scoring the goal to tie Gretzky, his 894th, on the power play. 

That was his eighth goal in 10 games, including five in the last four. He's scored against bottom feeders and Stanley Cup odds contenders in his current scorching-hot streak.

Whether due to an uptick in adrenaline, heightened focus, or some intangibles we explored in our Ovechkin goals record odds and predictions, Ovechkin resembles more of an unstoppable force than Batman at his feistiest. 

Will he score today against the Islanders? It's an unequivocal yes from me.

As you can see from the table above, DraftKings and FanDuel (-120) offer the best prices of our best sports betting sites

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Why will Ovechkin score today against the Islanders?

In a perfect world, Ovechkin would score his history-making 895th goal in Washington in front of his devoted, adoring fans. While that would add a nice touch to culminate his fantasy-like story, Ovechkin will be focused on getting the job done tonight for various reasons: 

  • If Ovechkin breaks the record today, it will mean scoring his 895th goal in his 1,487th game. That's the same number of games Gretzky played
  • Ovechkin plays only two more home games and four away games
  • Breaking the record today means more time for him and his team to focus on the playoffs
  • The sooner Ovechkin scores, the more time he will have to rest before the postseason
  • The Islanders have been brutal defensively lately, allowing at least four goals in six of the last seven games

How will Ovechkin score today against the Islanders?

Method Odds (via FanDuel) Implied probability Profit on $10 bet
Even strength goal -220 68.75% $4.55
Power play goal +165 37.74% $16.50
Shorthanded goal +5000 1.96% $500

I'm backing him to score his record-breaking goal on the power play. Three of his last four goals have come with the man advantage, and the Islanders have the league's fourth-worst penalty kill (73.3%). Being up a man also provides more time for his teammates to find Ovi in space for his hallmark one-timer. 

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