Spain vs. Germany Odds, Picks & Prediction: Euro 2024 Quarterfinals
Spain and Germany meet in a clash of two world powerhouses with a place in the Euro 2024 semifinal on the line, and we have you covered with our Spain vs. Germany predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Spain enter the quarterfinals as the only team to win all four matches, while Germany look to make it three straight semifinal appearances at major tournaments they've hosted. Spain are marginal favorites to advance, but according to the Euro 2024 odds, both teams are among the four favorites to win the tournament.
Friday's match starts at noon ET from Stuttgart Arena (Fox Sports). Spain are unbeaten in their last four head-to-head matches against the Germans, three of which ended deadlocked. Germany last beat Spain in a November 2014 friendly.
Germany have scored the most goals at Euro 2024 (10), while Spain have netted the second most (9). Spain are looking for their second consecutive semifinal berth at the Euros, while Germany made back-to-back semifinal appearances in 2012 and 2016.
Spain vs. Germany predictions for Friday
- Final score (90 minutes): Spain 1 - Germany 1 (+500 via FanDuel)
- Nico Williams anytime goal scorer (+410 via FanDuel)
- Best bet: Spain to advance (-115 via FanDuel)
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Spain vs. Germany score prediction
Spain 1 vs. Germany 1
First things first. I expect Spain to win 2-1 but it might take extra time, possibly penalties, to get the job done. The score prediction is based on the result at full-time and doesn't include extra time or penalties.
While both teams can score in bunches, the occasion is too grandiose and meaningful to see a rash of goals. Both sides will be more focused than a stock broker on Ritalin not to concede the opener, and six of their previous seven head-to-head encounters had two goals or fewer.
The +500 odds offered by FanDuel pay a profit of $50 if the score after 90 minutes is 1-1.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Spain vs. Germany anytime goal scorer prediction
Nico Williams, Spain
This is more of a situational pick combined with a gut feeling. Nico Williams has a blistering pace and, at top speed, can give a youthful and exuberant cheetah a run for their money.
Williams, 21, scored a sensational goal against Georgia to put the Round of 16 tie to bed. He did what he does best, dashing at the defense and causing havoc with an uncanny ability to pick up speed with the ball at his feet.
The goal against Georgia was his first in nine matches with La Roja, and Germany's defense is immeasurably superior to Georgia's. However, he has the shiftiness and speed to trouble Antonio Rüdiger and Jonathan Tah. I like his chances of bagging one if he can pick the ball up in open space on an odd-man rush.
FanDuel often provides the best value in the goal-scorers market. The +410 odds will pay a profit of $41 if he scores at least once.
Best odds: +410 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 19.61%
Spain vs. Germany best bet
Spain to advance
Spain have been the best team in the tournament and sit atop our Euro 2024 power rankings. They stormed through the Group of Death with three straight wins and did it in style, dominating Croatia and scoring goals seemingly at will.
Head coach Luis de la Fuente has transformed Spain into a more direct and merciless team, tasking Nico Williams and 16-year-old Lamine Yamal to take defenders on, utilizing their unparalleled skill and speed to unnerve.
That's where I feel Spain have the distinct advantage.
Germany have as many attacking weapons and are fortunate enough to have Toni Kroos and İlkay Gündoğan patrolling and pulling the strings from midfield. However, Rüdiger and Tah can be exposed by Williams and Yamal's turn of pace.
If the aforementioned duo prioritize running directly at the lumbering center-back pair, I like Spain's chances of advancing. Three of our best sports betting apps offer Spain to win in 90 minutes at +170. This is an appealing price that would pay a profit of $17 on a $10 bet.
I'm taking the slightly safer road, almost expecting extra time. Three of the last four matches between these two teams ended in a stalemate. With so much at stake and Germany playing in front of 55,000 bellowing fans, a regulation draw feels likely.
Best odds: -115 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.41%
Spain vs. Germany odds & game info
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +165 ❄️ | +170 | +160 | +170 | +170 🔥 |
| Germany | +180 | +180 🔥 | +180 | +180 | +180 |
| ML tie | +215 🔥 | +210 | +210 | +200 ❄️ | +210 |
- When: Friday, July 5 at noon ET.
- Where: Stuttgart Arena (Stuttgart, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Spain (+170 via bet365)
Spain-Germany predictions made Thursday at 11 a.m. ET.
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