USA vs. Japan Prediction: 2025 SheBelieves Cup Final Odds, Best Bets & AI Picks
The 2025 SheBelieves Cup concludes on Wednesday evening with the United States taking on Japan in the tournament final. Kickoff from SnapDragon Stadium in San Diego is slated for 10:30 p.m. ET (TBS).
Our USA vs. Japan prediction and odds analyze the match through a betting lens to offer our favorite picks. Our best soccer betting sites list the U.S. as a favorite (+110) to win its sixth consecutive SheBelieves Cup and record eighth overall.
How will the championship contest play out, and who are we predicting will find the back of the net?
USA vs. Japan betting odds
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of Tuesday, Feb. 25.
Moneyline
- USA: +110
- Draw: +240
- Japan: +240
Total
- Over 2.5 goals: +101
- Under 2.5 goals: -136
USA vs. Japan predictions, expert picks & best bets
As far as the women's game goes, Japan and the United States are the cream of the crop. As two of five all-time Women's World Cup-winning nations, these teams are no strangers to success. The SheBelieves Cup has eluded the former, whereas the latter is the winningest team in the competition's history.
Both the Nadeshiko and the Stars and Stripes are perfect through two games at this event. They've scored a combined 12 goals and allowed just two en route to catapulting themselves to the top of the 2025 SheBelieves Cup standings.
While the U.S. has only managed 33% of the aforementioned scoring output, Emma Hayes' side hasn't needed to get out of first gear yet, which is why I predict the United States will beat Japan in the final.
🏆 Pick to win USA vs. Japan: United States (+110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It'd be an understatement to say these squads are familiar with each other. They've met in pivotal matches during the last two SheBelieves Cups with the United States coming out on top each time. The host's roster was undeniably stronger during those competitions, but neither had a manager as adept as Emma Hayes.
Since coming over from the Women's Super League in England, Hayes has transformed the Stars and Stripes. They're nearing one full year of unbeaten football under the legendary manager, and their success is no coincidence. Hayes demands excellence from her players, no matter how inexperienced or talented.
The United States' aggressive, possession-obsessed tactics will back Japan into a corner. While the Nadeshiko are comfortable playing a counter-attacking contest, they've not had to yet at this tournament.
Japan must make the most of its opportunities to have any chance at success.
While this was possible against teams like Australia and Colombia, the USA is an entirely different beast. A win over the Stars and Stripes is the Nadeshiko's white whale. The two teams have met 40 times dating back to 1986, with the United States holding a record of 31 wins, eight draws, and one loss.
The Nadeshiko's tactical discipline will be enough to keep them within striking distance throughout the match. However, there's too much experience and talent littered across the Stars and Stripes' roster.
We'll side with the reigning gold medalists under perhaps the best manager in women's football at +110 odds with our best sports betting sites. A $10 winning wager returns $11 in profits.
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⚽️ Best goalscorer bet: Lindsey [Horan] Heaps (+310 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
We unsuccessfully predicted Lindsey Heaps would find the net in the United States' debut match. The midfielder was rested ahead of this clash, not appearing against Australia, so her fresh legs will provide a nice change of pace in the middle of the park.
Hayes also prefers to play the captain in a more advanced position, which could lead to increased looks at goal. Heaps - who was known as Lindsey Horan when these sides met in 2024 - was one of two scorers for the U.S. in the 2024 SheBelieves Cup semifinals. She scored the go-ahead goal from the penalty spot that day.
As the team's advanced No. 8 in the new system, the designated penalty taker, and an aerial threat, Heaps will undoubtedly get her fair share of chances to get her opening goal of the tournament in this contest.
Heaps has a knack for getting on the scoresheet in big moments, one of the many reasons she wears the armband. We'll take the skipper to score at +310, meaning a $10 winning wager returns $31 at our best sports betting apps.
2025 SheBelieves Cup AI picks & predictions
We asked ChatGPT, the popular chatbot from OpenAI, for its USA vs. Japan AI predictions - including its pick to win and best goalscorer bet. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and is not specifically designed for sports betting predictions.
🤖 ChatGPT's pick to win: USA (+110 via FanDuel)
"Given the U.S.'s strength in both attacking and pressing high, they have the edge in terms of physicality and depth. Even with some key players injured, the U.S. has a deep roster. The strength of their squad ensures that they can withstand injuries and still perform at a high level."
🔮 ChatGPT's score prediction: USA 2, Japan 1 (+850 via bet365)
"Given the United States' recent form and depth, they are favored to win this match. However, Japan's disciplined play and counter-attacking prowess make them a formidable opponent. A close contest is anticipated, with the U.S. team likely to edge out Japan, possibly with a scoreline of 2-1."
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🎱 ChatGPT's pick to score: Mina Tanaka (+290 via FanDuel)
"Tanaka is one of Japan's most dangerous forwards, known for her ability to finish in tight spaces. Her quickness and movement make her a prime candidate to score, especially on the counter-attack."
2025 SheBelieves Cup odds & favorites
While there was no futures market for the 2025 SheBelieves Cup at the beginning of the tournament, the United States was the favorite heading in. The Stars and Stripes have won seven of the nine events since its inception in 2016. Only France (2017) and England (2019) have successfully dethroned the perennial hosts.
Now, these suspicions have been confirmed by our best sportsbooks ahead of the final between Japan and the U.S. The host nation is a +110 favorite in the concluding contest. The Americans are going for their sixth consecutive SheBelieves Cup title, whereas the Nadeshiko are looking to build on a runner-up finish in 2023.
📺 How to watch USA vs. Japan
📅 Date: Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2025
🕒 Start time: 10:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: SnapDragon Stadium (San Diego)
📺 TV: TBS | Streaming: Max (English), Peacock (Spanish), fuboTV
❓SheBelievesCup FAQs
What is the SheBelieves Cup?
The SheBelieves Cup is an invitational tournament hosted by the United States Soccer Federation. It is played annually in late February or early March and coincides with other popular international women's tournaments, such as the Algarve Cup, the Arnold Clark Cup, and the Cup of Nations.
Who is favored to win the 2025 SheBelieves Cup?
The United States is favored to win the 2025 SheBelieves Cup as a reigning seven-time winner of the tournament and the perennial host. There is no futures betting market, but the U.S. is favored in the de facto final match against Japan.
Where is the 2025 SheBelieves Cup?
The 2025 SheBelieves Cup will be held in the United States across three cities: Glendale, Houston, and San Diego.
How to watch the 2025 SheBelieves Cup
You can watch the 2025 SheBelieves Cup on TBS (select matches) or Telemundo. You can also stream it via fuboTV, Max, Peacock, and Universo.
Who won the SheBelieves Cup last year?
The United States won last year's SheBelieves Cup 5-4 on penalties over Canada after a 2-2 finish in regulation. It was the Stars and Stripes' fifth consecutive SheBelieves Cup victory and seventh overall.
Who has won the most SheBelieves Cups?
The United States has won the most SheBelieve Cups with seven. England and France are the only other winners, and each European nation has one title apiece.
🏟️ Soccer betting odds pages
⚽️ Best soccer betting sites for the SheBelieves Cup
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