NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 14 Game
Thanks to a late pick-6 by Ja'Quan McMillian, the Denver Broncos beat the Cleveland Browns 41-32 and covered, improving their against-the-spread (ATS) mark to a league-best 10-3.
That emphatic finish culminated a superb week for Andrew Brennan, who finished with a 10-6 ATS record, improving our overall mark to 111-83-1 and 87-59-1 since Week 4.
- The Super Bowl odds favorite Detroit Lions are tied with the Pittsburgh Penguins for the second-best ATS record (9-3)
- Favorites are 99-90-6 ATS, and away favorites are 42-31-4
- Away underdogs are 59-57-2 ATS, and away teams are 101-88-6 ATS
We look to continue our Lions-like form as we dive into the NFL picks against the spread for Week 14. The below picks are part of our Week 14 NFL predictions.
NFL ATS picks Week 14: Every game
NFL odds via FanDuel and subject to change; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
| Matchup | Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Packers vs. Lions (-3.5) | Lions (-3.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Raiders vs. Buccaneers (-7) | Buccaneers (-7) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Browns vs. Steelers (-6.5) | Browns (+6.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jaguars vs. Titans (-3.5) | Jaguars (+3.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Panthers vs. Eagles (-12.5) | Panthers (+12.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Falcons vs. Vikings (-4.5) | Falcons (+4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jets vs. Dolphins (-6.5) | Dolphins (-6.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Saints (-4.5) vs. Giants | Saints (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals (-2.5) | Seahawks (+2.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bears vs. 49ers (-3.5) | Bears (+3.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bills (-4.5) vs. Rams | Bills (-4.5) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Chargers vs. Chiefs (-3.5) | Chargers (+3.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bengals (-6.5) vs. Cowboys | Cowboys (+6.5) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
My favorite ATS picks this week
NFL picks as of Tuesday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Packers vs. Lions (-3.5)
Don't let the Lions' second-half letdown against the Chicago Bears deter you. The Thanksgiving tilt between the NFC North rivals has historically produced close encounters. It's almost as inevitable as devouring too much turkey and passing out early on the festive day.
It should be back to business as usual for a Lions team that is 9-3 ATS and 4-2 ATS at home. Three of Detroit's last four wins at Ford Field came by an average of 32.3 points.
Though I'm certainly not suggesting a lopsided encounter against another contender to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, I feel the Lions are too good on both sides of the ball for the Green Bay Packers, who are 2-4 ATS in their last six and 1-6 ATS in the last seven at Ford Field.
Meanwhile, in the last six, Detroit is 5-1 ATS vs. Green Bay. The Lions beat the Packers 24-14 at Lambeau Field in Week 9, and though I expect Green Bay to keep it within one score, the Lions should improve their ATS record to 10-3. A winning $10 bet will profit $9.80.
Best odds: -102 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 50.50%
Terms and conditions apply.
Falcons (+5) vs. Vikings
There's no way Kirk Cousins plays as poorly as he did against the Los Angeles Chargers, when he threw four interceptions, including two to rookie cornerback Tarheeb Still. He's now thrown six picks and no touchdowns in the last three contests.
But that's the end of Cousins' woeful stretch, right?
Even if Cousins doesn't light it up for the rest of the season, I can't see him stinking up his old stomping ground. This type of occasion, against his former team and teammates, has a way of galvanizing an experienced professional like Cousins. Plus, he has an acute understanding of what to expect from Brian Flores' defense.
While you don't have to be around Flores daily to know he loves pressure as much as a masseuse on an aching back, Cousins and the Falcons should have the inside track to concoct a game plan that combats Flores' pressure-heavy defense.
Plus, Cousins is 40-28 ATS off a loss, including 23-13 as an underdog, and three of the last four Vikings' victories have come by five points or less. A $10 winning bet will profit $9.09.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.
Seahawks (+2.5) vs. Cardinals
I expect the Seahawks to sweep the season series, primarily thanks to Geno Smith and his deadly accurate arm. His 68.8 completion percentage ranks fifth among quarterbacks with at least 300 dropbacks.
He should be able to capitalize against a defense that has the third-worst pressure rating and 18th-ranked coverage unit (via PFF). A winning $10 bet will profit $10.
Best odds: +100 via bet365 | Implied probability: 50%
Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
NFL betting odds pages
Here are our best NFL betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
Related Articles
