Venezuela vs. Mexico Odds, Picks & Predictions: Quarterfinals in View on Day 7 of Copa America 2024

Two teams that got their tournament off to a winning start square off where the victor will take command of Group B, here are our Venezuela vs. Mexico predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

Both sides know that victory on Wednesday will confirm their qualification to the quarterfinals of the tournament. This is Mexico’s first appearance at Copa America since 2016, when they were grouped with Venezuela. Both teams advanced to the final eight that year and drew 1-1 in their group match. 

Venezuela already has more wins at this tournament than their previous outing in 2021, when they finished last in a five-team group with two draws and two defeats.

Mexico has the shorter Copa America odds between these two sides heading into Wednesday's game.

Venezuela vs. Mexico predictions for Wednesday

• Final score: Venezuela 1 - Mexico 1 (+525 via BetMGM)
• Santiago Gimenez anytime goal scorer (+225 via DraftKings)
• Best bet: Both teams to score (+100 via DraftKings)

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Venezuela vs. Mexico score prediction

Venezuela 1 vs. Mexico 1

Leading up to this tournament, Venezuela were winless in five games. They found themselves in trouble against Ecuador in their opener, even when their opponents were reduced to ten men after Enner Valencia’s sending off. The Venezuelans went a goal down despite having an extra man. Saturday’s match was just the second time in ten games that Venezuela managed to score more than one goal.

Mexico peppered Jamaica’s goal in their Group B opener. They had 30 touches inside Jamaica’s box and recorded nine shots on target, their most at the tournament since 2011. The Mexicans have scored at least twice in ten of their last 13 meetings with Venezuela and remain unbeaten against this opposition.

El Tri have not had back-to-back wins in their last ten games in all competitions. They will be impacted by the loss of captain, Edson Alvarez. The odds imply a 16% win probability, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $52.50 if it hits.

Best odds: +525 via BetMGM

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Venezuela vs. Mexico anytime goal scorer prediction

Santiago Gimenez, Mexico

Gimenez has had a very good season for Dutch Eredivisie side Feyenoord this season. The Mexican forward scored 23 goals and had six assists in 31 league matches. He also had two goals and an assist in four Champions League appearances for his club, so he’s a man for the big occasion.

Against Jamaica, Gimenez had four touches inside the box and made two shots. Teammates Orbelin Pineda and Uriel Antuna were a threat in attack. Pineda made 20 passes inside in the final third of the pitch, while Antuna had 22. Their ability on offense could be key to unlocking the Venezuelan defense.

It is a backline that failed to contain a team with a man down. Gimenez could capitalize as El Tri’s main target up front. DraftKings’ +225 odds imply a 30.8% probability, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $22.50 if Gimenez scores.  

Best odds: +225 via DraftKings

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Venezuela vs. Mexico best bet

Both teams to score

Both teams are vulnerable on defense. In the past five matches in all competitions, Mexico have conceded nine goals. The Venezuelans have shipped an average of a goal a game during that run.

Neither side has managed consecutive wins in their last ten outings. That inconsistency lends itself to this being a draw. Venezuela has scored goals in each of their matches against Concacaf opponents at the Copa America.

Meanwhile, La Vinotinto is the only opponent that Mexico has faced more than once in the history of the competition without ever losing a match. Each defense will be exposed, which is the play in this contest. At +100, DraftKings’ odds represent a 50% probability. A $10 bet pays a profit of $10 if it hits. 

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings

Host vs. Visitor game info

• When: Wednesday, June 26 (9 p.m. ET)
• Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
• How to watch: FS1, Fubo
• Favorite: Mexico (+120 via DraftKings)

Venezuela-Mexico predictions made Tuesday at 2:23 p.m. ET.

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