Super Bowl Predictions: Chiefs vs. Eagles Score Picks, Prop Bets & Odds Today
Last-minute Super Bowl 2025 odds movements have justified the belief that the NFL's two best teams - the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles - are playing in the Big Game, but that movement hasn't deterred my Super Bowl predictions one day ahead of their matchup.
Today's Super Bowl odds dive into the specifics of the line movements.
Our Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions highlight my favorite betting plays for the Big Game. Our best Super Bowl betting sites list the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites, but some have shifted the line to a single point, favoring the designated visitors representing the AFC.
Super Bowl predictions for Feb. 8
Here are our NFL picks for the Super Bowl with confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Best Super Bowl pick: Zack Baun Over 6.5 solo tackles (+118 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Super Bowl score prediction: Chiefs 31 - Eagles 25 (+41000 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Chiefs -1 (-105 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Who will win the Super Bowl: Kansas City
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Saturday's best Super Bowl pick
Zack Baun Over 6.5 solo tackles
Best odds: +118 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 45.87%
Baun signed a one-year "prove it" deal with Philadelphia last offseason, and he's exceeded even the most ambitious aspirations. He's listed at plus-money to record Over 6.5 solo tackles in Super Bowl 2025, something he's done at a 47.37% clip this year, including in the NFC title game. Bettors are getting a 1.5% edge on this player prop at DraftKings.
While not a popular regular season betting market, solo tackles are relatively straightforward to describe: an individual tackle made by a defender, as opposed to a host of defenders. Those who aren't looking to put that much stock into Baun's individual output can also play related defensive markets at our same best sports betting apps.
Baun's tackles + assisted tackles prop is set at 10.5, and the Over is trading at +105.
Super Bowl score prediction
Chiefs 31 - Eagles 25
Best odds: +41000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 0.24%
This will be the 11th Super Bowl hosted in New Orleans and the eighth at the Caesars Superdome. The previous seven inside of The Big Easy's dome have combined for just three unique combined scores - 37, 56, and 65 total points - in New Orleans Super Bowl history. The Over has also hit in 12 of 22 indoor Super Bowls, including the last two.
Our Super Bowl exact score predictions for Chiefs vs. Eagles combine these Super Bowl trends and takes a flier on a profitable exact scoreline play. While 31-25 is unique, it's not unprecedented. Five games have finished with this exact score in the last 15 years, including Super Bowl 45.
This pick also backs the AI Super Bowl prediction's beliefs. FanDuel lists Chiefs 31-Eagles 25 at +41000 odds, meaning a $10 winning wager would return $4,100 in profits.
Chiefs vs. Eagles spread prediction
Chiefs to cover the spread -1
Best odds: -105 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 51.22%
While Philadelphia has been much better against the spread this season, a 1-point line is essentially just picking a winner. Patrick Mahomes thrives in these environments. He's a perfect 8-0 both against the spread and straight up when Kansas City closes as an underdog or a favorite of a field goal or less.
The Chiefs have also never lost to a Vic Fangio-led defense since the now-three-time Super Bowl winner took over duties under center.
You can call it devil magic, the referees, or whatever other ridiculous theory you like, but the fact remains: Kansas City knows how to win. It showed us this in Super Bowl 57 when covering and winning outright as an underdog.
Who will win the Super Bowl?
Don't bet against God. That's been my mantra since picking Philadelphia to win Super Bowl 57, and it's proven to be a profitable strategy over the last two seasons. Even though the Eagles might be more talented top to bottom, Kansas City has the advantage in the two most important positions, head coach and quarterback.
Give me the Chiefs to complete the three-peat.
Today's Super Bowl odds
Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?
Chiefs (-115 via ESPN BET)
Kansas City began the week as a -130 moneyline favorite. As the Super Bowl 2025 biggest bets continue to trickle in on Philadelphia, that number continues to drop. The Chiefs are still favored at all of our best sportsbooks, and they're trading at the best moneyline price at ESPN BET (-115).
Super Bowl game info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: Jon Batiste
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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