Arsenal vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Expert Pick & Odds Today: Champions League Quarterfinal Best Bets

Today's Champions League quarterfinals feature Arsenal and Real Madrid starting up their two-leg aggregate with a 3 p.m. ET match (Paramount+) at the Emirates Stadium in London, and our Arsenal vs. Real Madrid prediction expects the underdogs to steal a victory.

Our best sports betting sites list the Gunners as +140 betting favorites at home. Can Arsenal earn their biggest Champions League victory in recent memory, or will Carlo Ancelotti and Real Madrid head back to Santiago Bernabeu with the advantage?

👉 Want more UCL picks? Check out our Champions League Quarterfinals AI predictions

🔮 Arsenal vs. Real Madrid predictions today

Champions League picks are based on the odds at our best soccer betting sites. Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

🚨Arsenal vs. Real Madrid moneyline pick: Real Madrid ML (+220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚨Arsenal vs. Real Madrid best pick: Rodrygo anytime goalscorer (+525 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

🏆 Who will win Arsenal vs. Real Madrid?

🎯 Real Madrid moneyline ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +220 via FanDuel | Implied win probability: 31.25%

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Los Blancos' form has dropped recently. They needed penalties to get by Atletico Madrid in the Round of 16 and edged out Real Sociedad, 5-4, in the Copa Del Rey semifinal. But Ancelotti's men seemingly do this every year as their attention turns to the elite continental competition.

Real Madrid have experience littered across their roster, especially in the Champions League, a competition they have won a record 15 times. That - coupled with a front line consisting of Kylian Mbappe, Rodrygo, and Vinicius Jr. - is the biggest difference between the sides.

The Gunners only have two Champions League winners in their ranks: Kai Havertz and Jorginho. Arsenal also lack attacking threats. These are two of the most important traits when deciding winners of UCL ties.

Mikel Arteta has leaned heavily on his rock-solid defense this season when shots aren't finding the back of the net at a consistent rate. However, the Gunners' backline will be under heavy pressure from an adept attacking side in Real Madrid, and it'll be missing a crucial puzzle piece with Gabriel Magalhaes sidelined.

In the end, Real Madrid simply seems inevitable. Los Blancos boast the world's most talented XI on their day, and it's difficult to pick against a team with so much pedigree, so we won't. A $10 winning wager on the visitors to win the first leg profits $22 at our best sports betting apps.

🥅 Best Arsenal vs. Real Madrid pick

⚽ Rodrygo anytime goalscorer ⭐⭐

Best odds: +525 via BetMGM | Implied win probability: 16%

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Rodrygo is one of the two oft-underappreciated cogs in a star-filled Real Madrid machine, alongside Federico Valverde. The 24-year-old is one of the best right-sided attackers in world football, but he's often overshadowed by the likes of Jude Bellingham, as well as the aforementioned Mbappe and Vini Jr.

That being said, it's impossible to ignore the goalscoring return from Rodrygo in the Champions League this season. He's put five shots past the keeper in 734 minutes. This means he scores a UCL goal once every 147 minutes, an excellent return for a winger.

Rodrygo has bagged two braces in the UCL this season. Overall, he's scored in three of his 10 appearances in the competition. The Brazilian is finding the back of the net at a 30% clip, which is much better than the 16% probability implied by his odds at our best sportsbooks.

We recommend this profitable play at two-star confidence given the unpredictable nature of anytime goalscorer props. A $10 wager would return $52.50 in profits if Rodrygo adds to his Champions League tally.

📊 Today's Arsenal vs. Real Madrid odds

See the latest Champions League odds on all of today's other matchups.

Real Madrid vs. Arsenal moneyline odds

Arsenal is a +110 moneyline favorite at BetMGM as of Tuesday morning. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 47.62% and would return a profit of $11 on a winning $10 bet.

Real Madrid's +250 underdog odds imply a 28.57% win probability, while a draw is priced with +240 odds at BetMGM.

🗓️ When is Arsenal vs. Real Madrid?

📅 When: Tuesday, April 7
🕗 Time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Emirates Stadium (London)
📺 How to watch: Paramount+
🌡️ Weather: 36 degrees, 8% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph NE

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