PSG vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Expert Pick & Odds: Champions League Quarterfinal Best Bets

Wednesday's Champions League quarterfinals feature two of Europe's most in-form teams as Aston Villa visits Paris Saint-Germain. But in-form or not, our PSG vs. Aston Villa prediction expects the home betting favorites to take a comfortable lead into the second leg. Kickoff is slated for 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+).

Our best sports betting sites list the Parisians as -238 betting favorites at the Parc des Princes in Paris. Will the Villans continue their dream run in Europe's premier cup competition, or will Les Rouge-et-Bleu move one step closer to lifting the big-eared trophy for the first time?

👉 Want more UCL picks? Check out our Champions League Quarterfinals AI predictions

🔮 PSG vs. Aston Villa predictions

My Champions League quarterfinal picks are based on the odds at our best soccer betting sites. Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

🚨PSG vs. Aston Villa moneyline pick: PSG ML (-238 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚨PSG vs. Aston Villa best pick: Ousmane Dembele anytime goalscorer (+120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

🏆 Who will win PSG vs. Aston Villa?

🎯 My pick: Paris Saint-Germain moneyline ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -238 via ESPN BET | Implied win probability: 70.41%

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PSG have been a revolving door of personnel over the past half-decade or so, in terms of both managers and players. However, the club's appointment of Luis Enrique and the recruitment following the departures of Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi, and Neymar have been nothing short of spectacular.

The Spanish manager and his new cast of stars have steadied the Parisian ship this season. Les Rouge-et-Bleu look like one of the most dangerous teams on the continent, and for the first time since Thomas Tuchel led the club to the Champions League final in 2020, it feels as if they have a shot to win the UCL.

While PSG struggled in the early rounds, they established themselves as a true threat to win the trophy when they knocked out Liverpool in the Round of 16. They've lost just once since the start of December - a span of 28 matches - and the lone defeat came against the aforementioned Reds, who the Parisians later eliminated.

Suffice it to say they're in sensational form, playing opponents off the pitch with their lethal, selfless attacking style. PSG have already wrapped up Ligue 1, as well, so they can focus solely on their European campaign, whereas the visitors are in the thick of a race for European qualification in England.

While Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last seven matches, they've not exactly been tested. The lack of European experience in the squad could prove to be the downfall for Unai Emery's squad, although adding the likes of Marco Asensio and Marcus Rashford during the last transfer windows could help fill that leadership void.

At the end of the day, Enrique is the better manager with a more in-form and talented team at his disposal. PSG are heavily juiced betting favorites at our best sports betting apps for a reason. Even though we're confident the hosts will win outright, consider playing alternate markets - such as spread or goalscoring game props.

🥅 Best PSG vs. Aston Villa pick

⚽ Ousmane Dembele anytime goalscorer ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +120 via FanDuel | Implied win probability: 45.45%

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At the heart of PSG's success this season lies a rejuvenated Ousmane Dembele. The former Barcelona and Dortmund winger has enjoyed the best attacking output of his career under Enrique, and he's shown no signs of slowing down.

Dembele has found the back of the net seven times through 10 Champions League matches this season, with each goal coming over his last six appearances. He's in scorching form, including a decisive goal against Liverpool to get the Parisians to this stage.

While Dembele is deployed as a false nine, he's given the freedom to roam into space. Aston Villa has rotated its left backs throughout the competition, but with both Lucas Digne and Ian Maatsen preferring to get forward in possession, Dembele could cause issues by drifting into unoccupied spaces and popping up on the ball in dangerous areas.

A $10 winning wager on PSG's leading goalscorer returns $12 if he finds the back of the net in the first leg.

📊 PSG vs. Aston Villa odds

See the latest Champions League odds on all of today's other matchups.

🗓️ When is PSG vs. Aston Villa?

📅 When: Wednesday, April 9
🕗 Time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)
📺 How to watch: Paramount+
🌡️ Weather: 43 degrees, 6% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph NNE

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