Donald Trump vs. Elon Musk Predictions: Will President or Billionaire Apologize 1st?
Friends swiftly became enemies when the very public spat between the leader of the free world and the richest man in that world began, and you can profit on the ensuing feud with our Donald Trump vs. Elon Musk predictions.
Kalshi, which is the sole legal and regulated prediction market in America, is featuring several markets connected to the ongoing Trump-Musk rift, most notably one asking if a public apology from either side is coming soon.
🔢 Donald Trump vs. Elon Musk prediction markets 2025
There are several prediction markets from Kalshi connected to the Trump-Musk feud. Let's dive into the values tied to the most prominent. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus throughout most of the U.S.
$10 Bonus to Trade on NBA Playoffs
Terms and conditions apply
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Will Trump or Musk apologize 1st this month?
| Value | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 23% |
| Donald Trump | 2% |
Neither man does apologizing well, though unsurprisingly Musk is receiving the far higher probability while in the less powerful position.
Musk seems to already be moving in that direction after several days of fiery messages between the two on X. He's put out plenty of supportive messages, including retweeting Vice President JD Vance with American flag emojis.
Will Musk's security clearance be revoked this year?
| Value | Probability |
|---|---|
| Yes | 28% |
| No | 72% |
Musk, who held a temporary role in Trump's administration running the Department of Government Efficiency, began the process of leaving the White House in a formal capacity on May 28.
His position was always expected to end. However, removing his security clearance would be a significant and unanticipated step to sever ties further.
Will Trump sue Musk this year?
| Value | Probability |
|---|---|
| Yes | 13% |
| No | 87% |
While Trump is known for his penchant for lawsuits, the market expects him to withhold from taking legal action against his former DOGE head.
The likelihood of that happening is half that of revoking his security clearance, though it's still about seven times as likely as an apology this month.
Will Trump unfollow Musk this year?
| Value | Probability |
|---|---|
| Yes | 15% |
| No | 85% |
Both Trump and Musk have amassed gigantic followings on X, and as of now the president still follows the billionaire on the app owned by the latter.
Musk is one of just 53 people that Trump follows, and it's expected to remain that way through the end of 2025.
🥊 Latest Donald Trump vs. Elon Musk feud news
- Simmering tensions tied to a disagreement over a Republican spending bill boiled over in dramatic fashion this past Thursday, when Musk called for Trump's impeachment and mocked the president's connections to convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
- Musk also said that tariffs, one of Trump's staple foreign policy moves, would lead to a recession.
- Trump threatened to cancel federal contracts and tax subsidies for Musk's companies, many of which are already struggling.
- Shares in Tesla dropped 15% during the afternoon when the online jousting began.
- Trump accused Musk of not supporting the spending bill because it didn't benefit him, as an electronic vehicle mandate would be cut. The billionaire responded that Trump wouldn't have returned to office without his financial backing.
- Trump then said Musk's role as a special advisor in the White house ended because he was "wearing thin." However, at least indirectly the two could be mending their relationship online now.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
