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Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich Prediction, Pick & UCL Odds: Gunners Fire Away

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: April 9, 2024 12:27 PM EDT • 2 min 53 sec read.

Arsenal FC midfielder Martin Odegaard during the English Premier League football match against Brighton as we look at the best bet for the first leg of Arsenal's quarterfinal Champions League contest against Bayern Munich.
Arsenal FC midfielder Martin Odegaard during the English Premier League football match between Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal on 6 April 2024 at the American Express Stadium in Brighton and Hove, England. Photo by Jane Stokes (ProSportsImages)

Arsenal and Bayern Munich meet at the Emirates Stadium in London on Tuesday for the opening leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, and we have our Arsenal-Bayern prediction and expert prop pick based on the best Champions League odds.

Arsenal and Bayern Munich are trending in opposite directions as they prepare for their pivotal Champions League quarterfinals matchup on Tuesday. 

The German champions are about to relinquish the Bundesliga title for the first time in 11 seasons and have been grappling with uncharacteristic listless play in domestically, including a surprising 3-2 loss to 10th-place Heidenheim. The Bavarian side has only four wins in its last eight matches across all competitions. The situation isn't helped by the impending departure of coach Thomas Tuchel at the end of the season.

On the flip side, Arsenal is enjoying a sensational run, particularly at the Emirates where they've been unstoppable, winning all four of their Champions League home fixtures, scoring an impressive 13 goals without conceding. Their resilience was displayed with a crucial 1-0 victory over FC Porto in the Round of 16 second leg, securing advancement via penalties after a 1-0 loss in Porto in the first leg. Arsenal's last home defeat was on December 31, 2023, against Fulham in EPL action.

Along with our Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction, here is our best Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich game info

  • Date: Tuesday, April 9, at 3 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
  • Weather: Cloudy, chance of rain, 50 Fahrenheit
  • Favorite: Arsenal (-130 via DraftKings)

Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich odds

Odds via DraftKings as of Sunday, April 7.

TeamsMoneylineSpreadTotal
Arsenal -130-0.5 (-145)Over 2.5 (+115)
Bayern Munich+350+0.5 (+115)Under 2.5 (-140)

Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich prediction

Arsenal Over 5.5 corners ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +100 via bet365

Set for its first Champions League quarterfinal since 2009-10, Arsenal will be bouncing with verve and gusto. And so will the Arsenal faithful as they pack the almost 61,000-seat Emirates Stadium. The raucous environment, coupled with the absence of Bayern Munich supporters, who were banned after throwing flares onto the pitch in Rome during the Round of 16 first leg, should facilitate constant Arsenal pressure.

Expect that unrelenting pressure to lead to at least six corners. The Gunners had nine corners in 120 minutes against FC Porto but failed to hit the Over in their previous three home Champions League matches. While in a somewhat ominous stretch of three Unders, Arsenal's irrepressible enthusiasm should pin Bayern deep for extended periods. In the last seven home Premier League contests, Arsenal has averaged 7.8 corners per contest.

In addition, the visitors have been poor in enemy environments recently, losing 1-0 in both of their previous away Champions League fixtures.

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Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich odds analysis

bet365 offers +100 odds for Arsenal to get at least six corners. That provides sensational value, especially considering DraftKings offers -105 odds. You'll want to place the wager at bet365 before the line lengthens. bet365's odd will likely shorten, aligning it more closely with DraftKings' -105. 

At +100, a winning $10 bet will pay out $20. The +100 odds come with a 50% implied probability. The same bet at DraftKings, with -105 odds, will pay out $19.52, accompanying a 51.22% probability. 

Take Arsenal to win the match as an alternative wager. Arsenal is the -130 favorite at DraftKings, the best value of our best sports betting sites. The -130 odds represent the shortest of all quarterfinals first legs, reflecting the stark contrast in current forms. 

Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich prediction made Sunday at 4 p.m. ET.

Here are our best soccer betting sites:

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.